Tipu7
PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST
- Joined
- Aug 8, 2014
- Messages
- 5,204
- Reaction score
- 97
- Country
- Location
I doubt that if India so "something" big in Kashmir (Azad), like full scale invasion or cold start type rapid assault to destroy Militants camps by ground forces instead of surgical strikes then it Will trigger response from China too.Nope Tipu China wont
Let's say such conflict turn into limited regional war, like Kargil then I don't think Chinese will work as spectator only.
I don't want them to fight along side Pakistan shoulder to shoulder but to play their active role in Ladakh region .......
India is not "idiot" to use terms of Two front war and develop policies accordingly time to time.
They understand mentality of Pakistan as well as China and up to what level Both nations can cross........
.
.
.
By the time Rafale arrive (if) in IAF, the ECM and weapon capabilities of PAF will also evolve.
If PAF manage to get AIM120C, AIM9X missiles along with ECM and IRST pods for F16s, then I doubt it will be not be so easy for IAF to shot down PAF like you are mentioning. If IAF will move forward, then PAF will do the same in all possible ways.
And do consider Jf17 here, I don't know why you said that weapon stations of JF17 will remain same for a while?
Sd10b is already in pipe line, A Darter as well as PL15 are also in picture.
More over PAF is also looking forward for better engine as well as avionics from West including Selex AESA radar, IRST and EW capabilities.
If in near future, IAF will be equipped with HOBS and Advance BVR missiles then so will be PAF. Above all the engagements will take place mostly above skies of Pakistan, so put SAM into consideration too ......
Things are not as bad as you just pictured
Defination of WVR itself has been changed. In todays scenario, 30-40 KM is considered WVR. If you are in this limit, Only Almighty can save you from the french or Russian BVR. Longer than that it will be a game of teasing, firing BVR on each other to make oneself to turn away from battle and flee and whoever turns away will be allowing an enemy aerial package consisting 2+2 or 3+3 formation to come in to one's defenses.
Lets imagine a scenario, on Su-30 MKI or one French Rafael with 12 BVR firing upon Pakistani packages at a range of 90-120 KM considering Long range French, Israeli and Russian BVR would be integrated onto them by now. On top of that, Indian EW game is also strong. They can confuse our radars with their Aesa based DRFM jammers.
Current inventory of Pakistani BVR have ranges b/w 50-80 KM. Former being SD-10 A which has maximum launch distance of 70 KM later being AMRAM with max distance of 100 KM and I'm not seeing any changes in BVR inventory for upto distant future i.e 10-15 years.
On top of that PAF can not cross into India with ease considering the dense SAM coverage over there. So we would be forced to fight war at our own turf.
Considering all such things and lack of HOBS missile. That is why I said, dog fighting and WVR up to 20 KM should be prefered less
Hard radar lock will be secondary choice imho. First preference would be given to lock onto aircraft through IRST and EW based sensors. Taking example of Rafael sensor suit, even its radar is turned off it can easily lock onto through its SPectra and IRST.
Only saving grace I would see A combination of extremely reliable aesa radar DRFM based EW suit and PL-15 BVR on JF-17 to stand up to IAF combo. Less than that JF-17 would be a turkey shoot for IAF. Currenk KLJ and SD-10 A combo is extremely weak to take onto Upgraded and newly acquired aircrafts of IAF.