what are his plans the way he has come out is unknown but it seems his talks with the establishment is not successful.
is he himself nailing the coffin?
i don't know his decision or at whose dictation he is doing it but in the end if we get rid of him what else can be good for Pakistan.
My own views and biases aside. From what I've heard, Nawaz has come to conclude from three terms ending in the establishment removing him that the status quo/hybrid regime and lack of civilian rule is not good or sustainable. This is not something new, when he came back the last time, he knew he’d have to face prison time, I think if he wanted to then he could have easily just stayed in London as he is doing now, he came back picking a fight.
Since then Shahbaz has been trying a different path, one that doesn’t involve fighting the establishment, he wanted to make deals with the establishment. The contents of what he lobbied for are not known to me, but it could range from asking them to remove support from the government of its coalition partners (who are simply our establishment’s stooges), to planning new and safeguarding future elections, or it even could be asking the establishment to dump PTI all together and 'embrace' the opposition.
Nawaz was not in favour of dealing with them, but some in his party were. Those attempts came to nought eventually. During these attempts at backroom dealing with the army, Maulana took to the streets in open defiance, coverage of his rallies, speeches were blocked. The support Maulana would have hoped for from larger PML and PPP did not come, the former was busy deal making, the latter is more afraid of losing it's grip on Sindh, and is not in favour of immediate elections.
However the situation has changed, with government crackdown on politicians through NAB, media freedoms being curbed, pressure on the judiciary, and a loss of opposition confidence in the assembly... opposition has somewhat united against the government and enough momentum has been built up to start some agitation which the opposition has done none of since this government was elected. However, the wildcard is Nawaz and Maulana's direct attacks on the establishment, half of PTI and most of PPP don't want to pick a fight there, so things are fluid and could change. Also, Senate elections are also coming up and the opposition are worried that they will be left no quarter.
The way forward that has been outlined by the opposition, that in the coming months, they'll start small scale demonstrations and protests in small towns, peripheries and local movements will come to the streets. I think Quetta might be among the first major towns. Then they'll being street movements to their respective provincial levels, and finally they aim to come to Islamabad with enough momentum to achieve something worthwhile.
On the opposite end, they face the following challenges:
Firstly, the government will do all in its power to prevent mass movement, that includes more NAB cases, more pressure on media through PEMRA, more heavy handed tactics to curb dissent. There will also be backroom dealing with some more pliant PML and PPP members, some of them can be made to move a little when needed.
Secondly, the aims of this united opposition movement are not completely unified. Maulana and Nawaz are for taking on GHQ, the rest of PML and all of PPP are scared shitless of doing anything of that sort. PPP does not want fresh elections, the rest of the opposition are calling for fresh elections as a base level demand. Their politics and outlook are also quite varied.
Thirdly, the army has made it clear, they'll not suffer any instability caused by the opposition. They are very actively trying to sideline Maulana who might be seen as a prime thread, from the rest of the opposition. He is the only one who can't be dealt with by usual force, and he was the first to move against both government and establishment. If you bring down a bludgeon on the head PPP and PMLN, they tend to cower and cry, when you arrest Sharifs or Zardaris, their momentum falls apart, but... do that with JUI-F's crowd and you will make a bad situation worse.
Also, it could be that PML and PPP end up blinking some time in the coming weeks and months and making some sort of deal with the army, that they latter may or may not adhere to.
nope, it isnt. any system that delivers justice is an Islamic system, be it democracy, one party rule or a dictatorship. the only thing Islam has emphasized is counsel, and that too of those who are qualified to give it. not just any lallu panju who has money to throw around.
True, I'm simplifying wrongly, I'll accept your point. Islam can allow for both, but wouldn't favor one or the other if terms of Islamic laws/principles are violated.
