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India fastest growing major economy in 2018-19, will grow by 7.3%: World Bank

Chanakyaa

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World Bank has forecast that India will continue to remain the fastest growing major economy in the world in 2018-19. In a report that was released on Tuesday (January 8) the World Bank said India's Gross domestic Product (GDP) will grow at 7.3 per cent during the ongoing financial year. In comparison, China is expected to register a much lower growth rate of 6.3 per cent in 2018-19.

These predictions have been made in a report prepared by the World Bank titled: 'Global Economic Prospects: Darkening Skies'. The report says that most world economies stare at dark times in this financial year. However, it has projected a brighter picture for India and the South Asian region as a whole.

https://www.indiatoday.in/business/...omy-7-3-gdp-growth-2018-19-1426716-2019-01-09

@BHarwana ,Biradar it's very bad and very sad :(
 
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In comparison, China is expected to register a much lower growth rate of 6.3 per cent in 2018-19.
Size of China's economy: $13 trillion. 6.3% of $13 trillion = $819 billion.
Size of India's economy: $2.5 trillion. 7.3% of $2.5 trillion = $183 billion.
Time it takes China to add an India as an increment to its GDP: 3 years.
:)
 
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Size of China's economy: $13 trillion. 6.3% of $13 trillion = $819 billion.
Size of India's economy: $2.5 trillion. 7.3% of $2.5 trillion = $183 billion.
Time it takes China to add an India as an increment to its GDP: 3 years.
:)

Nominal is an inflated measure when you are reliant on USD trade.

Try give your figures using PPP which is lot better (which is reason its used in HDI for example) given it is actual physical consumption rather than simply too-influenced by USD stockpiling/flows.

Here is a Standard Chartered projection for 2030:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...economies-seen-dominated-by-asian-ems-by-2030

https://economictimes.indiatimes.co...gest-economy-by-2030/articleshow/67448036.cms

Master.jpg
 
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To make matters worse, the country lost 11 million jobs last year, according to a startling report by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy. People in both cities and villages have been hit. Two-thirds of Indians live in villages, where the majority of the job losses have taken place. Even people belonging to politically influential, upper caste groups have fallen upon hard times.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-46806089

What matters is the reality on the ground.
 
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It's not how many jobs are gained or lost in gross terms...its what is the jobs gain/loss in net terms.

Jobs data gathering is still at infancy stage in India...lot more information chains need to gather and consolidate...the higher degree of formalisation set into place by demonetisation+GST actually will help improve that....not to mention further streamlining of EFPO and related accounts for workers.
 
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Size of China's economy: $13 trillion. 6.3% of $13 trillion = $819 billion.
Size of India's economy: $2.5 trillion. 7.3% of $2.5 trillion = $183 billion.
Time it takes China to add an India as an increment to its GDP: 3 years.
:)
The Indian media doesn't say that. They hide the fact that overall they are growing slower.
 
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Nominal is an inflated measure when you are reliant on USD trade.

Try give your figures using PPP which is lot better (which is reason its used in HDI for example) given it is actual physical consumption rather than simply too-influenced by USD stockpiling/flows.

Here is a Standard Chartered projection for 2030:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...economies-seen-dominated-by-asian-ems-by-2030

https://economictimes.indiatimes.co...gest-economy-by-2030/articleshow/67448036.cms

Master.jpg

Actually, to calculate national wealth, we need to use cumulative nominal GDP. But to measure standard of living GDP per Capitain PPP make more sense. But cumulative GDP in PPP for a country serve no purpose. Except for India.India can use the number for bragging purposes.
 
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Actually, to calculate national wealth, we need to use cumulative nominal GDP. But to measure standard of living GDP per Capitain PPP make more sense. But cumulative GDP in PPP for a country serve no purpose. Except for India.India can use the number for bragging purposes.

You are an idiot and you will get 0 replies from me henceforth.

It says a lot you have posted nearly 12,500 posts and have just 1 positive rating to show for it. :rofl:...must be the worst ratio in existence in this forum by far.

That in itself speaks volumes...and an economic illiterate dullard like you expects to be taken seriously about what and what doesnt "serve a purpose".

Thankfully there are much smarter posters around (who are actually from Taiwan and China unlike you) that are worth engaging with.
 
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Actually, to calculate national wealth, we need to use cumulative nominal GDP. But to measure standard of living GDP per Capitain PPP make more sense. But cumulative GDP in PPP for a country serve no purpose. Except for India.India can use the number for bragging purposes.

Ohk so let's say there are two countries A and B. A produces 100 units of a product which sales at $1 per unit in the local market. B produces 110 units of the same product having a market value of 50 cents in the local market. Country A as a nominal GDP of $100 while Country B has only $55. That's the difference between nominal GDP and GDP calculated on PPP basis.
 
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Ohk so let's say there are two countries A and B. A produces 100 units of a product which sales at $1 per unit in the local market. B produces 110 units of the same product having a market value of 50 cents in the local market. Country A as a nominal GDP of $100 while Country B has only $55. That's the difference between nominal GDP and GDP calculated on PPP basis.

Your example apply only to the factor driven economy such as India. But in the industrial and developed economy, nominal GDP is the way to measure economic capabilities. Just try to buy Rafale in PPP dollar and see what happens.
 
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India became a Supa Powa by 2012. In 2030, it will be a Supa Powa with lots of white servants.
While most of the Pakistanis are making fun of it, one day the my will wake up and realize where India is, it will be too late then.
You can see the level of tech and start up culture in India, it is mind blowing...
Time to avail khans efforts and start making Pakistan a top destination for research and technology
 
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The Indian media doesn't say that. They hide the fact that overall they are growing slower.
It's not just Indian media, Western media is similarly brain-dead. With how much these people get paid, you'd think they would understand basic math.
It's not how many jobs are gained or lost in gross terms...its what is the jobs gain/loss in net terms.

Jobs data gathering is still at infancy stage in India...lot more information chains need to gather and consolidate...the higher degree of formalisation set into place by demonetisation+GST actually will help improve that....not to mention further streamlining of EFPO and related accounts for workers.
What he's talking about is a structural phenomenon related to automation - far fewer jobs are created in India (and elsewhere) per unit of GDP growth:
https://www.theatlas.com/charts/S1LH9K_t7
Those charts also show a remarkable slowdown in India's economy from 2004 - which never at its peak reached Chinese double-digit growth rates.
Ohk so let's say there are two countries A and B. A produces 100 units of a product which sales at $1 per unit in the local market. B produces 110 units of the same product having a market value of 50 cents in the local market. Country A as a nominal GDP of $100 while Country B has only $55. That's the difference between nominal GDP and GDP calculated on PPP basis.
The problem here is that country B is too technologically backward to produce certain classes of product at any price. While PPP might be good for comparing local prices for basic agricultural products, it's not good for comparing local prices of semiconductors since country B can't produce them.
 
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What he's talking about is a structural phenomenon related to automation - far fewer jobs are created in India (and elsewhere) per unit of GDP growth:
https://www.theatlas.com/charts/S1LH9K_t7
Those charts also show a remarkable slowdown in India's economy from 2004 - which never at its peak reached Chinese double-digit growth rates.

Now tell me if you know how the job numbers were even reported in the earlier era (around 2000 - 2004) in India compared to how it is now (and how it is progressing to)? You do not even know what the bulk of these jobs in the earlier era were from (huge amounts were from transient agriculture work that is rightfully not counted as quality job creation now)....so the whole rigmarole that "fewer jobs" created now per unit of GDP is a bunch of BS....given the standards being compared are nowhere near equivalent, much less static. You need to actually study what jobs surveying in India is like....its not standardised by any stretch, its on a long journey itself to being measured properly.....yet we want to come to conclusions like its totally hard, consistent data process.

The problem here is that country B is too technologically backward to produce certain classes of product at any price. While PPP might be good for comparing local prices for basic agricultural products, it's not good for comparing local prices of semiconductors since country B can't produce them.

Thats factored into ICP matrix. If a country produces 0, it produces 0 in that category...period. There is no "issue" here. Every category of good and service is delineated internally as to the quality/pricing on larger international standard terms (I could tell you more about how that exactly is sampled, but I don't want to bore you). ICP is far more balanced on this topic...it goes by what people on the ground are actually consuming....not what artefacts of trade extrapolation linger in nominal measure of using a currency measurement their country does not even print/use (internally) in first place.

If that said category of good (that registers as 0) is simply 0.01% or some fraction like that of the average country's total consumption to begin with, why would one say nominal somehow represents it better?...if anything its worse simply because its distorted by exporting it and forex liquidity causing a non-consumed buffer/effectve inflator.

People consume food, construction, basic services which much larger sustained parts of their income compared to high end frontier goods to begin with....always have, always will....esp in developing economies.

The ICP process certainly does not do the degree of faulty extrapolation/assumption that nominal does inherently (i.e the assumption that a developing/emerging country consumes internally by the same composition structure of goods/services that it trades externally...which is what you end up doing when you apply an exchange rate determined by foreign trade to your whole internal economy production/consumption)....by any stretch of the imagination (if you even read up why PPP and ICP programs were formulated in first place in the 80s due to massive and growing mismatches of consumption locally compared to USD wise in many major developing countries). There are far more faulty problems with using nominal as some be-all end-all for developing countries ...given these distortions (they diminish only when you have qualitatively integrated with most of the world economy...not just quantitatively). Hence why developed countries PPP and nominal are not too different.
 
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