kalu_miah's new world order, a road map for the future

[kalu_miah]

kalu_miah’s new world order:

Premises:
- Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely, so concentration of power should be avoided
- big states have economies of scale, so playing field is automatically skewed in their favor, in terms of competitive advantage
- big states and powerful countries want the rest of the world to remain under their influence, so they follow a policy of divide and rule
- free and fair trading of goods, free travel (but not migration) will boost prosperity and is in the interest of all countries
- unions of states can be formed only according to democratic free will of the people of concerned states, so by definition, an advanced level of democracy, preferably direct democracy using online/internet remote voting will be essential prerequisite for movement towards these new trans-formative unions
- it is natural that people who have ethnic, linguistic, cultural similarities and/or some common historical past, will seek to join in a union more easily, but it can also be for purely economic and strategic reasons

Plan: create a new collection of small states in regional unions to usher in a new multi-polar world, to protect against harmful influence of large states

current status:

1. China: ancient union of nations, first cobbled together by Han Wu Di, recreated by Yuan Mongol, one written language (spoken becoming standardized as well)
2. India: ancient union of nations, first created by Ashoka or Murya dynasty, recreated by Mughal, but remains multi-lingual
3. EU: European nations first unified by Romans, but now working towards a US of Europe
4. USA (recent union formed after European migration to North America)
5. ASEAN: 10 nations of South East Asia
6. UNASUR: all nations in Middle and South America, Mexico is contemplating to join
7. GCC and Arab League
8. Central Asian Union (5 former soviet stan’s)
9. African Union
10. SAARC

(please google for details)

important points:
- all customs or free trade areas will not end up in the future as a full political union, but some may
- EU, ASEAN, UNASUR, GCC, CEU, AU may become the starting point of new unions that may end up as future political unions, but SAARC is going to remain a free trade group only

Stage 1 (2020-2040):

1. China+Taiwan
2. India+Nepal+Maldives+Bhutan (Sri Lanka may remain a member of SAARC but stay out of full political union with India)
3. EU+Russian speaking countries
4. USA+Canada
5. ASEAN+Japan+Korea (Bangladesh will want to join this group, but may not get entry, unless it can show itself to be worthy)
6. Latin American Union: UNASUR+Mexico
7. expanded GCC to include all non-Maghreb Arab countries
8. Central Asian Union (7 stan’s+Mongolia, if Russia provides land bridge)
9. African Union (Maghreb will remain part of Arab League, but due to economic and geographic reason, form political union with rest of African continent, Nile river usage being the main reason for Egypt)
10. Iran

Stage 2 (2040-2070)

1. China+Taiwan
2. India+Nepal+Maldives+Bhutan (Sri Lanka may remain a member of SAARC but stay out of full political union with India)
3. EU+Russian speaking countries+USA+Canda+Oceania (ANZ)
4. ASEAN+Japan+Korea (Bangladesh will want to join this group, but may not get entry, unless it can show itself to be worthy)
6. Latin American Union: UNASUR+Mexico
7. expanded GCC to include all non-Maghreb Arab countries
8. Central Asian Union (7 stan’s+Mongolia+Turkey+Azerbaijan) (Iran will trade but not join political union)
9. African Union

Stage 3 (2070-2100):

1. China+Taiwan
2. India+Nepal+Maldives+Bhutan+Sri Lanka
3. EU+Russian speaking countries+USA+Canda+Oceania (ANZ)
4. ASEAN+Japan+Korea+Bangladesh
5. Latin American Union
6. expanded GCC to include all non-Maghreb Arab countries + Central Asian Union (7 stan’s+Mongolia+Turkey+Azerbaijan) + Iran
7. African Union

Stage 4 (2100-2200)

1. Global federation, no more countries and borders

Your thoughts please. If necessary, separate threads can be created for study of each region. Please remember that you have heard it here first, it did not come out of any think tank, it came out of the brain of yours truly, after many years of analysis and thought.

Jokes are welcome, as well as serious discussions.

 

[SHAMK9]

i dont see it happening

 

[DarkPrince]

kalu bhai u r thinking 2 much

 

[Paan Singh]

 

[kalu_miah]

i dont see it happening

Please share your projection for future, what do you think will happen, if not the above.

 

[W.11]

dude whats up with the name

 

[Shardul.....the lion]

I see a South Asia Union happening (without name India may be some other name, already India Pakistan and Bangladesh are starting give best trade concessions to each other)after 20-30 yrs to keep america out of region. (Both India and Pakistan will save billions of dollars spend on 10 million army standing at border to defend from each other)

China-Taiwan integration is also quite possible again to keep america out.

European Union is going through stages of unification wiht Germany and France dictating the economic terms to debtor nations like Greece, Italy and Ireland

ASEAN countries are too diverse to combine.

Central asia Stans were earlier together under USSR so quite a possiblity to come together to protect themselves from external influences.

Rest is dreams.

 

[kalu_miah]

dude whats up with the name

Lets say its my pen name, Kalu Mian/Miah whatever, I like it. My fellow Bengali's are Kalu and proud of it .

 

[Pakistanisage]

Alliances and Federations are made on the basis of some kind of Commonality and geographical Positioning . I think there is a strong basis for a Union formed with Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Krgyzstan, Turkmanistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan. Iran may join later if it overcomes its religious ( Shiite ) orientation in National and Political affairs as well as its " OLD PERSIAN EMPIRE " Complex. Mongolia has nothing in common with this group as it is a Non-Muslim country and is not CONTIGUOUS Landmass with these countries.

I agree with your basic premise because I have felt for a decade now that it is going to be exceedingly difficult for smaller states to survive in this super competitive environment of NEW WORLD ORDER. You really need a country or Federation with a population of 500 million to have an industrial base to take advantage of " Economies of Scale". Such a scenario gives you large enough Domestic market to produce most goods with you local market utilizing economies of scale and then become an Export Powerhouse to grow rapidly.

Good Thread Kalu Mian.

 

[Pakistanisage]

kalu bhai u r thinking 2 much

My Friend, Kalu Bhai is thinking Strategically. We have to make a good Strategic plan before we can follow up Tactically.

 

[kalu_miah]

Alliances and Federations are made on the basis of some kind of Commonality and geographical Positioning . I think there is a strong basis for a union formed with Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Krgyzstan, Turkmanistan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan. Iran may join later if it overcomes its religious ( Shiite ) orientation in National and Political affairs as well as its " OLD PERSIAN EMPIRE " Complex. Mangolia has nothing in common with this group as it is a Non-Muslim country and is not CONTIGUOUS Landmass with these countries.

Good observations. Mongolia is actually somewhat close to Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, in terms of shared ethnicity. They are a land locked nation who have borders with Russia and China, but there is a small distance (30km) between Kazakh and Mongol border in Western Bayan Olgii region:
Bayan-Ölgii Province - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Does Mongolia border Kazakhstan? : British Expat Discussion Forum

So it depends on Russia to provide that land bridge. Mongols have descendants in many countries of Eurasia, where ever Mongols went to expand their empire. Timurid Mughal was also a Turko Mongol dynasty, while the ruling elite were descended from earlier Mongol generals who settled in Chagatai Khanate. And the Hazara's supposedly have significant Mongol ancestry, more than any other group, outside of Mongolia and are considered as brothers by Buddhist Mongols. Lastly, Mongols do not like the Chinese and would probably feel more comfortable with fellow nomadic people of Kazakhstan or Kyrgyzstan.

Or, they could become a part of EU, when Russia finally decide to join the EU, due to pressure from a rising China.

 

[kalu_miah]

I agree with your basic premise because I have felt for a decade now that it is going to be exceedingly difficult for smaller states to survive in this super competitive environment of NEW WORLD ORDER. You really need a country or Federation with a population of 500 million to have an industrial base to take advantage of " Economies of Scale". Such a scenario gieves you large enough Domestic market to produce most goods with you local market utilizing economies of scale and then become an Export Powerhouse to grow rapidly.

Good Thread Kalu Mian.

You have read my thoughts, thank you. Human beings, like other life forms, will always want to increase their power and will find ways and means to do it:
Will to power - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

 

[Arabian Legend]

That is bullshit
the western and the European are playing a big game so it will be easy for them to get what ever they want by diving people making them so weak. nowdays they find it so difficult for them to deal with diffrent governments around they world. under the name of democracy and human rights, they would be able to interfere in many countries and do exactly as the did in Sudan.

This the new middle east by Bernard Lewis. WHAT I CAN SAY IN HIS DREAM

 

[Arabian Legend]

im totally supporter but its not gonna happen

thanx for bring that up and that what we have to be UNITED

 

[cheekybird]

Wish it was possible.....liked the thread title