kalu_miahs new world order:
Premises:
- Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely, so concentration of power should be avoided
- big states have economies of scale, so playing field is automatically skewed in their favor, in terms of competitive advantage
- big states and powerful countries want the rest of the world to remain under their influence, so they follow a policy of divide and rule
- free and fair trading of goods, free travel (but not migration) will boost prosperity and is in the interest of all countries
- unions of states can be formed only according to democratic free will of the people of concerned states, so by definition, an advanced level of democracy, preferably direct democracy using online/internet remote voting will be essential prerequisite for movement towards these new trans-formative unions
- it is natural that people who have ethnic, linguistic, cultural similarities and/or some common historical past, will seek to join in a union more easily, but it can also be for purely economic and strategic reasons
Plan: create a new collection of small states in regional unions to usher in a new multi-polar world, to protect against harmful influence of large states
current status:
1. China: ancient union of nations, first cobbled together by Han Wu Di, recreated by Yuan Mongol, one written language (spoken becoming standardized as well)
2. India: ancient union of nations, first created by Ashoka or Murya dynasty, recreated by Mughal, but remains multi-lingual
3. EU: European nations first unified by Romans, but now working towards a US of Europe
4. USA (recent union formed after European migration to North America)
5. ASEAN: 10 nations of South East Asia
6. UNASUR: all nations in Middle and South America, Mexico is contemplating to join
7. GCC and Arab League
8. Central Asian Union (5 former soviet stans)
9. African Union
10. SAARC
(please google for details)
important points:
- all customs or free trade areas will not end up in the future as a full political union, but some may
- EU, ASEAN, UNASUR, GCC, CEU, AU may become the starting point of new unions that may end up as future political unions, but SAARC is going to remain a free trade group only
Stage 1 (2020-2040):
1. China+Taiwan
2. India+Nepal+Maldives+Bhutan (Sri Lanka may remain a member of SAARC but stay out of full political union with India)
3. EU+Russian speaking countries
4. USA+Canada
5. ASEAN+Japan+Korea (Bangladesh will want to join this group, but may not get entry, unless it can show itself to be worthy)
6. Latin American Union: UNASUR+Mexico
7. expanded GCC to include all non-Maghreb Arab countries
8. Central Asian Union (7 stans+Mongolia, if Russia provides land bridge)
9. African Union (Maghreb will remain part of Arab League, but due to economic and geographic reason, form political union with rest of African continent, Nile river usage being the main reason for Egypt)
10. Iran
Stage 2 (2040-2070)
1. China+Taiwan
2. India+Nepal+Maldives+Bhutan (Sri Lanka may remain a member of SAARC but stay out of full political union with India)
3. EU+Russian speaking countries+USA+Canda+Oceania (ANZ)
4. ASEAN+Japan+Korea (Bangladesh will want to join this group, but may not get entry, unless it can show itself to be worthy)
6. Latin American Union: UNASUR+Mexico
7. expanded GCC to include all non-Maghreb Arab countries
8. Central Asian Union (7 stans+Mongolia+Turkey+Azerbaijan) (Iran will trade but not join political union)
9. African Union
Stage 3 (2070-2100):
1. China+Taiwan
2. India+Nepal+Maldives+Bhutan+Sri Lanka
3. EU+Russian speaking countries+USA+Canda+Oceania (ANZ)
4. ASEAN+Japan+Korea+Bangladesh
5. Latin American Union
6. expanded GCC to include all non-Maghreb Arab countries + Central Asian Union (7 stans+Mongolia+Turkey+Azerbaijan) + Iran
7. African Union
Stage 4 (2100-2200)
1. Global federation, no more countries and borders
Your thoughts please. If necessary, separate threads can be created for study of each region. Please remember that you have heard it here first, it did not come out of any think tank, it came out of the brain of yours truly, after many years of analysis and thought.
Jokes are welcome, as well as serious discussions.