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you get it wrong asset don't increase in value , its the money that loose its value
Same thing written differently (and I said price, not value).

Inflation basically represents a loss of purchasing power (of the currency), that is reflected in higher prices.

don't help as people do it to protect their investment value
And that gives rise to speculators trying to take advantage of the demand for gold/houses etc by 'flipping', artificially increasing the prices. This new tax system disincentivises people from doing that and should reduce short-term speculation in those assets.
 
Same thing written differently (and I said price, not value).

Inflation basically represents a loss of purchasing power (of the currency), that is reflected in higher prices.


And that gives rise to speculators trying to take advantage of the demand for gold/houses etc by 'flipping', artificially increasing the prices. This new tax system disincentivises people from doing that and should reduce short-term speculation in those assets.
it only help if the one who bought them were in trade and business , while they buy it to hide in their house for the time they need money
 
it only help if the one who bought them were in trade and business , while they buy it to hide in their house for the time they need money
It doesn't matter who the speculators are, just that they exist, and this reform disincentives them from speculating and driving up the prices.
 
It doesn't matter who the speculators are, just that they exist, and this reform disincentives them from speculating and driving up the prices.
they tax is only applicable if you buy to sell , people here buy to keep and no there is no need for speculation . you just buy as you knew it will be more expensive next day
 
they tax is only applicable if you buy to sell , people here buy to keep and no there is no need for speculation . you just buy as you knew it will be more expensive next day
Not everyone buys to keep, many people buy to sell to take advantage of the inflationary situation because they know they can sell it for more money in the short-term future. Disincentivising people who buy just to take advantage of that will reduce inflationary pressure.
 
Last year Raisi government targeted an 8% growth for the Iranian economy he only achieved 3.5%!!.

For the current year the government forecast is some thing around 3 %..IMF forecast is 2%...Some economists in Iran forecast negative growth despite higher oil prices which will be a disaster if it happens...This government has only two more years and there is no news of the 4 million low cost housing coming on stream..It is almost two years that I have been following Raisi government and I think enough time has passed to see and make some judgement about his performance. He definitely has failed to ignite Iranian economy..but we wait and hope we are all wrong and he can deliver at the end pf his term.

رشد 2 درصدی اقتصاد ایران در سال 2023/ تورم و رشد نقدینگی کاهش می یابد​

صندوق بین المللی پول پیش بینی کرد که تورم و رشد نقدینگی ایران در سال جاری کاهش یافته و رشد ا قتصادی حداقل به 2 درصد می رسد.
رشد 2 درصدی اقتصاد ایران در سال 2023/ تورم و رشد نقدینگی کاهش می یابد

به گزارش گروه اقتصاد بین‌الملل خبرگزاری فارس، صندوق بین المللی پول در آخرین گزارش مربوط به خاورمیانه و آسیای مرکزی اعلام کرد که اقتصاد ایران در سال 2023 با وجود تحریم ها دو درصد رشد خواهد کرد.
این نهاد بین المللی تاکید کرد: پیش بینی می شود که جمهوری اسلامی ایران تورم و نقدینگی خود را در سال 2023 کنترل کرده و صادرات نفت خود را در بازارهای جهانی افزایش دهد.
در این گزارش با بررسی 12 شاخص کلان اقتصادی ایران در سال 2023 تاکید شده است که در دولت فعلی میزان صادرات نفت ایران دو برابر می شود.
صندوق بین المللی پول همچنین پیش بینی کرده است که تولید ناخالص داخلی ایران افزایش یافته و تورم و رشد نقدینگی کاهش یابد.
این صندوق پیش بینی کرده است که دسترسی ایران به ذخایر مبادلات خارجی به رقم 23.2 میلیارد دلار در سال جاری برسد.
این نهاد بین المللی همچنین پیش بینی کرده است که از بین 12 شاخص مهم اقتصادی حداقل ایران در 7 شاخص وضعیت بسیار بهتری نسبت به سال گذشته خواهد داشت.
به گفته صندوق رشد اقتصادی ایران در سال 2023 به رقم دو درصد خواهد رسید این در حالی است که سال گذشته این رقم 2.5 درصد بود.
این نهاد بین المللی همچنین میانگین رشد اقتصادی ایران در فاصله سالهای 2000 تا 2019 میلادی را سه درصد عنوان کرده است.
پایان پیام/
 
He definitely has failed to ignite Iranian economy..but we wait and hope we are all wrong and he can deliver at the end pf his term.

Yes and that ambivalent record is due to the influence of the very same monetarist economists upon the Ra'isi administration, who've been calling the shots in liberal cabinets too.

However, two facts remain nonetheless:

1) Ra'isi has done better than his predecessor who passed on a literally ruined economy.

2) With liberals (moderates / reformists) in charge, people will not just have to deal with economic dilemmas aplenty but with a foreign policy directly aimed at throwing over board Iran's means of deterrence (nuclear, military and linked to the regional system of alliances) and at turning Iran into a western and zionist client state.

So it's pretty clear as to where the preferred choice of clear-sighted patriots will lie in spite of shortcomings.

Last but not least, those wishing to pass judgement about the economic performance of the administration first need to gain a good overview of who's who in the local economic debate, of who is advocating what types of policies based on what ideological convictions, and who is influencing whom. Without this essential homework, whatever one may conclude about a government based on raw economic data won't be going beyond the surface of things.
 
Yes and that ambivalent record is due to the influence of the very same monetarist economists upon the Ra'isi administration, who've been calling the shots in liberal cabinets too.

However, two facts remain nonetheless:

1) Ra'isi has done better than his predecessor who passed on a literally ruined economy.

2) With liberals (moderates / reformists) in charge, people will not just have to deal with economic dilemmas aplenty but with a foreign policy directly aimed at throwing over board Iran's means of deterrence (nuclear, military and linked to the regional system of alliances) and at turning Iran into a western and zionist client state.

So it's pretty clear as to where the preferred choice of clear-sighted patriots will lie in spite of shortcomings.

Last but not least, those wishing to pass judgement about the economic performance of the administration first need to gain a good overview of who's who in the local economic debate, of who is advocating what types of policies based on what ideological convictions, and who is influencing whom. Without this essential homework, whatever one may conclude about a government based on raw economic data won't be going beyond the surface of things.
Yes Raisi has done better than Rohanni but Rohhanni record was so bad that it is not much of an effort to beat that.

Raisi promised a lot and so far he has failed to deliver..we can only hold him against what he promised to do:

4 million low cast housing
3 million auto production
8% GDP increase first year
Low inflation

Other than some modest increase in auto production the rest he has failed..but he has 2 more years to deliver..I be happy if he even delivers half of what he promised.

Two fundamental problems with Iranian economy that no president has been able to tackle:

1- 80% of economy is managed by the government and not private sector
2- A foreign policy which makes Iran toxic to foreign investment and trade (China is a good example ..no Chinese business man wants to put his money in Iran)

No 1 item is acknowledged and they try to fix it. No 2 problem goes to the heart of Islamic Republic system and no president can fix that.
 
Yes Raisi has done better than Rohanni but Rohhanni record was so bad that it is not much of an effort to beat that.

Raisi promised a lot and so far he has failed to deliver..we can only hold him against what he promised to do:

4 million low cast housing
3 million auto production
8% GDP increase first year
Low inflation

Other than some modest increase in auto production the rest he has failed..but he has 2 more years to deliver..I be happy if he even delivers half of what he promised.

Two fundamental problems with Iranian economy that no president has been able to tackle:

1- 80% of economy is managed by the government and not private sector
2- A foreign policy which makes Iran toxic to foreign investment and trade (China is a good example ..no Chinese business man wants to put his money in Iran)

No 1 item is acknowledged and they try to fix it. No 2 problem goes to the heart of Islamic Republic system and no president can fix that.
whatsśyour idea about Raisi performance in stock marcket for example 5% fall in one day , that is even worse than 99
 
whatsśyour idea about Raisi performance in stock marcket for example 5% fall in one day , that is even worse than 99
actually , the market rule doesn't allow fall more than 5% or else ...

when 80 % of economy is in hand of government , blaming people and private sector for everything won't change anything ...

Yes Raisi has done better than Rohanni but Rohhanni record was so bad that it is not much of an effort to beat that.

Raisi promised a lot and so far he has failed to deliver..we can only hold him against what he promised to do:

4 million low cast housing
3 million auto production
8% GDP increase first year
Low inflation

Other than some modest increase in auto production the rest he has failed..but he has 2 more years to deliver..I be happy if he even delivers half of what he promised.

Two fundamental problems with Iranian economy that no president has been able to tackle:

1- 80% of economy is managed by the government and not private sector
2- A foreign policy which makes Iran toxic to foreign investment and trade (China is a good example ..no Chinese business man wants to put his money in Iran)

No 1 item is acknowledged and they try to fix it. No 2 problem goes to the heart of Islamic Republic system and no president can fix that.

ISI doesn't want competitive market at all , they just want closed market so they guarantee their own profit at expense of the people ...
 
actually , the market rule doesn't allow fall more than 5% or else ...

when 80 % of economy is in hand of government , blaming people and private sector for everything won't change anything ...
they didn't close the market at 5% and everyone knew why the stock market fall , government ordered the holdings sell their stock at the result the crash happened . just a single order from a certain government

this also explain it a little

also what happened to Minister of Industry, Mine and Trade after he sacked by parliament , don't you think his fate a little looks like what happened to a certain person in ahmadinejad government
by the way you talked a bout low inflation what is your idea about this
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whatsśyour idea about Raisi performance in stock marcket for example 5% fall in one day , that is even worse than 99
Technically a one day drop of 5% is a "correction"..and not a major event a drop of 20% or more is formally known as market entering "bear" territory. BEARS AND BULLS are long cycles of any market..I did day trading for two years that is why I know that.
 
Raisi promised a lot and so far he has failed to deliver..we can only hold him against what he promised to do:

4 million low cast housing
3 million auto production
8% GDP increase first year
Low inflation

Of course you can do that - knowing that in democratic systems, it's a common thing for politicians to issue all sorts of campaign promises, only to fail carrying them out after they're voted in.

But more conclusive would be a study of what Ra'isi can and what he cannot be expected to accomplish considering the political and economic framework under which he is operating. What areas his maneuvering room covers. What forces are at play in the advisory role to the administration's formulation of economic policies. In what way the economic debate taking place in the background is impacting governmental policy making.

This will allow for deeper understanding of what's going on, and what the stakes are. A series of debates between economic experts have been aired by IRIB over the past years. They represent a good source of information in this regard.

Two fundamental problems with Iranian economy that no president has been able to tackle:

1- 80% of economy is managed by the government and not private sector

Oddly enough, the government is powerless to dictate its terms to major state-owned companies. They're basically doing as they please.

2- A foreign policy which makes Iran toxic to foreign investment and trade (China is a good example ..no Chinese business man wants to put his money in Iran)

No 1 item is acknowledged and they try to fix it. No 2 problem goes to the heart of Islamic Republic system and no president can fix that.

The problem goes to the heart of zio-American imperialism. Washington spelled out its pre-conditions for any agreement with Iran through Pompeo's twelve point list of demands. There will be no middle ground, no alternative to this no matter what. The US is simply not interested in reconciling with Iran on balanced grounds.

Therefore Iranian officials must stop conditioning economic development on vain "hopes" of a thaw in relations with Washington because it will never come. It is precisely this brand of thinking, echoed in your above quote, which has acted as a barrier to economic expansion.

While Iran is the worldwide leader of anti-imperial Resistance at the political and geostrategic level, she is significantly lagging behind Russia and China when it comes to de-dollarization. In other words, Iran has been chaining herself to the US dollar, the same currency used by the enemy as a weapon of economic warfare. Isn't this peculiar?

The Supreme Leader delivers a speech insisting on the necessity to de-dollarize the Iranian economy, and shortly afterwards a monetarist-inspired publication like Donyāye Eqtesād proceeds to run a headline dismissing de-dollarization as such. So much for Iran's economic policy being controlled by the Leadership, by the way. But this begs the question what exactly is causing such a situation? Find out by researching who's who in the Iranian economic debate.



when 80 % of economy is in hand of government , blaming people and private sector for everything won't change anything ...

When the government approaches so-called state-owned companies for funds, they refuse to comply. What kind of state-owned companies have the power to act in such a way? Reality is that through lobbying and similar practices, those companies are imposing their will on the government, not the other way around.

Also the terms private sector and people aren't synonymous. Small business owners do form part of the people at large, but proprietors of giant corporations don't.

It doesn't seem to have occurred to you that your monetarist friends are loving the price hike: after all, they want consumer good prices in Iran to align on international ones, because their goal is to integrate Iran into global markets and to comply with IMF and World Bank directives. At the same time, they'll be up in arms when there's the slightest talk of raising wages accordingly or of imposing taxes on the astronomic profits pocketed by big business.



This is for those who're interested in gaining some insight into the dynamics surrounding and shaping economic policy in Iran. Namely, the ongoing struggle between a rising school of thought which has begun challenging the monopoly of monetarist and neoclassical economics. If you want your judgement on government policies to be an informed one, there's no way around this knowledge.

On Aparat: https://www.aparat.com/v/fdUqc


The full debate between Yāser Jebrā'ili, who works with the Expediency Discernment Council and Mehdi Toqiāni, member of Majles representing Esfahan. While both are considered part of or close to the principlist camp, their views on the economy contrast starkly.

On Aparat: https://www.aparat.com/v/jECnq

 
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Technically a one day drop of 5% is a "correction"..and not a major event a drop of 20% or more is formally known as market entering "bear" territory. BEARS AND BULLS are long cycles of any market..I did day trading for two years that is why I know that.
technically according to law if the market fall 5% it will be closed so its impossible to fall 20% in one day

Oddly enough, the government is powerless to dictate its terms to major state-owned companies. They're basically doing as they please.
interesting so you claim they can't order what they own

When the government approaches so-called state-owned companies for funds, they refuse to comply. What kind of state-owned companies have the power to act in such a way? Reality is that through lobbying and similar practices, those companies are imposing their will on the government, not the other way around.
so raisi consider them as its own piggy bank.
 
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