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Proud Hindu
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kirit somaiya ko vote kiya 
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Constituency Report 2: Mumbai South and Mathura
Posted : 9:35 am, April 24, 2014 by admin
Mumbai South
Milind Deora of Congress is once again pitted against Bala Nandgaonkar of MNS and Arvind Sawnat of Shiv Sena. The division of core Marathi votes should make it easy victory for Milind Deora once again who had won by a whopping 1 lakh plus votes in 2009. We are of course tracking some important swing polling booths of Byculla and Shivadi to see how exactly things are panning out today.
Although Milind Deora of Congress is leading by a small margin till post-noon, most of that lead is coming from Muslim votes, whereas Shiv Sena has got major consolidation of Dalit and Maratha voters. In fact the Dalit consolidation behind Sena and the less than average performance of MNS is a silver lining for the saffron alliance. We are closely watching this seat till evening to see how this eventually shapes up.
Mathura
It must be remembered that Jayant Chaudhary the scion of the Jat’s first family of western UP and the legatee of Chaudhary Charan Singh, had won the 2009 election with the support of the BJP. There is no doubt that he had taken humungous leads in assembly segments like Baldev and Mant of close to 50k each in 2009, but to what extent was that also a BJP vote is something that will decide today’s contest.
Uttar Pradesh’s fascination with Filmstars is almost legendary, so much so that even a starlet like Jaya Prada who was long past her sell by date had managed to win from Rampur for two successive terms and that too for the second time despite the opposition of local SP top honcho, Azam Khan. Thus there is a definite buzz of support to Dream Girl Hema Malini here in Mathura which is well and beyond the Modi wave and the BJP’s core voters. Hema’s Jat connection due to marriage Dharam Pa ji is also helping her here in the Jat heartland.
In the end analysis, we believe the vote of Mathura will be decided by how the town of Mathura votes so we are tracking Mathura extensively including the moffusil areas and surrounding villages to check the voter mood of 2014.
Hema Malini seems to have put Jayant Chaudhary on the mat by getting a huge OBC consolidation of over 60% and upper Caste consolidation of nearly 70%. The Jats also seem to have voted in large numbers for the BJP. The only problem area for the Dream Girl is the Dalit consolidation is strongly behind Maya which may split up the anti-RLD votes to some extent. By post noon we are projecting that it would be very difficult for Jayant to come back now in Mathura.
Constituency Report 2: Mumbai South and Mathura
Posted : 9:35 am, April 24, 2014 by admin
Mumbai South
Milind Deora of Congress is once again pitted against Bala Nandgaonkar of MNS and Arvind Sawnat of Shiv Sena. The division of core Marathi votes should make it easy victory for Milind Deora once again who had won by a whopping 1 lakh plus votes in 2009. We are of course tracking some important swing polling booths of Byculla and Shivadi to see how exactly things are panning out today.
Although Milind Deora of Congress is leading by a small margin till post-noon, most of that lead is coming from Muslim votes, whereas Shiv Sena has got major consolidation of Dalit and Maratha voters. In fact the Dalit consolidation behind Sena and the less than average performance of MNS is a silver lining for the saffron alliance. We are closely watching this seat till evening to see how this eventually shapes up.
Mathura
It must be remembered that Jayant Chaudhary the scion of the Jat’s first family of western UP and the legatee of Chaudhary Charan Singh, had won the 2009 election with the support of the BJP. There is no doubt that he had taken humungous leads in assembly segments like Baldev and Mant of close to 50k each in 2009, but to what extent was that also a BJP vote is something that will decide today’s contest.
Uttar Pradesh’s fascination with Filmstars is almost legendary, so much so that even a starlet like Jaya Prada who was long past her sell by date had managed to win from Rampur for two successive terms and that too for the second time despite the opposition of local SP top honcho, Azam Khan. Thus there is a definite buzz of support to Dream Girl Hema Malini here in Mathura which is well and beyond the Modi wave and the BJP’s core voters. Hema’s Jat connection due to marriage Dharam Pa ji is also helping her here in the Jat heartland.
In the end analysis, we believe the vote of Mathura will be decided by how the town of Mathura votes so we are tracking Mathura extensively including the moffusil areas and surrounding villages to check the voter mood of 2014.
Hema Malini seems to have put Jayant Chaudhary on the mat by getting a huge OBC consolidation of over 60% and upper Caste consolidation of nearly 70%. The Jats also seem to have voted in large numbers for the BJP. The only problem area for the Dream Girl is the Dalit consolidation is strongly behind Maya which may split up the anti-RLD votes to some extent. By post noon we are projecting that it would be very difficult for Jayant to come back now in Mathura.
HariPrasad
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onu1886
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Because of presence of MNS which is splitting the votes of marathi manus
Android
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Big Gujarati population keeps NDA hope alive in Mumbai
BJP didn't do anything to stop MNS from using Modi's name and image during their campaign as well ShivSena didn't tried to portray that voting for MNS indirectly helps UPA
Because of presence of MNS which is splitting the votes of marathi manus
BJP didn't do anything to stop MNS from using Modi's name and image during their campaign as well ShivSena didn't tried to portray that voting for MNS indirectly helps UPA
onu1886
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There is only so much that the BJP could do . MNS candidates and workers were going aroung telling people that they support Modi , BJP could'nt have possibly gagged them. The split in votes was inevitable.
Raj got what he wanted , prevented Shiv sena candidates from winning in Mumbai.
I am going to blame this all on Uddhav Thackrey. Nitin Gadkari was about to get a deal from Raj where there where MNS was'nt going to contest these elections. Instead of keeping shut Uddhav's ego got the better of him and he threw a tantrum , the result of which we can all see today.
HariPrasad
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This idiot shiv sena guys have big egos. Had Raj been there with SS and BJP, They would have swept Maharashtra. Idiot Udhdhav is not ready to any compromise. now he is loosing.(In some seats which otherwise would have been into the SS' basket)
notsuperstitious
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You forgot to add how that bastard sunil dutt cultivated those slums / pockets just for votes and destroyed the western suburbs... now his daughter is reaping the rewards.
Proud Hindu
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HariPrasad
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Now when Modi comes to power, he should work for splitting the votes of Muslims and take one group with BJP. It will be all over for Pseudo secular parties. BJP should train some people to take a lead in strategy making and organizing elections like Amit shah did.
DO not talk like a politician. Sidhe sidhe Batao kaun Jit raha hai?
DO not talk like a politician. Sidhe sidhe Batao kaun Jit raha hai?
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Proud Hindu
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Proud Hindu
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