acetophenol
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Feb 17, 2011
- Messages
- 7,006
- Reaction score
- 6
- Country
- Location
India and the Uncle Bilal v/s Uncle Sam fight-by Jeevan Peter Mon
The game between Iran and USA is being played for a long time. At first, USA was the cat and Iran the rat. This time the rat is special and stood different from other rats. Iran had the total support of its citizens, unlike Iraq. USA has been trying to tame Iran for a long time , with the threatening of oil embargo being the latest. The imposing of a oil embargo will cut Irans life line , which USA targets. Therefore Tehran is right in estimating the oil embargo as an open declaration of war.
The situation is beefed up with USAs carrier battle groups entering the region. USA has also played up its cards by arming Saudi Arabia to teeth. Iran has also bounced back by conducting a series of war games. Also , Britain has joined its boyfriend by sending HMS Argyll , a frigate.
HMS Argyll
1.Stait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is the kink in the hose of Gulfs oil supply to the world. Any block in this hose , and the entire world will be in trouble , with crude oil prices soaring high. At the narrowest part , the strait is just 2 miles wide . Through this 2 mile wide part flows , one-third of worlds ocean borne crude oil.
Strait of Hormuz
Proximity of Iran to this critical strait is what makes Iranian naval action of blocking the strait such a potent weapon. But this weapon can prove dangerous to Iran also. As blockage of the strait can be bypassed by Saudi Arabias pipelines , Irans oil terminals are to the west of the choke point , and oil makes 60% of Irans economy.
2.Why is the situation special?
What makes this scenario special is that, this time it is not a cake-walk for uncle Sam. Iran is not Iraq. This time, USA cannot walk into Iran ,and fire a few guns and come out with a thumps up sign.
USA has already taken hold of a lions tale by threatening to impose an oil embargo on Iran. If a oil embargo is imposed even without Iran blocking the strait, the crude oil prices will sky rocket up. At a point, if the embargo is cancelled,Iran can sell their oil at a fairly high price to the then oil hungry world. Iran, if it wants ,can also make up to their losses by increasing the duties or charges on the ships passing through its waters.
If USA pulls back from its decision to impose an oil embargo on Iran, it will be a major embarrassment. The nation has already made enough hungama on the embargo drama.
Unlike the previous situations, USA may not receive much support from its allies .The NATO nations may express their support vocally and diplomatically, but their material support, in the form of men and equipment ,is least expected ,as most of USAs allies has already broken their backs fighting somebodys war.
However ,the evergreen friend of USA ,The United kingdom ,has announced its material support by send a frigate to join the war pack.
2.1 Uncle Bilal V/s Uncle Sam
USAs military muscle power is undoubted. But Iran has all the power to became a Daveed for this Goliath .Last time when Iran and USA messed with each other ,US Navy missile cruiser shot down a an Iranian aircraft killing 290 civilians including 66 children(year 1988).
An Iranian stamp depicting the tragedy
In the tragedy, India lost its 10 citizens also.
USA has quietly beefed up its military presence in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Kuwait now has around 15,000 troops, including two army brigades and a helicopter unit.
Saudi's F-15
What makes Iran strong is that, the government has got the support of the public, something Saddam in Iraq didnt enjoy. Irans military is a little muscle man too. Irans navy consists of around 3 kilo-class submarines with the capacity to lay mines along with several midgets which can fire torpedoes. Iran may also field willing suicide attackers, who are happy to attain martyrdom.
What concerns USA the most is the asymmetric warfare that Iran is most likely to field.
The Hormuz Strait is covered with small islands that Iran may use to launch stealth strikes. Also Iran navy fields a large no. of fast attack crafts with the capability to fire heavy arms ,anti ship missiles etc. In 2002,US military conducted a $250 million exercise called the Millennium Challenge. The exercise was between U.S navy and a unnamed rogue state with lots of small boats and willing martyr brigades. The rogue state won , and the pentagon suddenly quietly called the exercise off.
Since then, USA is planning on how to counter these swarm tactics-attacks on high valued targets like aircraft carriers by a lot of cheap(comparatively) fast attack crafts, anti ship missiles, mines and suicide brigades all at once.
Iranian fast attack craft firing a anti-ship missile
One result of the studies conducted by USA is the Littoral Combat Ship or the LCS, which is sleek, small and agile (or in fact, a more fancy name for a fast attack craft). Also, the US Navy has trained dolphins to detect and disengage mines.
Also when a band of Somalian pirates attacked USS Nicholas it to be a merchant vessel, the pirates fired 5 RPG (rocket propelled grenades) on the ship. Four of the RPGs were shot down by the CIWS (Close In Weapon System-a quick firing gun to shoot down incoming missiles) of the ship,the last RPG hit the ship in its hull. If 4 Somalian pirates can score a hit on US Navy frigate with their rubber boat and RPGs, what will trained Iranian Sailors will be able to do?
Pirates who attacked the US Navy Frigate
USA may effectively defeat Iran by carrying out precision strikes and a land based invasion. Irans top brass is aware that, the US penetration into their land in the event of a war is inevitable. So their strategy is to take the war into their enemys land also. It is something that USA hasnt experienced before. Iran will do this ,as per Adam Lowther of U.S Airforces Air University, Irans Ministry Of Intelligence and national Security (MOIS) will carry out acts of espionage ,assassinations and other kinetic attacks on civilian and military targets in the USA.
Irans idiom here is if we drown, well drown everyone with us
3.India in the scene
India is just a spectator in the scene. India surely doesnt want the crude oil prices to sky rocket again. Therefore, India has quietly started taking steps to tackle the impending the situation. India has been trying to improve its relation between Pakistan in the aspect of oil trade. The proposals of various pipelines are in pipeline. India also plans to propose a oil grid connecting Asian nations. India also is improving its gold reserves these days.
proposed Iran-Pakistan-India pipeline
The current situation, for India is a golden chance. The current situation needs a mediator. India can bring peace into the scene and save the situation which in fact, no one wants to have.
The current situation is so complex , an angry IRGC commander or a tensed US Navy captain can start a full-fledged war at anytime. Maybe, a New-Delhi treaty may end the situation in a much better way.
India and the Uncle Bilal v/s Uncle Sam fight | India Dreams Big
The game between Iran and USA is being played for a long time. At first, USA was the cat and Iran the rat. This time the rat is special and stood different from other rats. Iran had the total support of its citizens, unlike Iraq. USA has been trying to tame Iran for a long time , with the threatening of oil embargo being the latest. The imposing of a oil embargo will cut Irans life line , which USA targets. Therefore Tehran is right in estimating the oil embargo as an open declaration of war.
The situation is beefed up with USAs carrier battle groups entering the region. USA has also played up its cards by arming Saudi Arabia to teeth. Iran has also bounced back by conducting a series of war games. Also , Britain has joined its boyfriend by sending HMS Argyll , a frigate.
HMS Argyll
1.Stait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is the kink in the hose of Gulfs oil supply to the world. Any block in this hose , and the entire world will be in trouble , with crude oil prices soaring high. At the narrowest part , the strait is just 2 miles wide . Through this 2 mile wide part flows , one-third of worlds ocean borne crude oil.
Strait of Hormuz
Proximity of Iran to this critical strait is what makes Iranian naval action of blocking the strait such a potent weapon. But this weapon can prove dangerous to Iran also. As blockage of the strait can be bypassed by Saudi Arabias pipelines , Irans oil terminals are to the west of the choke point , and oil makes 60% of Irans economy.
2.Why is the situation special?
What makes this scenario special is that, this time it is not a cake-walk for uncle Sam. Iran is not Iraq. This time, USA cannot walk into Iran ,and fire a few guns and come out with a thumps up sign.
USA has already taken hold of a lions tale by threatening to impose an oil embargo on Iran. If a oil embargo is imposed even without Iran blocking the strait, the crude oil prices will sky rocket up. At a point, if the embargo is cancelled,Iran can sell their oil at a fairly high price to the then oil hungry world. Iran, if it wants ,can also make up to their losses by increasing the duties or charges on the ships passing through its waters.
If USA pulls back from its decision to impose an oil embargo on Iran, it will be a major embarrassment. The nation has already made enough hungama on the embargo drama.
Unlike the previous situations, USA may not receive much support from its allies .The NATO nations may express their support vocally and diplomatically, but their material support, in the form of men and equipment ,is least expected ,as most of USAs allies has already broken their backs fighting somebodys war.
However ,the evergreen friend of USA ,The United kingdom ,has announced its material support by send a frigate to join the war pack.
2.1 Uncle Bilal V/s Uncle Sam
USAs military muscle power is undoubted. But Iran has all the power to became a Daveed for this Goliath .Last time when Iran and USA messed with each other ,US Navy missile cruiser shot down a an Iranian aircraft killing 290 civilians including 66 children(year 1988).
An Iranian stamp depicting the tragedy
In the tragedy, India lost its 10 citizens also.
USA has quietly beefed up its military presence in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Kuwait now has around 15,000 troops, including two army brigades and a helicopter unit.
Saudi's F-15
What makes Iran strong is that, the government has got the support of the public, something Saddam in Iraq didnt enjoy. Irans military is a little muscle man too. Irans navy consists of around 3 kilo-class submarines with the capacity to lay mines along with several midgets which can fire torpedoes. Iran may also field willing suicide attackers, who are happy to attain martyrdom.
What concerns USA the most is the asymmetric warfare that Iran is most likely to field.
The Hormuz Strait is covered with small islands that Iran may use to launch stealth strikes. Also Iran navy fields a large no. of fast attack crafts with the capability to fire heavy arms ,anti ship missiles etc. In 2002,US military conducted a $250 million exercise called the Millennium Challenge. The exercise was between U.S navy and a unnamed rogue state with lots of small boats and willing martyr brigades. The rogue state won , and the pentagon suddenly quietly called the exercise off.
Since then, USA is planning on how to counter these swarm tactics-attacks on high valued targets like aircraft carriers by a lot of cheap(comparatively) fast attack crafts, anti ship missiles, mines and suicide brigades all at once.
Iranian fast attack craft firing a anti-ship missile
One result of the studies conducted by USA is the Littoral Combat Ship or the LCS, which is sleek, small and agile (or in fact, a more fancy name for a fast attack craft). Also, the US Navy has trained dolphins to detect and disengage mines.
Also when a band of Somalian pirates attacked USS Nicholas it to be a merchant vessel, the pirates fired 5 RPG (rocket propelled grenades) on the ship. Four of the RPGs were shot down by the CIWS (Close In Weapon System-a quick firing gun to shoot down incoming missiles) of the ship,the last RPG hit the ship in its hull. If 4 Somalian pirates can score a hit on US Navy frigate with their rubber boat and RPGs, what will trained Iranian Sailors will be able to do?
Pirates who attacked the US Navy Frigate
USA may effectively defeat Iran by carrying out precision strikes and a land based invasion. Irans top brass is aware that, the US penetration into their land in the event of a war is inevitable. So their strategy is to take the war into their enemys land also. It is something that USA hasnt experienced before. Iran will do this ,as per Adam Lowther of U.S Airforces Air University, Irans Ministry Of Intelligence and national Security (MOIS) will carry out acts of espionage ,assassinations and other kinetic attacks on civilian and military targets in the USA.
Irans idiom here is if we drown, well drown everyone with us
3.India in the scene
India is just a spectator in the scene. India surely doesnt want the crude oil prices to sky rocket again. Therefore, India has quietly started taking steps to tackle the impending the situation. India has been trying to improve its relation between Pakistan in the aspect of oil trade. The proposals of various pipelines are in pipeline. India also plans to propose a oil grid connecting Asian nations. India also is improving its gold reserves these days.
proposed Iran-Pakistan-India pipeline
The current situation, for India is a golden chance. The current situation needs a mediator. India can bring peace into the scene and save the situation which in fact, no one wants to have.
The current situation is so complex , an angry IRGC commander or a tensed US Navy captain can start a full-fledged war at anytime. Maybe, a New-Delhi treaty may end the situation in a much better way.
India and the Uncle Bilal v/s Uncle Sam fight | India Dreams Big
