XYON
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They didn't even have aircraft that could carry a nuclear bomb, let alone reach the US without the Island Chain or Aircraft carriers. The US would have no fear of a Japanese Nuclear attack on the US because the Japanese wouldn't have the resources or ability to attack them, it would simply make them more certain that they needed to use a blockade and nuclear as well as more massive conventional attacks to starve and bomb them into submission. Japanese strategic materials were run out by the time of the bombings and with no merchant shipping available they would have got any more materials so they couldn't increase the size of their hand.
Your assumption above is based on a wrong premise! If the Japs would have developed a nuke, they would have developed the mechanics of carrying it long distances just like the US! The Japs had the will, resources and the expertise to do so at the time. Fast forward to today, Japan can bring online a nuke within days if they choose to! However, this discussion will take us on a tangent to the thread subject and hence is concluded from my side! Cheers!