One Us battle group is too vulnerable to the Iranian Navy and coastal defence forces.
people are confusing the US military might as a whole with a US battle group in faraway places, not even in open seas!!!
How have you assumed that US will be using only one battle group? US can send more in the region, if necessary. And this is not a matter of 'can send more'. US has history of doing so in case of major hostilities. And fire-power of even a single battle group is enormous.
Incidents like this can happen during normal circumstances. An Iranian drone was once found spying on a US carrier group but left after it was spotted.
Thing is that level of alertness during war based scenario is on a whole new level because it becomes a matter of life and death then. Every kind of surveillance equipment is put to use during war based scenario.
Never underestimate a nation that can make its own weapons.
US is in
leading position in this regard. US weapons are known to set standards. Iranian weapons, in comparison, are mostly unknown in capabilities.
By comparing Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan to Iranian military might, you are showing some ignorance of the matters in question.
No! You need to understand that US can target Iranian infrastructure and assets with impunity. Iran cannot do so in response. This is the major difference.
Libya was a very small nation with mostly immigrants working, and a tiny army.
So? Libya was still a new front with challenges of its own. Libya is huge territory wise and this allowed Gaddafi to scatter weapons within the country to make it difficult for the aggressor to destroy all of them with relative ease within short span of time. In addition, US had to make sure that rebels would not just survive onslaught of Libyan military but also overthrow Gaddafi. This was a complicated task when keeping in mind that how poorly trained, equipped, and disorganized the rebel movement was in the beginning. In the end, regime change was accomplished without sending a professional military in that nation.
Libyan operation occurred after nearly 9 years of fighting on two major fronts; Iraq and Afghanistan. This is an indication of how much power US still packs even after several years of exertion on multiple fronts. Currently, US is militarily engaged only in Afghanistan. Iraq and Libya are closed chapters.
Afghanistan was in shambles, with hardly any organised army and too many political factions inviting an invasion some how, since no one in the area seemed to like the Taliban, eventhough they made positive progress in fighting corruption and drug trafficking. (what do you say about almost Zero production of heroin in the Taliban era and 90% now?)
I will say the same thing to you - don't even get me started on Afghanistan. This country is not known for its conventional military power. It is known for its legendary resistance to invading forces. NEVER use Afghanistan as an analogy for arguments.
Iraq military power was inflated so much to justify the Invasion, the real reason is the fears of Israel (Userael) from nuclear bombs that Iraq succeed in designing, many Iraqi nuclear scientists were assassinated by Mossad in Europe prior to all of these events.
Iranian military power is also being inflated to justify military assault on it under the banner of promoting peace while the real reason is to secure Israeli, Arab, and US interests in the region. Many Iranian scientists have been assassinated too and Mossad is blamed. Iranian nuclear infrastructure has been infected with Stuxnet malware. And threat of a bombing raid also looms over iranian nuclear infrastructure. Can you note some similarities?
During the Iran-Iraq war, Iran was taken by surprise while at its weakest state militarily and economically, and the policies of divide and conquer of the west came into play by "arming" Saddam to the teeth with weapons his army couldn't use in combat -technologically speaking-, so, apart from the republican guard (a few armoured divisions) there were no well educated and well trained soldiers, only soldiers trained in tranche warfare, thus very vulnerable to air strikes and modern warfare.
Iranians were initially taken by surprise but managed to pull through after 2 years period. The fact that Iran managed to fight Iraq for such a long time is an indication of its competency rather then incompetency. However, Iraq also possessed limited offensive capabilities during this war. Saddam wanted to address this weakness by significantly improving and increasing the size of his military through all the aid he was getting from allies while keeping Iran busy with only a part of his military. This became apparent when Iraq emerged as the fourth largest military force in the world in 1990. Kuwait was invaded soon afterwards. And Saudi Arabia was probably next. Saddam terrorized almost entire Middle East.
Compare to Iran today, I will let you deduct you own conclusions about why the US hesitated many times in this case!
Only reason is that Saddam kept US busy. Now he is no longer an issue and Iran is getting all the attention. Also, US military action against Iran during 1988, played a vital role in knocking some sense in Iranian leadership to end the bloody war with Iraq on negotiation table.
you are either day dreaming or have no clue, Iran will not only block the strait but also will destroy all oil facilities in ME & plus its own oil facilities will get destroyed it will take months if not years, thought of this sends shivers through my spine, imagine the world without oil, there will be complete breakdown of adminstrative infrastructure, break down civil in infrastructre, break down of law & order, complete choas & riots in every street of the world, i am not sure how many countries will break into pieces if this really happens.
Iran can block Hormuz but cannot hold the blockage for long. It will last a few days at maximum.
Also, Iran is not the only oil producing country in the world. Libya will be used to offset Iranian loss. Notice the planning?
if this is not a recepie for ww3 what is then? lol
This is not recipe for WW3.
India may not as it might quietly give in to US pressure but china & russia will intervene, they have to protect themselves cuz after iran it would be india/china/russia in that line.
No one will intervene. This is hogwash. Neither Russia and nor China have proper foothold in Persian Gulf region.
on a general note, USA is the mighty daddy here it can crush/defeat iran but USA is also very calculative about the aftermath, so the sanctions has always been the option, why don't u lot support USA with regards to Iran? it will be more easy to bring down Iran if you guys obliged with USA.
Iran will have a regime change, USA will install its friendly ally in power, india will get more oil contracts?
US is waiting for the right moment and excuse. Libyan and Iraqi operations have set the stage for assault on Iran; Saddam is gone and Libya is under Western grasp. Previously, it was an issue for the WEST to find an alternative for Iranian oil imports in case of hostilities. Libya is the alternative. Iranian leadership should be extremely careful.