Though you guys are mainly discussing at tactical level, I will paste copy of what I opined in another forum. Draw down from the strategic framework to tactical level and you may arrive at conclusions which may be more closer to reality.
Quote:
China’s defence effort is much bigger than that of India. This can pose a potent threat to India.
A major geographical imbalance places many of India’s political and economic centres close to the Himalayan Ranges.
Siliguri Corridor places India in a delicate position if there is uncertainty in the area.
Contrarily, almost all of China’s economic and political centres of gravity are in Eastern China though Tibet certainly is a sensitive region.
China has carried out major improvements in her logistical infrastructure in areas to support operations inside India.
The possibility of Chinese gaining a strategic surprise against India are indeed low, with fair bit of warning time available to India.
China is unlikely to embark on any major adventure to disturb the status-quo along the border in the near to mid-term future, unless events spiral out of control.
Indians feel that the Chinese would be able to deploy about 33 Divisions against them which indeed is a potent threat.
The Indians feel that as Chinese and Indian interests clash, Chinese may enhance military presence and may initiate support to insurgent groups in disputed areas.
The Chinese could also use Burmese territory to extend threat and may use Bay of Bengal for limited projection of power.
India is likely to follow a strategy of dissuasive defence. However, as dissuasion being a comparatively weaker option, it will be coupled with strategic offensive capability having a potent deterrence.
Indians are putting due emphasis on improved logistics infrastructure while reducing the teeth to tail ratio.
To gain appropriate warning time, India is enhancing its integrated surveillance capability linked with satellite based surveillance. Improved intelligence acquisition capability in particular collusion with Americans and allied Western nations.China’s defence effort is much bigger than that of India. This can pose a potent threat to India.
A major geographical imbalance places many of India’s political and economic centres close to the Himalayan Ranges.
Siliguri Corridor places India in a delicate position if there is uncertainty in the area.
Contrarily, almost all of China’s economic and political centres of gravity are in Eastern China though Tibet certainly is a sensitive region.
China has carried out major improvements in her logistical infrastructure in areas to support operations inside India.
The possibility of Chinese gaining a strategic surprise against India are indeed low, with fair bit of warning time available to India.
China is unlikely to embark on any major adventure to disturb the status-quo along the border in the near to mid-term future, unless events spiral out of control.
Indians feel that the Chinese would be able to deploy about 33 Divisions against them which indeed is a potent threat.
The Indians feel that as Chinese and Indian interests clash, Chinese may enhance military presence and may initiate support to insurgent groups in disputed areas.
The Chinese could also use Burmese territory to extend threat and may use Bay of Bengal for limited projection of power.
India is likely to follow a strategy of dissuasive defence. However, as dissuasion being a comparatively weaker option, it will be coupled with strategic offensive capability having a potent deterrence.
Indians are putting due emphasis on improved logistics infrastructure while reducing the teeth to tail ratio.
To gain appropriate warning time, India is enhancing its integrated surveillance capability linked with satellite based surveillance. Improved intelligence acquisition capability in particular collusion with Americans and allied Western nations.
