Iranian public opinion poll on nuclear deal, by University of Maryland's Center for International and Security Studies with survey conducted from Toronto, Canada employing RDD landline sampling:
http://www.cissm.umd.edu/sites/default/files/CISSM-PA Iranian Public Opinion on the Nuclear Agreement 090915 FINAL-LR.pdf
Here are some of the big points:
a)
76% of Iranians approve of the deal
21% do not approve of it
b)
80% of people see the deal as either beneficial to Iran or as an outright victory
18% of people see the deal as a loss for Iran
c)
65% of people perceive P5+1 made significant concessions to Iran
40% of people perceive Iran made significant concessions to P5+1
d)
82% of Iranians believe Iranian negotiators performed a good job.
14% of Iranians believe Iranian negotiators did a poor job
e)
94% of the people consider the development of nuclear program to be important
f)
77% of Iranians believe if Majles comes to conclusion that the deal is against Iran's national interests, then Majles should be able to block the deal
16% of Iranians believe Majles should not be given the power to block the deal
g)
75% of Iranians say the nuclear deal has caused to improve their opinion of Rouhani
14% say the deal negatively affected their opinion of Rouhani
h)
89% of people have a favorable opinion of Rouhani
9% of people have a negative opinion of Rouhani
i)
60% of Iranians prefer Rouhani supporters to win most of the Majles seats in the coming election
22% of Iranians prefer Rouhani critics to win most of the Majles seats in the coming election
j)
89% of the people have a positive opinion of Zarif
5% of the people have a negative opinion of Zarif
k)
62% of people have a favorable view of Ahmadinejad a decrease from 67% in July
35% of people have negative view of Ahmadinejad
l)
43% of people have a favorable view of Jalili
28% have unfavorable views of Jalili and 23% do not recognize his name
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But the devil is in the detail as they say.
There are serious misperception about the deal among Iranians, over issues such as what Iran has given up and what it will get in return and in what sequence. Iranians appear to be grossly misinformed about the deal's implementation sequence for instance with 77% believing sanctions are going to be lifted before or at the same time as Iran implements the deal which is not the case as per the agreement. Only 16% of Iranians correctly believe that sanctions will remain in place until Iran verifiably completes its obligations under the deal.
Many believe Iran has not given up much and is going to receive total lifting of sanctions and huge improvement in economy for example the majority of Iranians incorrectly believe Iran has not accepted any restriction in nuclear R&D. Overall these people who are misinformed about the deal, are the ones who for the most part support the deal.
The people who follow BBC or VOA were more likely to be misinformed and support the deal than people who were not following BBC or VOA.
If survey is controlled for these misperceptions then only half of Iranians will support the deal.
For alot of other interesting parameters, questions and their complete results please see the above link.
