ares
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Three CVs will make India at the top of his AO.
Gwadar or Karachi, ir doesn't matter which port it is but PN will be insufficient to defend these areas. So it'll give an important responsibility to Pakistani air force. So it would only be a miracle if two carrier air wings suceed to take on a air force that has twenty active front line squadrons with 450 combat aircraft which will result with the involvement of Indian air force. These actions will result with a full scale conventional war. I believe India is far powerful with its massive budget and economic power but what civilian analysts can't understand is that no one can predict the outcomes of war. Thus even the example you've given, it proves it.
As for the red lines I don't know the past but for today's era, I had the opportunity to train along with PN officer cadets, they all were well trained to lead the fight, I am sure its the same for yours but war is not a strategy game that you can judge with quality and quantity.
Stopped reading after the second sentence, end of discussion. Good luck for your coast guard to deal with C-802s and RGM-84s.
First things first, we are talking about war scenario here..Act of blockade in itself is declaration of war.
So yes If IN and PN are fighting, then so are IAF and PAF and IA and PA...i.e India-Pakistan are at war..as it has already happened 4 times in our history.
Yes 45 Mig 29Ks and some 12 odd sea harriers of Indian Navy can not hope to succeed against PAF with 450 aircrafts..but then PAF will also be defending against 800 IAF aircrafts..realistically speaking, how many aircrafts can PAF divert for PN's assistance?
This reminds of a very famous quote from CnC PAF after Indian Navy's operation Trident.
"Anyway the Air Force in Karachi did not react to the Navy's request; therefore, the C-in-C Navy rang up the C-in-C PAF in Rawalpindi at 0400 hours and woke him up. After all sorts of pleading, the answer he obtained was `Well old boy, this happens in war. I am sorry your ships have been sunk. We shall try to do something in the future'