Iranian Economy.....news and discussions

[aryobarzan]

If we had the bomb no regional country can threaten us ot even think of it.....That gives Iran plennnnnnnty of time to do in-house R$D for Space, Aviation, Engine, etc...All domains that foreigners are reluctant to share technology..

Today's IR has caught the same disease that we had during shah era..."BUY rather than Build". Early years of revolution were not like that....Buying has commissions, kickback ,bribes..etc and today's mullahs or their newly hatched "Mullah-zadeh" have discovered this quick path to wealth.... so we can see that in airforce crowd cheering for buying Russian aircraft or Tehran mayor proudly announcing increasing China's production lines with Iranian funds!!. the "shah disease" is now here in the Islamic Republic. Fu* them all basterds.

 

[HGV]

when you compare them to 215 f-15SA from ksa or UAEs 80 Rafael or 30+ F-35 of Israel or 35 f-16v of Bahrain i wonder what they plug? wonder if the plug the gap in Asfghanistan border

well they plug more than your engine project that needs 20 years

I say we ask operators of ground-based IADS if they think small modern interceptor fleet to support them is helpful or not

 

[Shahzad Riaz]

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[AbdulQadir7]

Iran and Russia have officially completed the integration of their national payment systems.
Russia's Mir payment system was officially connected to Iran's Shetab at a ceremony in Tehran today.
The first phase of the integration will allow holders of Shetab national payment system cards to use them at Russian ATMs.
In the second phase, Russian tourists will be able to use their Mir cards in Iran. Upon completion of the third phase, Iranian citizens will be able to use their Shetab cards to pay for goods and services in Russia.

 

[sidkhan2]

Russia and Iran have successfully transitioned to using their national currencies for the vast majority of their bilateral trade, achieving over 96% of mutual settlements in local currencies. This shift marks a significant step towards dedollarization, reflecting both countries' efforts to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar amid ongoing economic sanctions and geopolitical tensions.

Key Developments:​

• Bilateral Trade Growth: Despite a decline in overall trade volume from $4.9 billion in 2022 to $4 billion in 2023, trade between Russia and Iran has seen a 12.4% increase in the first part of 2024 compared to the previous year. This growth is attributed to enhanced cooperation in various sectors, including energy and transport.
• Strategic Partnership: The two nations are expected to formalize their relationship through a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement, which will likely include provisions for cooperation in media, education, space exploration, and cultural exchanges. This treaty aims to bolster economic ties and facilitate trade in national currencies further.
• Economic Context: Both Russia and Iran face significant challenges due to Western sanctions. By conducting trade in their own currencies, they aim to circumvent these restrictions and strengthen their economic independence. This strategy is particularly crucial for Iran, which has been heavily sanctioned over its nuclear program.
• Joint Projects: The partnership has led to several major joint projects, including the construction of the Rasht-Astara railway and the continued operation of the Bushehr nuclear power plant in Iran. Additionally, both countries are collaborating on the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), enhancing connectivity between Russia, Iran, and India.
• Geopolitical Implications: The deepening ties between Russia and Iran signal a shift towards a multipolar world order, challenging U.S. hegemony. Both nations are positioning themselves as key players in reshaping global dynamics, advocating for alternatives to Western-led systems.

Conclusion​

The complete dedollarization of trade between Russia and Iran underscores their commitment to strengthening bilateral relations while navigating a complex geopolitical landscape. As they continue to enhance economic cooperation and pursue joint projects, the implications for global trade patterns and international relations could be profound, particularly as other nations observe this model of collaboration amidst sanctions and economic pressures.

 

[HaiderAfan]

Russia and Iran have officially abandoned the use of the US dollar in their bilateral trade, opting instead to conduct transactions exclusively in their national currencies—rubles and rials. This decision is part of a broader strategy to circumvent Western sanctions and strengthen economic ties between the two nations.

Key Points:​

• Currency Agreement: The central banks of both countries have reached an agreement to facilitate trade using rubles and rials. This arrangement aims to eliminate the reliance on the dollar and euro, which have been subject to sanctions against both Russia and Iran.
• Trade Growth: The volume of trade between Iran and Russia has seen significant growth, increasing from approximately $1.5 billion in 2020 to about $5 billion in 2023. The two countries are working towards further expanding this figure, with projections suggesting it could reach $7.5 billion by 2025.
• Political Context: This shift away from the dollar is seen as a response to geopolitical pressures, particularly from the United States and its allies. Both nations have faced extensive sanctions that have prompted them to seek alternative financial arrangements.
• Operational Challenges: While the transition to using rubles and rials has progressed, there are still challenges, including a trade imbalance that complicates currency exchange rates. Iranian and Russian businesses often negotiate prices in dollars before converting them into local currencies, which can lead to complications due to fluctuating exchange rates.
• Future Prospects: The commitment to using national currencies reflects a growing trend among countries seeking to reduce dependency on the US dollar in international trade. This move is part of a larger strategy by both Russia and Iran to bolster economic resilience against external pressures.

Conclusion​

The complete abandonment of the US dollar in favor of rubles and rials marks a significant milestone in Russian-Iranian relations, highlighting their efforts to strengthen economic cooperation amidst ongoing sanctions. As both nations continue to navigate complex geopolitical landscapes, this currency agreement may pave the way for deeper financial integration and collaboration in various sectors.

 

[ST1976]

If they even hold on to a 3.8% growth rate annually from here on, it will still be quite decent compared to the slump that occurred in 2018 and 2019 with rouhani refusing to counter amerikwa's maximum pressure sanctions.

Iran is a communist economy. There is a large ratio of 'undocumented' part of GDP in developing countries.
Here
I would be happy to see Iran's growth rate at 3.8% of GDP

 

[HamzaWaseem]

On December 3, 2024, the United States imposed sanctions on 35 entities and vessels involved in the illegal transportation of Iranian oil. This action is part of a broader strategy to target Iran's petroleum sector, which is seen as a critical source of funding for its nuclear program, missile development, and support for regional proxy groups.

Key Details:​

1. Reason for Sanctions: The sanctions follow Iran's military actions, including an October 2024 attack on Israel and its escalating nuclear activities. The U.S. government aims to disrupt Iran's ability to finance its military ambitions and destabilizing activities in the region.
2. Statements from Officials: Acting Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, Bradley T. Smith, highlighted that Iran continues to channel revenues from its oil trade into advancing its nuclear capabilities and supporting terrorist organizations. He emphasized the U.S. commitment to dismantling the "shadow fleet" of vessels that facilitate these illicit activities.
3. Impact of Sanctions: The newly imposed sanctions block all U.S.-based assets of the designated entities and prohibit U.S. persons from engaging in transactions involving these entities. This measure is intended to increase pressure on Iran's economy and reduce its capacity to engage in military provocations.
4. Previous Sanctions Context: These sanctions build upon earlier measures taken in response to Iran's actions against Israel and its nuclear program developments. The U.S. has previously identified key sectors of Iran’s economy for sanctions under Executive Order 13902.
5. Global Reactions: The sanctions are likely to provoke reactions from various stakeholders, including countries that have economic ties with Iran or rely on Iranian oil. The situation may also influence broader geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East.

Conclusion:​

The U.S. sanctions on entities involved in Iranian oil transportation reflect ongoing efforts to curb Iran's military capabilities and influence in the region. As tensions continue to rise, these measures aim to disrupt Iran's financial resources while reinforcing international norms against illicit oil trade linked to destabilizing activities.

 

[RClarkTaylor]

Iran is currently grappling with a severe fuel crisis, exacerbated by a combination of freezing weather, outdated infrastructure, and the impact of international sanctions. In response to the escalating situation, authorities have implemented drastic measures including extending school closures, shutting down cities, and suspending operations at power plants to manage the crisis.

Key Details of the Fuel Crisis​

1. Severe Fuel Shortages: The country is facing acute shortages of natural gas and electricity, leading to widespread disruptions. Reports indicate that daily gas consumption has surged due to the cold weather, pushing demand past 600 million cubic meters, while officials have acknowledged a daily deficit of 350 million cubic meters of natural gas.
2. School and Business Closures: As part of efforts to conserve fuel and manage the crisis, schools and non-essential businesses across northern provinces have been ordered to close. Government office hours have also been reduced to 8 a.m. to 2 p.m. through February, with remote work mandated where possible.
3. Rolling Blackouts: The Iranian government has begun implementing rolling blackouts across major cities as electricity generation struggles to keep pace with demand. Power cuts are scheduled from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m., affecting both residential and commercial areas.
4. Infrastructure Challenges: Years of underinvestment in Iran's energy infrastructure have left the country vulnerable to such crises. Many power plants rely on inefficient dual boilers that can operate on either gas or mazut (a heavy fuel oil), which has led to increased pollution levels as the government resorts to burning mazut due to insufficient gas supplies.
5. Government Response: Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has urged citizens to conserve energy by lowering home temperatures and has emphasized the need for structural solutions rather than temporary fixes like blackouts. The government is also attempting to curb gas smuggling, which has exacerbated domestic shortages.
6. Impact of Sanctions: The ongoing international sanctions have hindered Iran's ability to modernize its energy infrastructure, contributing significantly to the current crisis. Despite possessing the world's second-largest natural gas reserves, Iran's production capabilities have been severely limited.
7. Public Reaction: The crisis has led to widespread frustration among the Iranian populace, with social media platforms buzzing with complaints about power outages and fuel shortages reminiscent of previous waves of protests against government mismanagement.

Conclusion​

The fuel crisis in Iran represents a significant challenge for the government as it struggles to meet the energy needs of its population amid harsh winter conditions. With no immediate solutions in sight, the situation could lead to further unrest if public dissatisfaction continues to grow. As authorities implement emergency measures, the long-term implications for Iran's energy policy and infrastructure remain critical areas for observation in the coming months.