As per usual the US and my fellow American citizens have completely discredited and by in large disregarded the potency of the this heavily upgraded and customized S-300 missile defense system which from what I know will be integrated into a nation wide Iranian multi-tier air defense network comprising of many different and equally potent systems all complementing each other in different ways.
But this is not in essence what I wanted to shed light upon in this post. What I want to present for discussion is a retrospective/holistic look on how the entire Iranian Air defense network stacks up to the US and Israel plus the PERSIAN gulf states in a potential attack (which by all indications is still very, very likely sorry to say) and how accurately we can assess the effectiveness of Iran's upgraded and very deadly air defense network.
First I would like to start off with every Americans point of reference, Iraq ( I am fully aware that Iran is not Iraq ). Many here in the US simply don't know or don't care about what factors went into the multiple defeats of Iraq and the final defeat of Saddam's military back in 2003. Most Americans would like to believe that there was some kind of military parity between the US and Iraq but the reality was Iraq was in COMPLETE shambles and disarray before the 2003 invasion, with the sanctions that contributed to the killing of over 500,000 Iraqi children and Saddam's stupid policies that lead to many in the military not wanting to fight for Iraq or for Saddam. The sanctions themselves completely destroyed Iraq's ability to acquire military equipment, so most of their Air craft were not at full fighting capacity and their air defense were simply not adequate enough to stop or deter any attack by the US air force and Navy what-so-ever. And probably one of the biggest issues at least when I look at it. Iran, due to the sanctions, was forced to arm itself while Iraq just relied on outside military equipment (big mistake for a nation at war, to not have an industrial base for fighting). So knowing this, my fellow Americans still like to believe that the US military can strike WITH IMPUNITY at any time it want's and completely omit any danger to its attacking force ( now I know that the Americans here are more aware and educated on the actual lethality of the US military and make no mistake the US is very lethal but to my fellow Americans you know exactly what I am talking about when I talk about the 'Murican pride and no one can beat us or defend themselves from us attitude).
When this it taken into account, the next thing to talk about is the actual attack on Iraq's infrastructure itself. This point that I will bring up will be my own assessment that is based on mostly fact but some speculations as well. It is well known that the US used the F-15, F-16, B-52's and B-2's and many other complementary air craft that provided air support, early warning and electronic war fare capabilities. But what I think most people don't mention is the speculated use of small scale nuclear or neutron weapons which worked to completely quell Iraq's existing defense network or whatever was left of it. These nuclear/neutron bombs are very deadly and completely destroy it's target and other electronic equipment around it ( this is obviously the speculation part of this post with regard to the neutron bombs capability to destroy electronic equipment) all the while Tomahawk cruise missiles were being launched from Arleigh-Burke class destroyer as well as the Ticonderoga class destroyers with F-18's flying from US super carriers in the Persian Gulf all hitting at the same time, all of Iraq's critical infrastructure (power generation, military etc...).
So, when this situation is potentially applied to the Iran, and if the goal of the US ( Israel and the rest included, you guys know who they are) is to destroy Iran's nuclear infrastructure, there really is no other alternative other then full out war since Iran will not just sit and let it's source of national energy and pride just be destroyed because other nations sad it can't have it due to "terrorism" and supposed genocidal ambitions ( Total destruction of Israel, I don't believe in this crap by the way lol).
Based on what I have learned over the 5-6 years on IMF (Iranian military forum) Iran's air defense network is comprised of both western and indigenous systems that work in tandem it seems. There is the HAWK, zu-23-2, S-300, Talash 3, Herz 9, S-200, Sayyad missiles and the newly made Bavar-373 and many other home made defense systems. BUT and this is a vey big but, is it all enough to stop or deter an attack? Given the history of both US and Israel (these two countries are the only two I honestly see ever conducting an attack on Iranian soil for any reason) the attack will most likely be a saturated one that will be composed of air, land and sea multi-pronged strikes that will test many aspects of Iran's defense structure. The long range high altitude defense of the S-300 and Bavar 373 will be imperative in fending off many of the more potent enemy attacks while the medium to lower range defense systems will be used to clean up whatever is left that made it through.
It's just that, as an American ( my parents are Iranian and I was born here in the states, I have a strong connection to Iran, so naturally I get worried for Iran's well-being since many of my family members and in Iran, actually most of my family members are in Iran )
I do think that Iran's current Air defense network is adequate and beyond deadly to any air force but will it be enough to stop the US and Israel in the future ( the US will most likely be more hawkish after Obama leaves ).
As always to everyone here no matter what country or religion you are, stay healthy and safe.
Thank you very much for reading this post,
P.S: If you guys wanna add to this go right ahead and if I made some factual inaccuracies please feel free to correct me.
Thanks for your comment.
Please bear in mind that no Iranian (despite all the rhetoric from Iran military leaders, which is a normal behavior in any country to boost moral an deter the enemies) is under the delusion to think in a case of all out war between Iran and US, Iran will be the winner. Putting aside the technicality and capabilities of each side, it boils down to this: US is a 360 million strong nation (4.5 time more than that of Iran), with a land area 6 times that of Iran and an economy which is 45 times larger. These are the numbers that eventually define who will win in an actual war.
Imperial Japan made that mistake back in WWII. They were order of magnitude stronger in sea and air when compared to US after the Pearl Harbor attack so they thought they are stronger and they can keep it that way but what they didn't realize is that bigger population, economy and resources can easily translate to superior military might and/or number so just after two years, Japan fell behind because it was not able to replenish its lost units as fast as US could.
Back to Iran VS US case, it is the same situation. We may end up in a similar outcome like that of Veitnam war where in a war of attrition, eventually public pressure forces US to withdraw but at the same time we know we will lose all our infrastructure. Iranian are smart enough not to seek such an outcome even if they are announced winner of the war.
So Iran is never looking for an all out war scenario and its strategy is to make its opponents also think twice before they go down such a path. Iran's strategy is to increase the cost of any attack on Iran to the point that any potential enemy like US or Israel, opt for other means like diplomacy or even sanctions.
Going back to your question about Iran's AD system. I can assure you they are as accurate and deadly as you can get. After watching US previous wars eagerly, Iranians know that if they can ground or at least counter US airforce, then they have already raised the cost of any military option for US enough to prevent any attacks to begin with. Thus, AD has been Iran's top priority since almost 15 years ago. Iran established an independent division in its armed forces for AD, started with investing heavily on Radar design and production and at the same time increasing the range and accuracy of its AD missiles. Bavar 373's capacity are yet to be seen but they are already picking the fruit of their investment in Radars and early warning systems.
Here is a sample of how accurate and effective Iran's radars are. A couple of days ago, Iran's head of AD division announced activation of Iran's Nazir radar which is designed to detect drones, stealth and high flying objects. He said from now on, no drone or spy plane can enter Iran's air space without us knowing. Only a few days after that, Iran warned off a US drone, 20 miles off Iran border that was heading towards Iran from Afghanistan:
This is the screen of radar showing the incoming drone. As you can see all parameters of the object is recognized and displayed.
Here is the source that is in Persian:
http://www.mashreghnews.ir/fa/news/624576/شناساسی-و-اخطار-قرارگاه-پدافند-به-پهپاد-رادارگریز-آمریکایی-سند
Iran says it was a stealth drone probably judging by its RCS. Look at the height of the drone: 137, it can be meters or most probably feet. So the radar was able to find an object as small as a drone flying only 41m (height of a ten story building) in a mountainous area like that of Afghanistan.
Everyone knows that detection and guidance is the toughest part of designing an effective AD missiles system. The above news and similar shows Iran already has been successful in designing potent radars. Designing the missile that can carry the warhead to the target, should be peanuts for a nation that can put satellites in the orbit.