This is a thread under discussion in another "Pakistani defence forum with some interesting question"... Im trying to take the views from each other regarding Pakistan's stability and security under the present world situations:
The stage seems to be set to blame Pakistan and the ISI for the next false flag terrorist attack. We need to start thinking about how we'll deal with it.
The current crusades were launched after the false flag on America (911) was blamed on Muslims. No proof has yet been presented to justify American claims. In fact, a hundred questions about it still remain unanswered. Unfortunately no Muslim country has officially challenged the official American version of the event so the general belief still prevails that Muslims were to blame for it and every single Muslim in the world is somehow guilty.
Later the British, Australians, Spanish also arranged attacks on themselves to join the American crusade. Lastly the Indians did the Bombay drama and blamed Pakistan and the Pakistan government has never properly challenged the Indian accusation.
Now the stage has been set for the next event. Hilary Clinton has said that the next attack on America will come from Pakistan and the American Military Chief has said that the next attack on India will come from Pakistan. The ISI has been demonized and the WikiLeaks have pinned the blame on the ISI for the American defeat in Afghanistan. The Western public mind has been prepared to blame Pakistan just like OBL was demonized before 911 so that when it was executed the American media blamed OBL while 911 was still going on. It is easy to visualize the next terrorist attack during which the TV channels will be blaming Pakistan, ISI, LeT as the event is happening.
We need to get our strategy right on how we will deal with the next big one.
1) Will it be in America or India?
2) Will Pakistan be given any time to respond or will it come under attack immediately. The Indian cold start doctrine might come into play.
3) Will Zardari accept the blame or will Pakistan call it a false flag?
4) How will the Pakistani media handle it? Their performance till now has been pathetic and a lot of the media have business deals with the US and India.
5) Will Pakistan be given an ultimatum to surrender like Musharraf was threatened with being bombed back to the stone age?
6) Will Pakistan give in or stand its ground?
7) Will Pakistan accept American/Indian bombing of its territory in order to avoid a full scale war?
8) Will Pakistan start attacking the Afghan Taliban in order to avoid being bombed?
9) If Pakistan stands up to American/Indian threats what will be the consequence?
10) Will the Americans be able to take control of Pakistan's nukes or at least render them in-operational while India attacks without fear?
11) Will Pakistan shut down the American supply routes?
12) Will the Americans try to occupy Baluchistan to restore supply lines?
13) Will the American-backed TTP start a massive suicide bombing campaign in Pakistan?
14) Will American forces enter Pakistan? From Afghanistan or the sea?
15) Will the Pakistan military fire on the Americans or will they fight with India while still treating America as a dear old friend?
16) Will Blackwater do large scale sabotage inside Pakistan?
17) Will the CIA-backed Zardari be eliminated or not?
18) What will be the outcome?
Another possibility is that the idea of a false-flag to be blamed on Pakistan is just a tactic to scare Pakistan into doing what the enemies want and in reality they have no plan to actually do it. By just making it seem like they'll do it they may be able to coerce Pakistan into bending to their wishes.
The reason to believe that they'll actually do it is that American cannot leave without finishing the job within Pakistan, and that job is to de-nuke it. That is the reasons the Americans are in Afghanistan and they WILL NOT go before this job is done. For years they've tried to destroy Pakistan internally by regime change, economic collapse, suicide bombings, BLA, TTP, Zardari etc but Pakistan is still standing. The Yugoslavia doctrine has so far failed to work in Pakistan. According to their calculations Pakistan should have collapsed by now but since it hasn't they may need to do a direct attack.
From India's perspective this is the golden opportunity that they could only dream about. The Americans and NATO sitting in Afghanistan ready to help India finish off Pakistan. They will never get this opportunity again so they have to take the risk now. They must have been assured by the Americans about suppressing the nukes.
