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India's population surpasses China, The Graphic Truth —How do their populations stack up?

beijingwalker

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India's population surpasses China, The Graphic Truth —How do their populations stack up?
April 19, 2023
Gabrielle DebinskiLuisa Vieira
side-by-side-chart-comparing-china-s-and-india-s-gdp-per-capital-gender-balance-literacy-rate-and-young-population.png


India is set to imminently overtake China as the world’s most populous country. Demographic growth is a sensitive topic for both countries, but particularly for the Chinese, who are worried about recent population decline and its impact on domestic productivity.

Still, for all the emphasis on population size, it is just one metric contributing to the development of a country’s labor force – and economic growth. So what else matters? We compare some other indicators impacting India and China’s respective economic trajectories.

 
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A huge problem I see down the road for India is the ability to provide jobs for younger population. China's population has peaked and it's struggling to keep youth employed. Mind you, these are university graduates that have trouble finding a job.
 
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I huge problem I see down the road for India is the ability to provide jobs for younger population. China's population has peaked and it's struggling to keep youth employed. Mind you, these are university graduates that have trouble finding a job.
Employment is easy.


Productive employment is what matters.
 
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I huge problem I see down the road for India is the ability to provide jobs for younger population. China's population has peaked and it's struggling to keep youth employed. Mind you, these are university graduates that have trouble finding a job.
Job creation for sure will be a problem, but manageable.
 
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Employment is easy.


Productive employment is what matters.
How? China being the worls runaway leader in manufacturing, still has trouble to provide enough jobs, and manufacturing is the biggest employer in most countries, India's manufacturing sector is very weak, how can it manage to provide jobs for 1 billion people?
 
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When a country has large surplus workforce this country can produce lots of goods and sell them to other countries to support this large workforce, China is the world biggest exporter by a huge margin, still faces unemployment issues, India is not even in the map for exports and is one of the largest trade deficit countries, how can Indian government manage unemployment crisis which may hit India really hard in the coming decades.
 
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Indians and Americans always claim that China has the worst gender balance crisis due to the decades old one child policy, but in reality India even fares worse in this regard.

If you kill off female fetuses before the 2nd trimester - which is their culture, then what can be expected? It was made illegal sometime ago, but the practice continues.

These are uneducated mediaeval people - majority of Indian rural areas are like this.

Their female employment rate is 23% - ours in Bangladesh is about double that by now (42% at last count).

Most Hindutva people believe in enslaving and exploiting their females, which is most of North Indian states like UP, Bihar, Haryana etc.

Backwardness which is unbelievably sad.
 
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looks like india is future shanty house and rat eating country.
 
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How? China being the worls runaway leader in manufacturing, still has trouble to provide enough jobs, and manufacturing is the biggest employer in most countries, India's manufacturing sector is very weak, how can it manage to provide jobs for 1 billion people?
What I'm saying is that a significant amount of employment currently in most of the world is simply not productive to begin with.


This is why Employment is a poor indicator to take by itself.


What actually matters is labor productivity.


It doesn't matter how many people are employed or unemployed, it matters what the aggregate productivity of the labor force is vs the maximum feasible productivity.


Jobs are not in and of themselves productive.


One can make infinite non-productive jobs.


Unemployment is only a problem when it is too low.


There is no automatic cap on efficient unemployment.


Unemployment can be efficiently at 90+% in some countries, like oil sheikdoms.


This simply means that the excess population is more or less worthless.
 
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If you kill off female fetuses before the 2nd trimester - which is their culture, then what can be expected? It was made illegal sometime ago, but the practice continues.

These are uneducated mediaeval people - majority of Indian rural areas are like this.

Their female employment rate is 23% - ours in Bangladesh is about double that by now (42% at last count).

Most Hindutva people believe in enslaving and exploiting their females, which is most of North Indian states like UP, Bihar, Haryana etc.

Backwardness which is unbelievably sad.
Power of western propaganda, any issues about China will be magnified multiple times and broadcasted around the world non stop, but when similar issues happen to India, they'll be shushed or covered up. for whatever problem China has, India only has them too and worse, but the western media makes the world believe they only happen in China.
 
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Job creation for sure will be a problem, but manageable.
If China has trouble managing to create enough jobs for its graduates despite being 6x the size of India's GDP, then it will be a severe challenge for you. China's youth unemployment rate is sitting at 20% at the moment and probably even higher if you consider underemployment.
 
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If China has trouble managing to create enough jobs for its graduates despite being 6x the size of India's GDP, then it will be a severe challenge for you. China's youth unemployment rate is sitting at 20% at the moment and probably even higher if you consider underemployment.
Well if your claims were true then economic output in China would've shrunk, but its still booming. Much of these are survey based and doesn't necessarily mean its true. CMIE publishes unemployment rate for India and according to them the worst states in terms of job creation have negligible unemployment rate while industrialised states have ultra-high unemployment rate in double digits.

But one needs to remember, as more people got jobs in China, the pressure on agriculture reduced, today just 25% of China's population indulges in farming compared to 49% in India (twice) and hence a farmer in China will have better lifestyle as his productivity increases with decrease in people practicing agriculture.
 
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