IndoCarib
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Madrid: Since the publication in 1918 of the first volume of Oswald Spenglers The Decline of the West, prophecies about the inexorable doom of what he called the Faustian Civilization have been a recurrent topic for thinkers and public intellectuals.
The current crises in the United States and Europe the result primarily of US capitalisms inherent ethical failures, and to Europes dysfunction might be seen as lending credibility to Spenglers view of democracys inadequacy, and to his dismissal of Western civilisation as essentially being driven by a corrupting lust for money.
But determinism in history has always been defeated by the unpredictable forces of human will, and, in this case, by the Wests extraordinary capacity for renewal, even after cataclysmic defeats. True, the West is no longer alone in dictating the global agenda, and its values are bound to be increasingly challenged by emerging powers, but its decline is not a linear, irreversible process.
There can be no doubt that the Wests military mastery and economic edge have been severely diminished recently. In 2000, Americas GDP was eight times larger than Chinas; today it is only twice as large. Worse, appalling income inequalities, a squeezed middle class, and evidence of widespread ethical lapses and impunity are fuelling a dangerous disenchantment with democracy and a growing loss of trust in a system that has betrayed the American dream of constant progress and improvement.
This would not be, however, the first time that Americas values prevailed over the threat of populism in times of economic crisis. A variation of the fascist agenda once appeared in America, with Father Charles Coughlins populist onslaught in the 1930s on Franklin Roosevelts alliance with the bankers. Coughlins National Union for Social Justice, whose membership ran into the millions, was eventually defeated by the American systems powerful democratic antibodies.
As for Europe, the eurozone crisis has exposed democracys weaknesses in dealing with major economic emergencies, as well as the flaws in the European Unions design. In Greece and Italy, technocratic governments have taken over from failing politicians. In Hungary, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has pressed for an authoritarian re-establishment of the state. Such cases seem to point to the return of a European past in which democracys failures gave way to more expedient forms of government.
And yet, while Europe remains a question mark, economic growth and job creation, however fragile, are back in America. Moreover, even if China becomes the worlds largest economy in, say, 2018, Americans would still be far richer than Chinese, with per capita GDP in America four times higher than in China.
To be sure, income inequality and social injustice are a concomitant of capitalist culture throughout the West. But challengers like China and India are in no position to preach. Compared to Indian capitalism, capitalisms ethical failures elsewhere look especially benign. A hundred oligarchs in India hold assets equivalent to 25 percent of GDP, while 800 million of their compatriots survive on less than a dollar a day. Politicians and judges are bought, and natural resources worth trillions of dollars are sold to powerful corporations for a pittance.
Having the largest economy is vital for a power aspiring nation to maintain military superiority and the ability to define the international order. Hence, the receding power of the West means a tougher fight to uphold the relevance of key components of its value system, such as democracy and universal rights.
Europe, with its almost post-historical mentality, has long abandoned the pretension of being a military power. The same cannot be said of the US. But rather than reflecting a decline in its military superiority, Americas setbacks in Iraq and Afghanistanare the result of wrongheaded policies that sought to use hard power to solve conflicts that were simply not amenable to it.
The recent massive cuts to the US military budget need not signal decline; they can launch an age of smarter defence, one that relies on innovative ideas, strong alliances, and building partners capacity. The shift of US military priorities to the Asia-Pacific region is an understandable strategic rebalancing, given Americas excessive focus on the Middle East and its maintenance of an unnecessary military presence in Europe.
Tempered by the US publics fatigue with overseas adventures, Americas missionary zeal to save the world from the wickedness of faraway autocrats will be reduced substantially. But this does not necessarily mean that China will automatically take over ground from which America withdraws. Despite the recent cuts, Americas defence budget is still five times higher than Chinas. More importantly, Chinas long-term strategy requires that it focus in the short term on satisfying its vast appetite for energy and raw materials.
Make no mistake: Euro-centrism and Western hubris have been dealt severe blows in recent years. But, for those in the West overtaken by fatalism and self-doubt, a message of hope is now emanating from the Arab Spring, and from the resumption in Russia of the unfinished revolution that ended communism. Nor has the inconsistency between Chinas capitalism and its lack of civil liberties been resolved yet. A Chinese Spring cannot be ruled out.
The West faces serious challenges as it always has. But the values of human freedom and dignity that drive Western civilisation remain the dream of the vast majority of humanity.
http://www.firstpost.com/world/india-china-in-no-position-to-preach-to-a-declining-west-204111.html
The current crises in the United States and Europe the result primarily of US capitalisms inherent ethical failures, and to Europes dysfunction might be seen as lending credibility to Spenglers view of democracys inadequacy, and to his dismissal of Western civilisation as essentially being driven by a corrupting lust for money.
But determinism in history has always been defeated by the unpredictable forces of human will, and, in this case, by the Wests extraordinary capacity for renewal, even after cataclysmic defeats. True, the West is no longer alone in dictating the global agenda, and its values are bound to be increasingly challenged by emerging powers, but its decline is not a linear, irreversible process.
There can be no doubt that the Wests military mastery and economic edge have been severely diminished recently. In 2000, Americas GDP was eight times larger than Chinas; today it is only twice as large. Worse, appalling income inequalities, a squeezed middle class, and evidence of widespread ethical lapses and impunity are fuelling a dangerous disenchantment with democracy and a growing loss of trust in a system that has betrayed the American dream of constant progress and improvement.
This would not be, however, the first time that Americas values prevailed over the threat of populism in times of economic crisis. A variation of the fascist agenda once appeared in America, with Father Charles Coughlins populist onslaught in the 1930s on Franklin Roosevelts alliance with the bankers. Coughlins National Union for Social Justice, whose membership ran into the millions, was eventually defeated by the American systems powerful democratic antibodies.
As for Europe, the eurozone crisis has exposed democracys weaknesses in dealing with major economic emergencies, as well as the flaws in the European Unions design. In Greece and Italy, technocratic governments have taken over from failing politicians. In Hungary, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has pressed for an authoritarian re-establishment of the state. Such cases seem to point to the return of a European past in which democracys failures gave way to more expedient forms of government.
And yet, while Europe remains a question mark, economic growth and job creation, however fragile, are back in America. Moreover, even if China becomes the worlds largest economy in, say, 2018, Americans would still be far richer than Chinese, with per capita GDP in America four times higher than in China.
To be sure, income inequality and social injustice are a concomitant of capitalist culture throughout the West. But challengers like China and India are in no position to preach. Compared to Indian capitalism, capitalisms ethical failures elsewhere look especially benign. A hundred oligarchs in India hold assets equivalent to 25 percent of GDP, while 800 million of their compatriots survive on less than a dollar a day. Politicians and judges are bought, and natural resources worth trillions of dollars are sold to powerful corporations for a pittance.
Having the largest economy is vital for a power aspiring nation to maintain military superiority and the ability to define the international order. Hence, the receding power of the West means a tougher fight to uphold the relevance of key components of its value system, such as democracy and universal rights.
Europe, with its almost post-historical mentality, has long abandoned the pretension of being a military power. The same cannot be said of the US. But rather than reflecting a decline in its military superiority, Americas setbacks in Iraq and Afghanistanare the result of wrongheaded policies that sought to use hard power to solve conflicts that were simply not amenable to it.
The recent massive cuts to the US military budget need not signal decline; they can launch an age of smarter defence, one that relies on innovative ideas, strong alliances, and building partners capacity. The shift of US military priorities to the Asia-Pacific region is an understandable strategic rebalancing, given Americas excessive focus on the Middle East and its maintenance of an unnecessary military presence in Europe.
Tempered by the US publics fatigue with overseas adventures, Americas missionary zeal to save the world from the wickedness of faraway autocrats will be reduced substantially. But this does not necessarily mean that China will automatically take over ground from which America withdraws. Despite the recent cuts, Americas defence budget is still five times higher than Chinas. More importantly, Chinas long-term strategy requires that it focus in the short term on satisfying its vast appetite for energy and raw materials.
Make no mistake: Euro-centrism and Western hubris have been dealt severe blows in recent years. But, for those in the West overtaken by fatalism and self-doubt, a message of hope is now emanating from the Arab Spring, and from the resumption in Russia of the unfinished revolution that ended communism. Nor has the inconsistency between Chinas capitalism and its lack of civil liberties been resolved yet. A Chinese Spring cannot be ruled out.
The West faces serious challenges as it always has. But the values of human freedom and dignity that drive Western civilisation remain the dream of the vast majority of humanity.
http://www.firstpost.com/world/india-china-in-no-position-to-preach-to-a-declining-west-204111.html
israeli dogs are running scared that their mighty USA might get some competition from china.
