View attachment 200735
Some predictions i got wrong (who thought pak will beat RSA and WI beat pak?) so here's updated one.
NZ will beat WI and RSA will beat SL. Though RSA got beaten by Pak and India, they're still a very good team. Both SL and RSA have not played on this pitch in this tournament.
Pak will lose to Aus 100% if they bat second and some chance of winning if they bat first and give at least 275 total. The ground is going to be melbourne, so Aus will have big advantage. They also beat Eng on this ground on their first game.
Though India lost twice before to England, it is very likely they'll beat them this time due to India's confidence. One thing to note is, England played wellington twice vs NZ and SL in group matches.
In the semis, RSA and NZ are both strong teams. But NZ will have home ground advantage. This is same ground, Auckland, where they beat Aus.
Other semi, India lost 2-0 in test to Australia and not a single game won in tri series. Though they'll have a lot of confidence, Australia is #1 team right now i believe and they'll be playing in Sydney, a home ground advantage. So many odds are against India.
Final will be NZ vs Aus. It is likely Aus will win due to being played in melbourne, but it's hard to predict, considering NZ won their other game vs Aus.
@scrumpy
Ireland can't make it to QF. They have lower NRR than WI, with WI left to play vs UAE where they will score a lot of runs. Meanwhile Ireland has to play India, which will further lower their NRR and even if they win vs Pakistan, it will not be enough, assuming Pakistan doesn't lose by huge huge margins.
thats because a1 vs b1 is more interesting and they want to save it for semi finals.
a1 vs b4, thats good team vs weak team. No one is going to watch a4 vs b4 in semi finals, right? And finals will be like a1 vs b4.
This is why it makes sense to have a1 vs b4. Besides, who knows if A1 gets beaten by B4. Pakistan beat RSA and Pakistan was beaten by WI, and WI was beaten by Ireland. It's very unpredictable.
