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Modi's Lies: Local news media uncovers scale of covid crisis, challenges official data

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Local news media uncovers scale of crisis, challenges official data
In recent months, local newspapers have amplified COVID-19 coverage on their front pages, taking an unusually critical stance on the government’s records
COVID-19 deaths in India: Local news media uncovers scale of crisis, challenges official data


In recent months, local newspapers have amplified COVID-19 coverage on their front pages, taking an unusually critical stance on the government’s records

When the pandemic's second wave swept India in mid-April, Deepak Patel, an aviation reporter for the Press Trust of India in New Delhi, noticed something odd. Whenever he perused the local papers from his home state of Gujarat—Divya Bhaskar, Gujarat Samachar, and Sandesh—reports about COVID-19cases, and the obituaries that filled the pages, didn’t match the government statistics on cases and deaths.

Patel began tallying the numbers and posting his findings on Twitter each day. On 26 April, he pointed out that in Sandesh’s Rajkot edition (different cities have their own editions), seven out of eighteen pages contained only obituaries—a total of 287 deaths—while official figures recorded just 26. On 6 May, Patel tweeted a picture of Sandesh’s front page, with the translation: “17,822 bodies were cremated or buried as per COVID-19 protocol in 7 major cities of Gujarat in last 1 month…But Gujarat govt’s data says only 1,745 people died of Covid in these 7 cities in last 1 month: Sandesh.”

India’s official count of COVID-19 cases has surpassed 20 million, with more than 300,000 infections and 4,000 deaths reported daily for the past three weeks. Yet many experts believe the situation on the ground is far worse than what official statistics indicate. Reporters like Patel, and international outlets including the Washington Post and Financial Times, have turned to local papers in order to consolidate their own data on overlooked or downplayed COVID-19fatalities during the country’s second wave, relying on local journalists in the field, who line up outside hospitals and cremation grounds every day to count the bodies.

The western state of Gujarat, which is also the birthplace of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has officially registered nearly 700,000 cases and 8,500 deaths, but undercounting is purported to be massive here, more than in any other state. The local media usually toes the government line and refrains from strong political commentary, but the pandemic is one of the rare and compelling instances where editors feel they cannot turn a blind eye on the loss and anguish suffered by their readers. In recent months, they have amplified COVID-19 coverage on their front pages, taking an unusually critical stance on the government’s records. They publish investigations about fudged data, write bold editorials, and let the tenfold increase in printed obituaries quietly illustrate the scale of the tragedy for readers.

A recent headline on the front page of Gujarat Samachar read: “A gas-based crematorium in Mehsana, Gujarat, has become red-hot due to constant cremations for the last 15 days.” Beneath it was an image of a scorched pipe that glowed red from nonstop cremations. The leading Gujarati-language daily, with a 4.6 million–strong readership, began publishing long before the Partition of India of 1947, and has not historically shied away from eye-popping headlines. Now it reads as even less apologetic, and more accusatory. “The jugglery with statistics just doesn’t stop,” read one recent headline. “The government continues to indulge in statistical illusions,” read another.

Bhaven Kachhi, who has worked at Gujarat Samachar for twenty-nine years, sends reporters to cremation grounds across cities and villages to track the daily arrival of bodies. In the city of Ahmedabad, for example, reporters have watched people arrive at five in the morning to cremate their loved ones, forming lines that continue to grow and move until midnight. Gujarat Samachar isn’t trying to target the government, Kachhi says. “We are at a point now where if we didn’t report the truth, people would still know the full extent just from looking at their own neighborhoods.”

Parul Ahir, who has been reporting on the pandemic for Khabar Gujarat, an online regional news outlet in the city of Jamnagar, says that hospital administrators and public officials often tell her there are five to ten COVID deaths on any given day but also acknowledge the numbers don’t include cases with comorbidities. So the twenty-four-year-old speaks to families inside hospital wards and counts names on the lists posted at cremation grounds, which gives Khabar Gujarat “a completely different picture to what the government is saying,” Ahir says. “You can tell something is fishy.”

While local reporting has driven international media coverage on statistical discrepancies, some local editors feel the focus on the death toll is too narrow to capture the full plight. Sandesh, a daily that often takes a pro-establishment stance, has published several critical stories on the pandemic, from officials undercounting deaths to frontline workers who have contracted the virus or lost family members while on their shifts. “We are proud of our coverage, but at the end of the day, there is also sorrow,” Parthiv Patel, the managing director of Sandesh, says. “Rather than get into the debate of what the right number is, we just need to focus on lowering that number.”

Recently, the Gujarati press has also begun demanding accountability from those in power. When a local leader from the state’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party announced the free distribution of five thousand doses of the antiviral drug remdesivir in the city of Surat, Divya Bhaskar, one of the three dailies, published his phone number as its front-page headline, urging readers to call and ask how he procured the supply in the midst of a statewide shortage. The stunt attracted nationwide attention, and the state government fought back, in a public-interest litigation initiated by Gujarat’s High Court. It argued that the media reports were biased, exaggerated, and sometimes fake. The High Court firmly rejected the claim. Mahesh Langa, who has been reporting on the undercounting of cases for The Hindu, a leading English-language daily, said the court’s verdict showed cognizance of the public’s anger. “We are dealing with an extraordinary situation, so the court is reflecting the people’s will.”

Divya Bhaskar is part of the country’s largest-selling newspaper group, the Hindi-language Dainik Bhaskar, which has been active in pointing out discrepancies in other states, too. In the city of Bhopal, in Madhya Pradesh, the paper found that three facilities had cremated one hundred twelve COVID victims, while the state reported just four. A shot of a cremation ground dotted with burning pyres at night was splashed across the front page, with a headline that declared, “The government’s data is fake, the pyres tell the truth.”

For its part, the Indian government has consistently downplayed the severity of the pandemic—while clamping down on media coverage critical of its handling. Last July, when cases rose, more than fifty journalists were arrested or had police complaints registered against them for spreading false information. The majority were independent journalists working in rural India. In March, when the second wave took hold of the country, the government allowed mass public gatherings like election rallies, religious festivals, and cricket matches to take place. Then it demanded that Twitter block access to tweets that were critical of the administration’s response.

Dr. Murad Banaji, a mathematician at Middlesex University in London who has been tracking COVID-19 in India, found that local reports on fatality undercounting have emerged from fifteen different states that make up around 80 percent of India’s population. “More than the numbers themselves, you get the context for why these deaths are underreported,” he says. Undercounting is common in areas where awareness of the disease is low and access to healthcare is minimal, he says. This, in turn, indicates how deaths are most undercounted among India’s marginalized communities. For example, in a local report from a village in Uttar Pradesh, one resident spoke of “mysterious deaths” following fever, cough, and breathing problems. “I am being informed about a death every day in the village. There was no testing, so we don’t know what is the cause,” said the villager. The lives lost in Gujarat’s small towns would likewise be rendered invisible if local news outlets weren’t there to account for them.

Banaji believes the relative lack of critical coverage during India’s first wave enabled the government to “spin various narratives” about the pandemic—that the country was in the “endgame,” for instance—which then fed a public complacency around threats and encouraged the second wave. The recent efforts at accountability coverage, however, have seemingly put the government on notice: earlier this month, hundreds of officials from the central government met with a communication consultant brought in to help them create “a positive image” of the government’s pandemic response going forward. “If you allow a tragedy to go uncounted, there’s no accountability,” Banaji says. “You just open the way for every future tragedy.”

This story originally appeared in the Columbia Journalism Review.
 
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Have a friend who's a statistician at Columbia University as a professor. He's working on COVID-19 in regards to India and saying large extent of deaths is under reported. He's saying the last 1-2 weeks the actual death toll is much closer to 10,000/day. (His numbers on US death and the 2nd wave was on point as well).
 
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Have a friend who's a statistician at Columbia University as a professor. He's working on COVID-19 in regards to India and saying large extent of deaths is under reported. He's saying the last 1-2 weeks the actual death toll is much closer to 10,000/day. (His numbers on US death and the 2nd wave was on point as well).

The U.S. CDC assumes deaths are under-reported by a factor of 10. If India reports 4,000 deaths a day, then the real number is likely 40,000. The U.S. CDC believes the second wave will kill at least 10 million people, and the death toll could be as high as 40 million or even more.
 
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PR and ‘high level’ meetings not enough to salvage ‘Brand Modi’ on oxygen
PM’s ‘high level meetings’ and reports that he is personally monitoring oxygen supply and vaccination have failed to refurbish his tattered reputation. His minders might reflect on limits of PR
PR and ‘high level’ meetings not enough to salvage ‘Brand Modi’ on oxygen

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Ranjona Banerji
Published: 16 May 2021, 3:35 PM
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Allegations of Prime Minister Narendra Modi not doing enough during this second wave of Covid19 in India have caused ripples in the bunker. The PR machinery has been hard at work. Yes, contrary to rumours spread by anti-nationals, some work is done in the bunker.
Now how do you prove that a person who only leaves the bunker for election purposes actually does anything when there are no elections? You organize “meetings”. This is a “trial and error” type of policy, so far.
One error was to organize meetings with chief ministers. Clear non-application of mind. The chief ministers are, you know, politicians. And not all, despite the best efforts of the Best Bunker Friend Amit Shah, are BJP politicians. One evil CM did a “live-telecast” of a meeting without permission. Another wicked chap accused the PM of not listening.
Unacceptable. Politicians. Cannot be trusted.
Of India’s over 700 districts, the PR team decided to carefully pick 100 district magistrates and discuss Covid19 relief with them. The best strategy from the PM last year involved bashing pots and pans together. This year’s advice was “self-reliance”. But you and I know that these meetings have nothing to do with Covid. They have to do with Image.
No sooner was this meeting announced than another one popped up. Two important meetings in a day! The other PR meeting is to oversee the progress of Cyclone Tauktae as it develops in the Arabian Sea and is expected to hit the coast of Gujarat. Gujarat has also been hit hard by Calamity Covid but… why do you keep going there and picking at an old wound?
The virus has a right to live, as a BJP politician informed us.
And in order to assist the virus, the Modi government worked wonders with India’s vaccine policy. Thus, we have more or less run out of vaccines. The ones we make, the ones we want to make, the ones we might buy, the ones we forgot to order. We don’t have much of any.
But we do have a PR team. First the team told the country that we had donated many vaccines because we love the world. Then the team said we had contractual obligations to deliver vaccines. Then the team said we didn’t have contractual or legal obligations. Then the team said don’t take them so often. Then the team said buy them yourself. Then the team said how dare the states try to buy the vaccines themselves.
Then another BJP politician said people who want vaccines are just doing this out of “narrow political passions” and because they want to go against the “whole of government” policy. However, since the PR team was not involved with the “whole of government” policy or even a quarter of government policy, they came up with the 1/7th of districts meeting policy.

This “PR is paramount policy” bring us where we are: the greatest catastrophe faced by contemporary India. We’ve had calamities, with huge costs. But this Covid19 crisis, is all-India, all-pervasive, unrelenting. In early 2020 no one was prepared and any number of governments the world over grappled, tripped and failed. We in India were told we had done better than the rest. In January 2021, the PR team told us that we had beaten the virus and we were the best.
And that is also why this Covid 19 Calamity is worse than anything else. Lies and self-delusion and PR. We were told it was coming. We made no preparations. We did not even order enough vaccines for a country of our size. We played petty schoolyard “my Covid policy is better than yours” games. Even today, we claim that the states had been informed of another wave. What a masterstroke by the PR team. Because a miserable worm like me might ask, if the states were informed, was the Centre also informed? If not, why not. And if yes…
Why were no provisions made for medical equipment? Over a month since the PR team informed us that Modi and Shah themselves were overseeing oxygen distribution across India. And yet, Covid-affected people still die in hospitals, in car parks, on the roads, in their homes, in ICUs connected to ventilators, gasping for breath, for lack of medical oxygen.
There is no PR team on earth that can cover up the smell of death across India unless you let it. Don’t get fooled again.
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India is a major exporter of foodgrains, your wishes will never come true.
Not my wishes but circumstances suggesting a possible shortage. I hope I am wrong but let’s wait five to six months. Past is not always a good predictor of the future. Three factors that could come into play. First a break down of food production and supply chain because of Covid 19, second the disruptions caused by Modi’s so called agricultural reforms and thirdly a possibility of the Monsoons failing due to Cyclone Tauktake disrupting the low pressure area over Northern India, which pulls in the Monsoon moisture.

Also exporting grains does not mean that people in India are not going hungry. Earning a few extra dollars while pushing the domestic price of essential beyond the reach of many is not necessarily a good policy.

BTW please go through my old posts on Covid 19 in India. I literally predicated the current situation in February and March. At that time, Modi and people like you were thumping their chests how India is going to save humanity and now scavenger dogs are eating abandoned bodies of Indians. A little humility is a good trait to have under the current circumstances.
 
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Not my wishes but circumstances suggesting a possible shortage. I hope I am wrong but let’s wait five to six months. Past is not always a good predictor of the future. Three factors that could come into play. First a break down of food production and supply chain because of Covid 19, second the disruptions caused by Modi’s so called agricultural reforms and thirdly a possibility of the Monsoons failing due to Cyclone Tauktake disrupting the low pressure area over Northern India, which responsible for pulling in the Monsoon moisture.

BTW please go through my old posts on Covid 19 in India. I literally predicated the current situation in February and March.

We have an institution called the Food corporation of India. There has been no shortage of food or femine since independence and nor will be in times to come. Also we have ample water resources to meet the irrigation requirements and we are not entirely dependent on monsoon. And covid is a fake pandemic, everything is in the hands of the government. They want people to die so that interests of a bunch of elites is served.
 
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We have an institution called the Food corporation of India. There has been no shortage of food or femine since independence and nor will be in times to come. Also we have ample water resources to meet the irrigation requirements and we are not entirely dependent on monsoon. And covid is a fake pandemic, everything is in the hands of the government. They want people to die so that interests of a bunch of elites is served.
God help you and the likes of you. India is beyond redemption now.

I can list all the famines in India after the Independence and not to mention that India has the largest single population of malnourished people in the world.

You say it is a fake pandemic, so do you support the government in use of Covid to kill people? Calling it a fake is also a way of deluding one self and avoiding reality.
 
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Aren't Indian media suppose to be fake news anymore??
 
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hundreds of officials from the central government met with a communication consultant brought in to help them create “a positive image” of the government’s pandemic response going forward.

Lovely.

Also we have ample water resources to meet the irrigation requirements and we are not entirely dependent on monsoon.

A few million farmers in India have committed suicide since 1947 for natural reasons including erratic rainfall and indirect reasons being the non-natural, extremely capitalist culture in the country. :)
 
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We have an institution called the Food corporation of India. There has been no shortage of food or femine since independence and nor will be in times to come. Also we have ample water resources to meet the irrigation requirements and we are not entirely dependent on monsoon. And covid is a fake pandemic, everything is in the hands of the government. They want people to die so that interests of a bunch of elites is served.
It has already started

 
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