VEVAK
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A serious respond could look like this:
- Starting step is to send 6 batteries of Mesbah-2 ZSU-23-8 AAA (6 x 4 guns, 2 x short range radar) via land route to south east Syria, close to an airfield.
- Send 12 Sarir 100mm AAA batteries around those Mesbah-2 (12 x 4 guns), also via Iraq.
- Send two Matla ol Fajr-3 radars to those Mesbah 2 and set up to nearby centers with each MoF-3 protected by 3 Mesbah-2 batteries
- Send 30 Tabas TELARs into that protected area of a 20km radius
- Send a full 3rd Khordad battery with 4 TELARs, 4 TEL and a Bashir radar, plus some support equipment of different kind.
- Declare a 200km radius no fly zone wast of Abukamal.
- 3 Mesbah-2 batteries will protect the airfield and a MoF-3, the 3 others the other Mof-3, the Bashir and the 3rd Khordad.
- Prepare airfield for 60 Shahed-129 UCAV
- Start hitting Deash positions in the desert and SDF areas
- Support operations by local infantery
- Send some 100 older Fateh-110B to the airfield to hit heavy, time critical targets if necessary.
Thats all.
It should not cost more than this.
Operation cost of the air defense would be very low. Fuel and operating cost of S-129 would be low as well.
What would cost are those 100 Fateh and 2500-5000 S-129 PGMs. If we count $30k for each unpowered Sadid, 5000 would cost $150m.
Total campaign cost should not be more than $250m. Total cost of deployed systems below $750m.
No flight zone would piss off the US and the SDF.
Hard force projection into Syria would piss off Gulf Arabs.
Iranian mobile power node in east Syria would piss off Israelis
Daesh would pay in blood.
That would be a cost effective, heavy response.
What your suggesting is far from sufficient to combat the entire Israeli Air Force we would simply end up embarrassing ourselves and losing nearly a Billion USD in the process.
I would say in Syria at an absolute max we take a few low cost Iranian built Early Warning systems + 20 Mesbah AAA system + ~10 Optical Raad system (Not Buk) + 1 Tabas + one 3rd of Khordad.(Just to test them out)
And instead of the Fatteh-110B Iran should produce a cheap 250km Cruise Missiles using cheaper micro jets engine(Single compressor, single turbine, ~250lbf, lifespan of +30min at max cruise speed & ~5min at max thrust that cost under $500 USD per engine) on a light composite Airframe with cruise speed of ~500kph with under 200lb warhead that uses INS & Optics for guidance (basically a cheaper version of the Ya Ali with each missile costing no more than $5000-$10,000 USD depending on the warhead and optics)
The price of thermal camera's has greatly reduced
https://www.alibaba.com/product-det...spm=a2700.details.maylikever.5.6322216aKeyujX
And a rather simple INS will get you to within ~5km of your target where counter imaging could do the rest and in Syria it would even be more preferable if your missile didn't fly so close to the ground
And instead of 60 Sh-129 I would say 50 lighter and cheaper UAV's Yaser's, Mohajer-4&6,.... and no more than 20 Sh-129's
Optical Raad
Allowing additional funding to aid our brother in Yemen!