araz
PDF THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
- Joined
- Jun 14, 2006
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A very good post. However I will point out another factor and a huge advantage which the JFT has given us. That is fleet replenishment and incorporating a wide array of armaments in a cost effective manner. This effectively allows PAF to remain relevant now and in future by simply upgrading its home grown platform at a nominal cost. 10 16/52s were costing us 800 million whereas for this much we can construct 20 to 25 platforms of our local fighters and equip them with all relevant weaponry. In house assembly of key note weapons will also expand our knowledge base and allow us to tinker with our weapons. At 1/10th of what IAF is spending on the rafales we will have a significantly improved fighter of our own.Please study Creative Chaos Theory and juxtapose Afghan predicament accordingly. US is doing exactly what Pakistan was supposed to do back in 80's. We must have control the winning of Mujahideen. Making CIA's victory as slow as possible. It is not US government who want to be there in Afghanistan, It is Corporate America and MIC that wants this war to continue till last day of earth as their profiteering is directly related to this conflict. They are same people who time and again derail this process giving new imputes to Washington's power echelons to allow US military and private contractors to continue this war. Talibans are there because CIA/MIC doesn't want them to be eliminated completely. Spy world is extremely dirty one.
Having said all this, I concur your original point that our real failure has been inability of the state in nurturing a strategic thinking culture across the society. We used too much time on useless bravados which led us nowhere!
Coming back to JF-17 Vs. F-16 ... I think JF-17 must our priority despite its shortcomings vis-a-vis F-16. Thunder will be a killer machine once Block-4 hit the production in late next decade. (I say Block-4 because I believe after Block-3, only thing needs a real upgrade will be its power plant and I hope in Block-4 that will be the key feature along with some other upgrades of course). Strategically, this Thunder project is more critical for us than our nuclear program as it has redefined or is redefining conventional deterrence against a much superior enemy. Strategic deterrence will comes into play only once conventional one failed. In Feb 2019, Indians were hoping they will achieve that but PAF foiled it. They tried through sea, PN foiled that one too. Pakistan army was ready to unleash response to any Indian ballistic missile misadventure. PAF and PN both are in process to get next gen hardware means our conventional deterrence will have a new threshold and if PAF can manage to produce enough Block-3 along with adequate number of force multiplier (AEW, AWACS, EW, Refuelers etc.) to raise few squadron dedicated to support our strike corps, the entire complexion of balance of power in the region will change for now India has upper hand in conventional warfare but Pakistani forces have proven that the worst period has gone pass as far as military parity in terms of quality is concerned thanks to close cooperation with China and Turkey. US has offered us many things if we somehow come out of what they call is a Chinese bloc, but it looks like Pak mil establishment has learned its lessons during the last 70 years and now is taking strategically correct steps!
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