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Gaza-Israel Conflict | October 2023
- Thread starter Trisolaran
- Start date
It would be better for Hezbollah to not to escalate the conflict to full scale war. But ready for a full scale attempt of israel and to strike them back.
All out war would be a tactical move that weakens Hezbollah by israeli attacks since air defences are not enough yet although it harms israel as well. In history our ancestors had a better strategy against mongolian invaders. They regrouped somewhere else made agreements with rivals forming alliences(Berke khan-Golden Horde, Memluks, remaining Seljuks) and strengthened themselves for the final attack instead of blindly attacking with low chance of success and commiting a kind of suicide. If Seljuks attacked immediately and blindly they would be utterly defeated with certainity and Ottoman empire would not exist even.
So there is always a margin of error and you should always ask yourself what can happen if this or that happens against me. It feels right to strike israel fully but something that feels right many times is wrong and foolish if timing and intelligence is not involved. It may be a justified action to strike back but timing and strategy may be wrong.
It is always better to use your mind than your feelings for both self development and for making tough decisions like these. Just action does not always mean the most intelligent action especially if timing and strategy is not involved in deciding for that action. As a constructive criticism generally we need to do not what feels rights but what thinks right. There should be an item of self development and self criticism under every action you take and not wait from outside to happen since you think you are rightous and taking that action feels right for you. We saw the same miscalculation in Gaza, israeli targeting of Fuad Shukur(he should have been hiding in an underground bunker instead of residence after israels imminent strike possibility after the Golan football field issue), assasination of Haniyeh and intel security breach which couldnt be found out by Iran in time. So intellect > feelings should be the norm.
Several steps will just solve the issue.
-An agreement with Iran-Russia similar to NK-Russia. Deal mainly inovling items like UAV-MiniSubs from Iran side and EW,Jet engine metallurgy and similar items from Russia. trump card will be atotal failure in this case too. Only a fool would believe anything democrats say they are controlled opposition for preparing trump under aipac control. Even if democrats win a stabilised situation in Russia-Ukraine front would evolve to a ceasefire agreement and then continue evolving with further long term negotiations instead of a nuclear scenario.
-Yemen is important they should stay silent and their location is strategically important as well. As well as Hezbollah can finish the current operation and postphone any further action saying the response to the attack is given and any future response will be in the time of their own choosing. Even if israel starts an all out attack after that Russia-Iran agreement will make them stop and return to ceasefire anyways.
-New leadership of Hamas can continue negotiations in Qatar under agreements that there wont be any strike to the leadership taking part in negotations just like they did to Haniyeh.
-Hezbollah, Houthis rearming regrouping during this time and future. If another attack happens by israel then they can start taking out starting from Golan when the time comes with better ew and sam coverage. If israel complies with the ceasefire then still dont attack improve the arms-defenses until it is almost certain that you have the means to overcome them by intellect > feelings.
Very low possibility of a peace between a free Palestine and israel after these but after isr current leadership is gone and the netenyahu team gets the trial and some peace conditions are achieved maybe years later than dont attack. But anyways in that case israel will attack first and be prepared for that as well.Without war the region will prosper and isr rivals will get stronger eventually they would not like that even if they benefit from that condition.
All out war would be a tactical move that weakens Hezbollah by israeli attacks since air defences are not enough yet although it harms israel as well. In history our ancestors had a better strategy against mongolian invaders. They regrouped somewhere else made agreements with rivals forming alliences(Berke khan-Golden Horde, Memluks, remaining Seljuks) and strengthened themselves for the final attack instead of blindly attacking with low chance of success and commiting a kind of suicide. If Seljuks attacked immediately and blindly they would be utterly defeated with certainity and Ottoman empire would not exist even.
So there is always a margin of error and you should always ask yourself what can happen if this or that happens against me. It feels right to strike israel fully but something that feels right many times is wrong and foolish if timing and intelligence is not involved. It may be a justified action to strike back but timing and strategy may be wrong.
It is always better to use your mind than your feelings for both self development and for making tough decisions like these. Just action does not always mean the most intelligent action especially if timing and strategy is not involved in deciding for that action. As a constructive criticism generally we need to do not what feels rights but what thinks right. There should be an item of self development and self criticism under every action you take and not wait from outside to happen since you think you are rightous and taking that action feels right for you. We saw the same miscalculation in Gaza, israeli targeting of Fuad Shukur(he should have been hiding in an underground bunker instead of residence after israels imminent strike possibility after the Golan football field issue), assasination of Haniyeh and intel security breach which couldnt be found out by Iran in time. So intellect > feelings should be the norm.
Several steps will just solve the issue.
-An agreement with Iran-Russia similar to NK-Russia. Deal mainly inovling items like UAV-MiniSubs from Iran side and EW,Jet engine metallurgy and similar items from Russia. trump card will be atotal failure in this case too. Only a fool would believe anything democrats say they are controlled opposition for preparing trump under aipac control. Even if democrats win a stabilised situation in Russia-Ukraine front would evolve to a ceasefire agreement and then continue evolving with further long term negotiations instead of a nuclear scenario.
-Yemen is important they should stay silent and their location is strategically important as well. As well as Hezbollah can finish the current operation and postphone any further action saying the response to the attack is given and any future response will be in the time of their own choosing. Even if israel starts an all out attack after that Russia-Iran agreement will make them stop and return to ceasefire anyways.
-New leadership of Hamas can continue negotiations in Qatar under agreements that there wont be any strike to the leadership taking part in negotations just like they did to Haniyeh.
-Hezbollah, Houthis rearming regrouping during this time and future. If another attack happens by israel then they can start taking out starting from Golan when the time comes with better ew and sam coverage. If israel complies with the ceasefire then still dont attack improve the arms-defenses until it is almost certain that you have the means to overcome them by intellect > feelings.
Very low possibility of a peace between a free Palestine and israel after these but after isr current leadership is gone and the netenyahu team gets the trial and some peace conditions are achieved maybe years later than dont attack. But anyways in that case israel will attack first and be prepared for that as well.Without war the region will prosper and isr rivals will get stronger eventually they would not like that even if they benefit from that condition.
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