Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions.

[SarthakGanguly]

Nitish Kumar shown slippers at JD(U) election rally, crowd chants Modi's name - Firstpost

 

[magudi]

I think it could be Sushil Kumar Modi, Nand Kishore Yadav or Prem Kumar(EBC)

Which brings us to Sushil Modi, reticent and self-effacing, an able administrator who will never be allowed by his own party to administrate, riven as it is by upper-caste prejudice in the state. Modi will be too busy watching his back for the proverbial dagger — which he knows is being sharpened this very minute in accordance with the post-poll scenario — to actually bring the development he talks so sincerely about in all his rallies.

Bihari babus’ patalipolitics: Bihar in for good times - ET Blogs

Nitish Kumar shown slippers at JD(U) election rally, crowd chants Modi's name - Firstpost

Lateeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

Nitish Kumar shown slippers at JD(U) election rally, crowd chants Modi's name - Firstpost

Btw some news for libbers @ranjeet @Star Wars : Horse slaughter 'banned' in US on grounds of cruelty to animals, religious considerations | Latest News & Updates at Daily News & Analysis

 

[Jason bourne]

MGB gave 65 tickets.. 65 to Yadavs , giving 22 is not enough. All they can hope for is the votes of the youth+Lalu's beef gaffe to anger some yadavs.

& Kushwahas are divided!! Don't automatically assume they will vote just because of RLSP, most of them are not loyal to RLSP!! Many will still vote for who NiKu wants them too.

Even some Mahadalits still view NiKu as a messiah!(non-Musahar ones)

& even SuMo is from the EBC category I think(or is it OBC)-Bania.

@magudi- I just confirmed with a contact of mine, Prem Kumar despite being a top leader may lose his seat due to anti-incumbency+MGB castes unity, this could be a last ditch attempt to save him, but going by previous trends this could be certain.

I wish @jha or @arp2014 were here with us.

Jha and arp2014 both here just talked with them ...

 

[Darmashkian]

@magudi @JanjaWeed as I had said in my analysis a few posts back , MGB will use the Congress to divided Upper Caste votes & it has succeeded in Bhagalpur

https://twitter.com/x/status/653555868072415233

Jha and arp2014 both here just talked with them ...

Where? on this forum or on the personal whatsapp group??



@SURYA-1

I remember the days of hamara congress

Stupid site, disliked it. Stopped reading it after 1 ridiculously foolish article

 

[magudi]

@magudi @JanjaWeed as I had said in my analysis a few posts back , MGB will use the Congress to divided Upper Caste votes & it has succeeded in Bhagalpur

https://twitter.com/x/status/653555868072415233

Where? on this forum or on the personal whatsapp group??

All is not rosy in the MGB club as well but have you read this , its an interesting ground report - Alert and connected, young Muslims in Bihar find Facebook is a smart way to affect votes - Firstpost

 

[Jason bourne]

@magudi @JanjaWeed as I had said in my analysis a few posts back , MGB will use the Congress to divided Upper Caste votes & it has succeeded in Bhagalpur

https://twitter.com/x/status/653555868072415233

Where? on this forum or on the personal whatsapp group??



@SURYA-1


Stupid site, disliked it. Stopped reading it after 1 ridiculously foolish article

Yeh whtsapp grp ..

 

[Darmashkian]

All is not rosy in the MGB club as well but have you read this , its an interesting ground report - Alert and connected, young Muslims in Bihar find Facebook is a smart way to affect votes - Firstpost

MIM is contesting only 6 seats & Muslims elders know the meaning of unity, the JDU guy in kishanganj stepped down to ensure the defeat of the BJP.

Muslim elders will do their best to make sure to get as many votes for MGB, but the owaisis could cause quite a problem for the MGB.
But at the end I see the MGB emerging triumphant over MIM

Yeh whtsapp grp ..

What did they say ?? Can u tell us?

 

[Star Wars]

Isn't Samastipur,Munger, Khagaria MBG stronghold ? i heard its going downhill for them there...

@Tridibans What news ?

 

[Darmashkian]

Isn't Samastipur,Munger, Khagaria MBG stronghold ? i heard its going downhill for them there...

Samastipur is a stronghold of the MGB(ideologically & 2010 seat wise), this socialism stuff is really strong there due to karpoori thakur; if they lose there. NDA can sweep Bihar with a 2/3rd majority.

Munger & Khagaria too are strongholds of the MGB

But TBH I think Phase-1 is going to be 50-50 for both sides, just check Sachin Reddy's analysis which I posted on the previous page in 9) points.

 

[Star Wars]

Samastipur is a stronghold of the MGB(ideologically & 2010 seat wise), if they lose there. NDA can sweep Bihar with a 2/3rd majority.

But TBH I think Phase-1 is going to be 50-50 for both sides, just check Sachin Reddy's analysis which I posted on the previous page in 9) points.

Depends on how you look at 50-50, how many of these seats are MBG strong holds ? Was MBG supposed to gain in this round or loose in this round ? Because from what i hear from different tweets, 50-50 in this round is bad news for MBG ...

 

[Darmashkian]

Depends on how you look at 50-50, how many of these seats are MBG strong holds ? Was MBG supposed to gain in this round or loose in this round ? Because from what i hear from different tweets, 50-50 in this round is bad news for MBG ...

Yep it is bad,

https://twitter.com/x/status/653548524760530945

let me post sachin reddy's analysis here
Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions. | Page 2864

Let's check Sachin Reddy's analysis
1)Final impression: Pappu Yadav's candidates have helped NDA in select seats of Samastipur & Khagaria.
2)Final impression: In a momentum election with no visible wave, Phase-1 seems to have hung the sword on the neck of both the sides!
3)Final impression: The absolute turnout in JDU's incumbent seats is much higher than thos of BJP. This cud show the direction of anti incumbency
4)5% more females have voted than Males! Will be a significant deciding factor. Women have both soft corner for Nitish and immense fear of Lalu.
5)In 2010, most districts of Phase-1 had a turnout much lower than state avg of 52.6%. Nawada Jamui Banka Munger all had 45-47%.Huge jump!
6)Turnout aside, the absolute no. total votes polled is much higher than 2010. No. total voters increased from 5.5 Cr in '10 to 6.7 Cr in '15!
7)Total final turnout in 2010 from the 10 districts was 50.4% (1.2% lower than state average). This time, it has seen an increase of 6.6%
8)So it is safe to assume that the avg state-wide turnout wil be in xcess of 60%; an incr in 6%+, an absolute incr of 1.1 Crore+ votes polled
9)It is these 1 Crore odd new votes which will essentially decide who will win this election, Period!

NOW will you like my post

 

[ranjeet]

Yeh whtsapp grp ..

Ask arp about the prediction, that evil Sanghi was never wrong about the result.

 

[Star Wars]

Yep it is bad,

https://twitter.com/x/status/653548524760530945

let me post sachin reddy's analysis here
Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions. | Page 2864

Let's check Sachin Reddy's analysis
1)Final impression: Pappu Yadav's candidates have helped NDA in select seats of Samastipur & Khagaria.
2)Final impression: In a momentum election with no visible wave, Phase-1 seems to have hung the sword on the neck of both the sides!
3)Final impression: The absolute turnout in JDU's incumbent seats is much higher than thos of BJP. This cud show the direction of anti incumbency
4)5% more females have voted than Males! Will be a significant deciding factor. Women have both soft corner for Nitish and immense fear of Lalu.
5)In 2010, most districts of Phase-1 had a turnout much lower than state avg of 52.6%. Nawada Jamui Banka Munger all had 45-47%.Huge jump!
6)Turnout aside, the absolute no. total votes polled is much higher than 2010. No. total voters increased from 5.5 Cr in '10 to 6.7 Cr in '15!
7)Total final turnout in 2010 from the 10 districts was 50.4% (1.2% lower than state average). This time, it has seen an increase of 6.6%
8)So it is safe to assume that the avg state-wide turnout wil be in xcess of 60%; an incr in 6%+, an absolute incr of 1.1 Crore+ votes polled
9)It is these 1 Crore odd new votes which will essentially decide who will win this election, Period!

NOW will you like my post

https://twitter.com/x/status/653560839706963968

 

[Robinhood Pandey]

Ask arp about the prediction, that evil Sanghi was never wrong about the result.

Arp is alive ?

Last i heard, he was gassed in a farting chamber till death.

 

[Jason bourne]

MIM is contesting only 6 seats & Muslims elders know the meaning of unity, the JDU guy in kishanganj stepped down to ensure the defeat of the BJP.

Muslim elders will do their best to make sure to get as many votes for MGB, but the owaisis could cause quite a problem for the MGB.
But at the end I see the MGB emerging triumphant over MIM


What did they say ?? Can u tell us?

[4:11AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Samastipur, Banks and Bhagalpur going to MGB.. In rest BJP+ stands some chance
[4:13AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Banka
[4:19AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: MGB Aage hai kuch jagah pe..kuch pe BJP
[4:19AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Overall performance achcjha hai
[4:19AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: NDA
[4:20AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Both side se voting hua hai
[4:21AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Management BJP ka better hai
[4:24AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Haan.. Kuch Yadav ka vote bhi mila hai BJP ko
[4:25AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Lakin kai jagah pe Rajput ka vote MGB ko gaya hai
[4:27AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Complex situation hai..
[5:54AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Kuch Yadav vote para to hai ... A number of factors..
[5:55AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Including Beef.. Mostly youth from Yadavs
[5:56AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: 3rd front has helped BJP at some places.. But still too close to say anything..
[5:56AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Allies hVe underperformed
[6:00AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Abhi dono camps wale dare hue hain.. Mistakes both sides ne ki hai..
[6:01AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: BJP wale dalits ko bahar nahi LA paye poori tarah..
[6:02AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Yes.. Jyada haalat kharab MGB walon ki hai.. Inko seats jyada thi is phase mein
[6:03AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: 3rd front ne kuch help to kiya hai NDA ko.. Kitna help kiya hai, yeh abhi clear nahi hai
[6:04AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Owaisi ki seats last phase mein hain
[6:06AM, 12/10/2015] Jhà: Haan..MGB ko problem ho rahi thi.. Isi liye usko sideline kar diya