What's new

Eurozone crisis live: Unemployment rate hits new high of 11.1%

in fact, if Euro collapse then it will bring down USD with the same rate. but Im mainly worried for Chinese export to GDP ratio, which is still high and we are scared that a sudden fall of EU+US will bring down those economies which are heavily dependent on export to EU+US. we want US+EU to borrow debt for at least 3-4 years so that chinese export industries may have made enough domestic consumers till then. remember, its the China who has coped with the Western technologies to its current level, why all the developing countries can now enjoy these technologies 'easily' otherwise there were heavy sanctions on copying those western techs till 90s. (its a disaster for the country like India that their professionals developed those technologies for US but India itself found it always hard to get those techs until China copy them.... :tdown:)

and if the Euro+USD together collapse by 2015, say, then there will be a serious sex for the Indian Economy. the oil prices will fall to hardly under $40/barrel, similar to the recession period of 2009, reducing india's inflation to below 0% silimar to that time. and at the same time import from EU will become very cheap for India. there will be a heavy saving on the import side from EU when Euro fall. like the news for 2011 as below. here, if Euro suddenly falls by even 50%, say, then you will have to then pay hardly around $46bil to import the same products from EU, with around $40bil saving on trade deficit side from EU alone :meeting:
(but yes there will be a loss on the export side also but we do know that export to GDP ratio of India is very less so the losses on export side can easily be covered by increased domestic consumptions.)





but its hard to feed yourself as per the prices in US. even a coffee cost $3.5 on street, the minimum (flat white, medium size). you can't really survive on the money they give on the name of Welfare there :tdown:

lal, i get it now. You want us to go bust, thats why you are always posting this doom and gloom articles. In order to be a propaganda bot for the glorified cesspit. Oks, glad i figured that out. will make sure to link you proper public plumbing schematics next time.

You need to get some treatment btw.

apparently nothing beats ur experience of trolling thats for sure

it's "at trolling" champ! Do it right first time!

And what was i trolling about? Do tell more.
 
.
This is actually the same amount of money, nothing less, just charged in a different currency, because in fact you could buy 1 euro with 2 DM and not 1 euro for 1 DM. You dont even know the exchange rate and you set it at 1:1. Mickey mouse logic much? Or because it suits your claim atm?

Replaced by €, cash 1 January 2002/28 February 2002
€ = 1.95583 DM
Deutsche Mark - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
column at the top.

btw, key word of your tractate and your entire argument is "imagine".

There was nothing to imagine. You missed the point completely, so let me state it again.

The DM was replaced by the EUR worth twice as much. If the DM were replaced by a currency DX worth twice as much (similar to a reverse stock split), that DX would now be worth more than the EUR because it would not be bogged down by the PIIGS economies.
 
.
There was nothing to imagine. You missed the point completely, so let me state it again.

The DM was replaced by the EUR worth twice as much. If the DM were replaced by a currency DX worth twice as much (similar to a reverse stock split), that DX would now be worth more than the EUR because it would not be bogged down by the PIIGS economies.


:lol:


Stop talking about this construct of your imagination called DX.
You argued DM and FF went in euro pact to devalue their currency while in effect the opposite has happened. Their valued increased two times. Going directly opposite to your theory.
Then you brought in this DX, in a couple of posts filled with "imagine", "if", "could", "would".


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Some good news:

Indebted south helps boost euro zone trade | Reuters

(Reuters) - Europe's indebted Mediterranean region has begun to show signs of competitiveness by boosting exports, contributing to a strong euro zone trade surplus in the first eight months of this year.

Italy moved to a trade surplus of 4.4 billion euros in the January-to-July period from a deficit in the same period a year ago, while Greece's exports jumped 12 percent. Spain saw export growth of 2 percent in the period, while imports fell 3 percent.
 
.
:lol:


Stop talking about this construct of your imagination called DX.
You argued DM and FF went in euro pact to devalue their currency while in effect the opposite has happened. Their valued increased two times. Going directly opposite to your theory.
Then you brought in this DX, in a couple of posts filled with "imagine", "if", "could", "would".


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Some good news:

Indebted south helps boost euro zone trade | Reuters

You are beyond help. The DX was to illustrate what the DM would have been worth if Germany had not adopted the Euro. This is not about 'imagining' anything: the Spiegel article points out why German government securities remain favored even though the EUR is disadvantaged, but I know you lack the skills to understand what that article is saying.

I never intended to waste my time on you. My posts were intended for readers who have the ability to read English and have at least some basic financial knowledge.
 
.
I never intended to waste my time on you. My posts were intended for readers who have the ability to read English and have at least some basic financial knowledge.

#1.) A crazy conspiracy theory saying the euro is a construct for devaluing FF and DM.
#2.) Supporting this theory you bring up an imaginitive currency called DX which in your words is worth twice as much as the DM and thus helping the German exports.
#3.) After briniging to your attention the euro had that precise exchange rate against the DM when it had replaced it you start shouting names.
#4.) After your fail is exposed (the devaluing conspiracy) you bring up posts with "imagine", "if", "could", "would" arguing on the basis of those that your version of events is gospel truth.
#5.) Even if DM had gone on its own, you can in no way say what it's worth would be. The German CB could have used the tools of every CB to bring the value down and help exports.

In conclusion: you made something up, backed it up with imagined arguments, which, how ironically, dont hold water some semi careful examination. Im sure that it was brought already to your attention how prone you are to jumping to conclusions.....
Your user title should be "making stuff up as i go along". :lol:
 
.
Nationwide Spanish protests turn violent
20 July, 2012

Nationwide Spanish protests turn violent (PHOTOS, VIDEO) — RT

Spanish police have clashed with protesters who marched against the latest batch of austerity measures. Over a million public employees, trade union members and fed-up citizens have taken to the streets in over 80 Spanish cities.

*Violence erupted in Madrid around midnight. Police used rubber bullets and tear gas to disperse the crowd as it tried to reach the congress building. In some more urban areas, activists set garbage containers on fire and tried to block police vehicle access. No injuries or arrests have been reported.

In Barcelona, similar scenes were reported. About a dozen protesters were arrested there, outside the local parliament building.

*Demonstrators carried flags and banners decorated with scissors, symbolizing the country's harsh spending cuts. The streets of Madrid were paralyzed by the boundless crowds of people.

The protests were organized by unions, who have been outraged by the government’s new measures – which include an elimination of Christmas bonuses for civil servants.

Earlier Thursday, Spanish Parliament approved a new package of spending cuts and tax hikes aiming to save $80 billion in a bid to take a bite out of the budget deficit. Since the measure was announced last week, Spain has witnessed a series of daily demonstrations, some of which have erupted into violence.

Europe's fourth-largest economy also has the EU's highest unemployment rate. About a quarter of working-age Spaniards are unable to find work.

Meanwhile, Germany’s lower house approved a $122 billion rescue package for Spanish banks in a bid to help the country cope with "excessive" market fears and prevent the eurozone's debt crisis from spreading further.

riot-policemen-remain-madrid.jpg

Spain, Madrid: Riot policemen remain on a street of Madrid during a protest against the Spanish government's latest austerity measures, on July 19, 2012.

protesters-march-demonstration-government.jpg

Protesters march during a demonstration against government austerity measures, in central Valencia

demonstrators-fill-del-sol.jpg

Demonstrators fill Madrid's Puerta del Sol square during a protest against government austerity measures. (REUTERS / Sergio Perez)


Firefighters pose naked in front of a banner during a demonstration against government cuts inside their fire station in Mieres (REUTERS / Eloy Alonso

civil-servants-shout-slogans.jpg

Civil servants shout slogans during a protest against government austerity measures in Madrid (REUTERS / Sergio Perez

firemen-participate-protest-government.jpg

Firemen participate in a protest against government austerity measures in Barcelona.(REUTERS / Albert Gea)

i5c1a4c6352f8b632994413cbdf7506f5_000_par7238325.jpg

Spain, Madrid : Spanish actors Javier Bardem his brother Carlos Bardem and their mother Pilar Bardem demonstrate against the Spanish government's latest austerity measures in Madrid on July 19, 2012.

Nationwide Spanish protests turn violent (PHOTOS, VIDEO) — RT

Police protection or citizen censorship? Spain to ban photos and videos of cops
19 October, 2012

clash-riot-policemen-protesters.n.jpg

Protesters clash with riot policemen during a demonstration in Madrid.

Spain’s government is drafting a law that bans the photographing and filming of members of the police. The Interior Ministry assures they are not cracking down on freedom of expression, but protecting the lives of law enforcement officers.

**The draft legislation follows waves of protests throughout the country against uncompromising austerity cuts to public healthcare and education.

The new Citizen Safety Law will prohibit “the capture, reproduction and editing of images, sounds or information of members of the security or armed forces in the line of duty,” said the director general of the police, Ignacio Cosido. He added that this new bill seeks to “find a balance between the protection of citizens’ rights and those of security forces.”

The dissemination of images and videos over social networks like Facebook will also be punishable under the legislation.

Despite the fact that the new law will cover all images that could pose a risk to the physical safety officers or impede them from executing their duty, the Interior Ministry maintains it will not encroach on freedom of expression.

“We are trying to avoid images of police being uploaded onto social networks with threats to them and their families,” underlined Cosido.

Violation of freedom of expression?

Spain’s United Police Syndicate said it considers the implementation of the new legislation “very complicated” because it does not establish any guidelines over what kinds of images violate the rights of a police officer. The syndicate warned that the ministry will run into “legal problems” if it does not specify the ins and outs of the law.

However, the director of the police argued that the measures were necessary given the “elevated levels of violence against officers” in the economic downturn that is “undermining the basis of a democratic society.”

The anti-austerity protests that have swept Spain over the past year have been punctuated by reports and footage of police brutality. The footage showed that large numbers of Spanish officers did not wear their identification badges during the protests, although the law requires it.

Spain’s beleaguered economy is in danger of following in the footsteps of Greece.

The government has made sweeping cuts to the public sector, provoking the ire of a Spanish public already disillusioned at rising unemployment that tops 50 per cent among adolescents.

The Spanish government has not yet called on the European Central bank for a bailout, but rising economic woes and an unchecked public deficit may force it to do so in the near future.

Police protection or citizen censorship? Spain to ban photos and videos of cops — RT
 
.
This eurozone PMI record appears to be broken
Nov 02 10:12

Another day, and another confirmation that the eurozone economy is struggling to gain traction. And it’s not just the small peripheral economies that are seeing factory activity slowing.

From Reuters:

Markit’s Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 45.4 in October from September’s 46.1. The October figure was just up from an earlier reported flash reading of 45.3. The index has been below the 50 mark that divides growth from contraction since August 2011.

The manufacturers’ output index sank to 45.0 from 45.9…

As global factory activity slows, demand for the euro zone’s goods has dried up. The new orders sub-index fell last month to 43.3 from September’s 43.5, marking its 17th month below 50.

Due to Thursday’s All Saints holiday, manufcturing PMIs for Germany, France, Italy and Spain were delayed by a day and released on Friday morning.

The German PMI indicated that the sector had shrunk for the eight month in a row, coming in at 46.0, down from 47.4 in September.

Across the border in France, the picture was not much better, with the index reading 43.7, up from 42.7 in September, but still well below the all-important 50 mark. October’s weak reading means that the French manufacturing sector has been in decline for all but one of the last 15 months.

Spain is faring even worse, with the pace of decline accelerating in October. The index fell to 43.5 in October, from 44.5 in the previous month. Spain saw the fastest reduction in purchasing activity since April 2009.

Meanwhile, Italy posted a reading of 45.5, compared to 45.7 in September. But at least new export orders increased — for first time in seven months.

From Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight:

The renewed and widespread deepening in Eurozone manufacturing activity in October according to the purchasing managers’ survey is both disappointing and worrying. Consequently, it already looks probable that the Eurozone is headed for further economic contraction in the fourth quarter after GDP highly likely fell modestly overall for a second successive quarter in the third quarter (we estimate a drop of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter).

He believes that the onslaught of weak economic data will persuade the ECB to slash rates in the coming months:

We believe that the ECB will ultimately take interest rates down from 0.75% to 0.50%. We don’t expect the ECB to loosen monetary policy at their 8 November meeting but we have pencilled an interest rate cut to 0.50% in December on the assumption that continuing weak economic data and surveys over the coming weeks will increasingly convince the ECB that lower interest rates are warranted. The ECB will also have the new Eurozone GDP and consumer price inflation forecasts available at its December meeting which will likely justify a trimming of interest rates.

This eurozone PMI record appears to be broken | FT Alphaville
 
.
Eurozone unemployment hits new high

More than one in four people out of work in Greece and Spain as jobless rate rises to 11.6%, according to Eurostat data

Unemployment in the eurozone has risen to a new record, with more than one in four out of work in Spain and Greece.

There are now 18.49 million people without jobs in the 17 countries sharing the euro, said the European statistics office Eurostat on Wednesday with an extra 146,000 joining the ranks of the unemployed last month.


Youth unemployment – joblessness among under-25s – rose to 23.3%, up from 21% during the same month a year ago.

The prospect of high and rising unemployment, especially among younger workers, is expected to persuade the European Central Bank to cut interest rates in the new year from the current record low of 0.75% to support the flagging economy, which probably slumped back to recession in the third quarter, analysts said.

But in contrast to the hope of stimulus from the ECB, Brussels and most eurozone governments have put cuts in spending ahead of schemes to create jobs, despite predictions that the situation will worsen over the coming months.

Portugal's right of centre administration on Wednesday pushed through its third attempt at a budget for 2013, which is expected to lead to a third year of contraction and rising unemployment. Likewise Greece's coalition government published €13.5bn of spending cuts and tax rises that will result in a sixth year of falling GDP and and increase in the jobless rate.

Eurostat said the jobless rate across the eurozone increased to 11.6% in September, the highest on record, from a revised 11.5% in August.

The lowest unemployment rates were recorded in Austria (4.4%), Luxembourg (5.2%), Germany and the Netherlands (both 5.4%), which are near full employment. Spain (25.8%) and Greece (25.1% in July) had the highest unemployment in the eurozone, while France looks much like Italy (both at 10.8%), with a steady rise in joblessness. August data for Greece will be published next week, although the true picture is probably worse than the official figures show as a growing number of Greek workers remain nominally employed but have not been paid for some time.

Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight, said the jobless data was "dismal", adding: "Eurozone labour markets remain under serious pressure from ongoing weakened economic activity and low business confidence."

Youth unemployment also hit a new high in Spain with 54.2% of under-25-year-olds out of work, up from 53.8%.

Across the whole 27 nation European Union, 25.751 million men and women were without jobs last month – an increase of 169,000 from August – while the unemployment rate stayed at 10.6%.

By comparison, the unemployment rate was 7.9% in the UK, 7.8% in the US and 4.2% in Japan in September.

There was some good news for the eurozone though – inflation eased to 2.5% in October, from 2.6%. Energy prices continued to rise, by 7.8%, but by less than the month before, when they climbed by 9.1% year-on-year. Food became dearer, however, with prices up 3.2% compared with 2.9% in September.

Andrea Broughton, an economist at the Institute for Employment Studies said: "Given the ongoing financial difficulties of the European Union and the likelihood of continuing job losses in the public sector as austerity measures begin to bite, overall unemployment levels and youth unemployment in particular are likely to carry on rising for the foreseeable future."

She said a north-south split, which has dramatically opened up since the banking crash, would get worse.

"The trend is not upwards in all countries – unemployment levels actually decreased in seven member states on a year-on-year basis, including in Lithuania and Latvia, where it may be that the worst effects of the crisis are over. In Germany, although the economy is slowing there are as yet no adverse effects on unemployment, which has fallen on a year-on-year basis."

In some countries the unemployment figures are depressed by a rise in emigration. Ireland, Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain have seen a strong rise in the number of people, mainly young, seeking work abroad.

Roughly 370,000 people emigrated from Spain in 2011, 10 times more than before the banking crisis hit the country in 2008.

Although about 86% of them were naturalised immigrants born abroad, there is also a growing number of native Spaniards saying "ya basta" ("enough is enough"). More than 50,000 left last year, up 80% since before the crisis hit.

Eurozone unemployment hits new high | Business | guardian.co.uk
 
.
Euro zone slips into second recession since 2009
November 15, 2012

* Euro zone GDP falls 0.1 pct in third quarter

* France, Germany rise 0.2 but Netherlands, Spain, Italy fall

* Belgium stagnates, Austria also contracts


BRUSSELS, Nov 15 (Reuters) - The euro zone fell into a recession in July-September, the second since the global financial crisis in 2009, as French resilience could not make up for a slump across Europe and the three-year debt crisis slowed Germany to a crawl.

Economic output in the 17-country euro zone fell 0.1 percent in the third quarter, the EU's statistics office Eurostat said on Thursday, following a 0.2-percent drop in the second quarter.

Those two quarters of contraction put the euro zone's 9.4 trillion euro ($12 trillion) economy officially in recession, although Italy and Spain have been contracting for a year already and Greece is suffering an outright depression.

Germany and France, the euro zone's biggest economies, could not save the bloc from a double-dip recession even though both countries managed 0.2 percent growth in the quarter. Large, countries like Italy, Spain and the Netherlands all contracted and Belgium, a big exporter, stagnated.

Millions of people across Europe protested against government spending cuts that EU policymakers say are crucial to ending the debt crisis but which others blame for the economic contraction.

"We are now getting into a double dip recession which is entirely self-made," said Paul De Grauwe, an economist with the London School of Economics. "It is a result of excessive austerity in southern countries and unwillingness in the north to do anything else," he said.

Not everyone shares that view and the European Commission says labour costs are falling and exports are rising for Greece, Portugal, Spain and Ireland, arguing that austerity is a necessary evil to bring down unsustainable budget deficits.

The European Commission sees a 0.4 percent contraction for the euro zone in all of 2012.

Hopes for a recovery next year are also fading, with the European Commission saying the economy will grow just 0.1 percent in 2013.

A rebound in the euro zone could be vital for the rest of the world as the United States and China struggle with the impact of the crisis on their companies' ability to grow and prosper.

In one positive sign, Eurostat said separately that the euro zone's annual inflation fell to 2.5 percent in October from 2.6 percent in September, suggesting an end to a run of stubborn inflation that has contributed to the difficult environment.

But after months of resilience, Germany, Europe's largest economy, is seeing its companies unnerved by the crisis and demand for its goods in the euro zone and abroad is drying up.

While German gross domestic product expanded by 0.5 percent in the first quarter, it slowed to 0.3 percent in the second and weakened again in the third quarter.

Economists expect a worse performance in the fourth quarter. :tsk:

Euro zone slips into second recession since 2009 | Reuters
 
.
Euro zone faces deepest downturn since early 2009
Thu Nov 22, 2012

(Reuters) - The euro zone economy is on course for its weakest quarter since the dark days of early 2009, according to business surveys that showed companies toiling against shrinking order books in November.

Service sector firms like banks and hotels that comprise the bulk of the economy fared particularly badly this month, and laid off staff at a faster pace.

While the monthly rate of decline that manufacturers reported eased far more than economists anticipated, Markit's latest Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) pointed to little change overall for a recession-hit euro zone this month.

The flash service sector PMI fell to 45.7 this month, its lowest reading since July 2009, the survey showed on Thursday, failing to meet the expectations of economists who thought it would hold at October's 46.0.


It has been rooted below the 50 mark that divides growth and contraction for 10 months now, and survey compiler Markit said it was too soon to say if this marked the nadir.

With more austerity on the way, and a reminder of the festering sovereign debt crisis in this week's failure of lenders to agree more aid for Greece, prospects for next year look ominous.

"The concern about the outlook is getting worse as we move towards the end of the year," said Chris Williamson, chief economist from Markit.

He added that German companies especially have become more pessimistic about the year ahead.

"If the domestic economy of Germany, the largest euro zone nation, is weakening, then that bodes ill for the rest of the region, especially as there's little trade picking up outside the region."

Overall, the PMIs were consistent with the economy shrinking around 0.5 percent in this quarter, Markit said.

That would be the sharpest contraction since the first quarter of 2009.

While they also suggested the economy shrank by a similar amount in the third quarter, instead of 0.1 percent shown in last week's official data, Williamson said it was very likely the fourth quarter would see a larger downturn.

"The factors that were helping to prop up the official data in the third quarter won't be apparent in the final quarter of the year. So you are going to see a deterioration in those official numbers."

Economists pointed to stronger industrial production data early in July and August as a reason why the euro zone economy did not contract as badly as many feared in the third quarter.

PESSIMISM PREVAILS

There was little conviction among businesses that things will get better soon.

Service sector companies are now more pessimistic about the year ahead than at any time since March 2009, when the expectations index last plumbed 48.6 and the region was in the midst of its worst post-war recession.

The manufacturing PMI edged up to 46.2, its best showing since March, from 45.4 in October. That was better than even the most optimistic forecast for 46.0, from 40 economists polled by Reuters.


Similarly, the factory output and new orders indexes crept higher, but still signalled steep rates of decline.

The composite PMI, which groups together the services and manufacturing survey, pointed to an almost unchanged rate of decline for the economy in November, rising to 45.8 from 45.7 in October.

It also showed inflation pressures are easing quickly for companies, as both output and input prices indexes dropped.

Economists polled by Reuters remain divided over whether the European Central Bank will cut its main refinancing rate from 0.75 percent to a new record low 0.5 percent.

"I think the ECB consider their policy to be suitably accommodative at the moment and will continue to put the ball in the court of national governments to work on structural issues," said Williamson.

Detailed PMI data are only available under license from Markit and customers need to apply to Markit for a license. To subscribe to the full data, click on the link below: DDoS Protection, DDoS Mitigation, DDoS Attack Protected Dedicated Server Hosting - Staminus Communications - SecurePort - The Leader in Distributed Denial of Service Attack Security For further information, please phone Markit on +44 20 7260 2454 or email economics@markit.com

(Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Euro zone faces deepest downturn since early 2009 | Reuters
 
.
"Almost all countries in need of adjustment ... are slashing their underlying fiscal deficits and improving their external competitiveness at an impressive speed," the report said.
"In other words, under the pressure of crisis, the countries that need to shape up fast are doing so. The results reveal no trace of a 'moral hazard', that is of a hypothetical risk that outside support could blunt the readiness to adjust," it said.

The report, called the 2012 Euro Plus Monitor, showed that external imbalances, which were one of the reasons for the debt crisis, were diminishing.

It said real unit labor costs were falling sharply in Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. On the other hand, wage moderation, long seen as holding up internal German demand, has ended - suggesting that the private sector in the euro zone's southern half was moving to catch up with Germany in terms of competitiveness.

"More than anything else, this shows that serious structural adjustments can happen - and are happening - within the confines of the monetary union," the report said.

Reuters-Spurred by crisis, euro zone is shaping up: study
 
.
Russia's economic fortunes rise as West sinks

Russia's economic fortunes rise as West sinks - Telegraph

Despair, which is judged on the 'despair index' as inflation + unemployment + poverty, in the West is now higher than in Russia, says Ben Aris.

The traditional way of measuring pain in times of crisis is to look at the misery index: inflation + unemployment. But to really capture the pain people are feeling, you need to look at the despair index: inflation + unemployment + poverty.

The shocking fact is that despair in the West is now higher than in Russia.


In October, the US Census Bureau announced that one in seven Americans is living in poverty — the highest number since record-keeping began 53 years ago.

Two weeks later, the UK announced that the number of people out of work has reached its highest level in 17 years, and youth unemployment has hit a historic high at well over 20pc, according to the Office for National Statistics. Spain capped the round of bad news by announcing that unemployment there is 23pc — its highest figure ever and the highest in the EU. Even with the West’s low inflation, the misery index is already very high.

RELATED ARTICLES

Micex-RTS exchange opens 22 Dec 2011

But unemployment coupled with inflation alone doesn’t really tell the whole story. What does it matter if the cost of an iPod rises by 10pc a year if you can’t even put food on the table or heat your home?

The despair index allows a direct comparison between the West and emerging markets. The surprise is that central and eastern European states are doing better than the developed economies of the West.

And thanks to record low poverty and unemployment numbers in November, Russia’s despair index score of 25.5 is now lower than that of the United States, which has a despair level of 28.1.

Russia’s score highlights the transformation the country has been through since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Life for Russians at the start of the Nineties was truly horrible. Russia’s misery and despair indices were into the thousands thanks to hyperinflation, but as the decade wore on, the despair index fell steadily from around 90 in 2000 to the current level.

It is easy to blame the rising despair on the current crisis, but the US Census says poverty levels in the US have been rising since well before the current crisis began. Economists say that most American families were worse off in 2000 than they were in 1990.

There are some problems with comparing poverty across countries. With a poverty line of $11,139 (£7,160) per annum, America’s poor are a lot better off than most Russians, who earn an average of $9,600. However, the US Census Bureau says half of those living in poverty live in “deep poverty” with incomes half of the official poverty rate, which would make them poor even by Russian standards.

The existence of poverty in the “rich” world only underscores the fact that western democracy is flawed and emphasises the increasingly desperate need for deep structural reform. There has been a lot of talk of emerging markets overtaking the West, but for the majority of people, the Brics have already caught up. If you are rich, then you are better off living in America, but if you are poor, then the chances of your life improving are now brighter in Russia.

Russia's economic fortunes rise as West sinks - Telegraph

Eurozone unemployment rate hits new high in October
30 November 2012

The eurozone's unemployment rate hit a new record high in October, while consumer price rises slowed sharply.

The jobless rate in the recessionary euro area rose to 11.7%. Inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.2% in November.

The data came as European Central Bank president Mario Draghi warned the euro would not emerge from its crisis until the second half of next year.

Government spending cuts would continue to hurt growth in the short-term, Mr Draghi said.

'Two-speed Europe'

The unemployment rate continued its steady rise, reaching 11.7% in October, up from 11.6% the month before and 10.4% a year ago.

A further 173,000 were out of work across the single currency area, bringing the total to 18.7 million.

The respective fortunes of northern and southern Europe diverged further. In Spain, the jobless rate rose to 26.2% from 25.8% the previous month, and in Italy it rose to 11.1% from 10.8%.

In contrast, unemployment in Germany held steady at 5.4% of the labour force, while in Austria it fell from 4.4% to just 4.3%.

"The real problem is that we have a two-speed Europe," economist Alberto Gallo of Royal Bank of Scotland told the BBC. "The biggest increase in unemployment is being driven by Italy and Spain.

"It is the same as you are seeing in financial markets," he explained. "The periphery [Spain and Italy] is the area where the banks are the least capitalised and need the most help, and the loan rates are the highest."

Eurozone unemployment rates

Country - October 2012 - October 2011

Spain - 26.2% - 22.7%

Greece* - 25.4% - 18.4%

Portugal - 16.3% - 13.7%

Ireland - 14.7% - 15.0%

Eurozone - 11.7% - 10.4%

Italy - 11.1% - 8.8%

France - 10.7% - 9.7%

Netherlands - 5.5% - 4.8%

Germany - 5.4% - 5.7%

Austria - 4.3% - 4.3%

Spending hit

Data earlier this month showed that the eurozone had returned to a shallow recession in the three months to September, shrinking 0.1% during the quarter, following a 0.2% contraction the previous quarter.

The less competitive southern European economies, such as Spain and Italy - where governments have had to push through hefty spending cuts to get their borrowing under control, and crisis-struck banks have been cutting back their lending - have been in recession for over a year.

But the economies of Germany and France have also begun to weaken. Growth in the eurozone's two biggest economies came in at a disappointing 0.2%.

And more recent data suggests that both core eurozone economies have continued to skirt recession during the autumn.

Retail sales in Germany shrank 2.8% in October versus the previous month, down 0.8% from a year earlier, according to data released on Friday. Analysts had expected the country to record unchanged or moderately growing sales.

Meanwhile, separate data showed consumer spending in France shrank 0.2% in October versus the previous month, with spending on cars and other durable goods hardest hit.
Calmer markets

The sharp slowdown in the eurozone's consumer price index, to 2.2% in November, is also symptomatic of the weakness of spending.

However, the inflation data may also open the door to further measures by the ECB to boost the economy, as the index fell much closer to the central bank's 2% target rate.

"We have not yet emerged from the crisis," said Mr Draghi, speaking on pan-European radio. "The recovery of the eurozone will certainly begin in the second half of 2013.

"It's true that the budgetary consolidation entails a short-term contraction of economic activity, but this budgetary consolidation is inevitable."

Despite Mr Draghi's warning, and the generally poor state of the eurozone economy, markets have begun to take a far more sanguine view of the single currency's future.

Italy's implicit cost of borrowing in the financial markets has fallen to its lowest level in two years, dropping to an implied interest rate of about 4.5% for 10-year debt.

Spain is able to borrow from markets at a 10-year rate of about 5.5% - far below the 7%-8% rate being demanded over the summer.

Mr Draghi conceded that the announcement of the ECB's willingness to buy up potentially unlimited amounts of government debt had boosted market confidence, even though no eurozone government had actually taken up the ECB's offer yet.

Banking union

However, borrowing costs in southern Europe still remain elevated compared with France and especially Germany. Berlin is currently able to borrow for 10 years at 1.37%, close to an all-time low.

"For now, what the ECB has done is to stop the bleeding," said Mr Gallo at RBS. "The central bank needs to close the gap in loan borrowing costs between the periphery and the core."

However, Mr Gallo said in his view the only way to do this was for the eurozone to move ahead with its "banking union" - which includes putting all eurozone banks under a common regulator, and creating a pan-eurozone scheme for guaranteeing bank accounts.

He was echoing the view of Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund, who on Friday said that creating a single deposit guarantee system should be Europe's top priority, more important than getting government budgets under control.

Fears over a possible government default or exit from the eurozone have made it much harder for Spanish and Italian banks to borrow, and put them at risk of a sudden exodus of depositors. This in turn has undermined the banks' role in supporting their respective national economies.

BBC News - Eurozone unemployment rate hits new high in October
 
.
European Debt Crisis Driving Workers East
01 June 2012

Moscow has become a magnet for foreigners from struggling European economics who are seeking jobs.

A yearlong job search in Russia has yet to yield results for Daniel Campbell, a resident of Northern Ireland looking for new opportunities outside his home country.

Like many of their European peers, Britain and Ireland are struggling economically.

"Employment in Ireland is very competitive. Northern Ireland has the highest unemployment rate within the United Kingdom," said Campbell, a 23-year-old human resources specialist. "Most of my friends have immigrated or plan to immigrate to Australia, America, Canada or elsewhere," he said.

Despite its exorbitant prices and eternal traffic jams, Moscow has become a magnet for foreigners seeking jobs, as unemployment in Europe is hitting record highs amid the debt crisis.

"We've been particularly busy bringing foreigners over the last six months," said Gethin Jones, director of Troika Relocations, which helps foreigners move to Russia and settle in.

Both Jones and Moscow-based headhunters said the stable growth of Russia's economy has encouraged foreign specialists to look for new opportunities here.

The number of new resumes submitted by foreigners seeking employment in Russia increased 11 percent last year. That is a rebound from a 60 percent decline in 2010, according to online recruiting company HeadHunter.

This is not the first time strained economic conditions in their home countries have led foreigners to turn to Russia in search of employment.

The number of new resumes posted by foreigners on the hh.ru website run by HeadHunter rose 116 percent and 22 percent in 2008 and 2009, respectively, the company said.

But unlike in the crisis of 2008-2009, when Russia was hit as severely as the rest of the world, the local labor market now provides more opportunities for expats.

"It's a different situation: Europe is in recession, and the Russian economy looks more stable against this background," said Yekaterina Gorokhova, chief executive of Kelly Services CIS. "The labor market in Russia has resources today to attract foreign managers, which results in an increasing number of offers from foreign specialists."

During the previous crisis, foreigners' chances of being employed in Russia were close to zero because companies were cutting costs and had no money to cover relocation expenses, said Yury Dorfman, head of HR practice at Cornerstone, which focuses on executive searches.

Recruiters said that expats applying for a job in Russia today can count on generous social benefits, with companies covering housing and transportation costs and providing visa support, while salaries are almost equal to those received by local specialists.

Dorfman said that along with new resumes, his company now gets requests from former clients willing to come back after leaving the country between 2008 and 2009.

"I believe this is because of the strained economic situation in Europe. ... So non-demanded specialists are trying to find jobs outside the region," he said.

Russia's official unemployment rate reached 6.6 percent in 2011, down from 7.5 percent a year earlier, according to the State Statistics Service.

Unemployment in the 17-country eurozone stood at 11.4 percent in December 2011, according to the European Union's statistics service, Eurostat.


Having posted 4.3 percent growth in gross domestic product last year, Russia is becoming an attractive market for multinational corporations to develop business and bring employees, Jones said.

"That's not a huge growth, but compared to what's going on in Europe and North America, it's very significant," he said.
The eurozone saw modest economic growth of 1.5 percent in 2011, while the U.S. economy expanded by 1.7 percent.
Campbell, who plans to move to Moscow along with his Russian girlfriend, said he hopes that the pace of Russia's economic development will afford him "opportunities within an English-speaking organization based in Moscow or elsewhere" in the country.
Most foreigners are attracted to Russia by career promotion opportunities and a chance to be employed in positions that would require much more time to attain in their home countries.

"There's every chance to build a good career quickly in Russia and come back to the home country in a different status," Dorfman said. "For example, a Western financial controller could easily apply for a chief financial officer position in Russia."

Among the industries in which expats are traditionally in high demand are banking and finance, oil and gas, financial management and consulting, he said, adding that local companies usually invite foreigners to oversee new projects, which require skills and expertise that local managers often don't have.

An expat is also better received by the international business community and could raise financing for a company faster than a local colleague, he said.

But getting a job in Russia might be a challenge because expats are facing increasing competition from local specialists, headhunters said. Foreign specialists applying for a job will have to prove their skills are superior, however.
"Russia has raised a generation of qualified and responsible local managers," Gorokhova said.

This results in decreasing demand for foreign senior executives, although more companies are considering hiring mid-level managers from abroad, said Gleb Lebedev, head of research at HeadHunter.

The new trend leaves hope for Campbell, who said after months of fruitless searching that an English-language teaching position is the most realistic option for him.

European Debt Crisis Driving Workers East | Business | The Moscow Times

EU, Russia Eye Visa-free Travel for Sochi Olympics

A European parliament member said on Tuesday the Sochi Olympics in 2014 could be a good time to cancel the visa regime between Russia and the EU completely or at least for the duration of the games.

A European parliament member said on Tuesday the Sochi Olympics in 2014 could be a good time to cancel the visa regime between Russia and the EU completely or at least for the duration of the games.

Hannes Swoboda, an European parliament rapporteur on Russia, told a news conference in Moscow that the EU and Russia would decide on liberalizing the visa regime by the end of this year or by the end of 2013, if both sides are truly willing.

Russia handed over a draft agreement on a visa-free regime for short-term trips at the Russia-EU summit in Rostov-on-Don in 2010 and then the sides discussed the issue closer at the Russia-EU summit in Brussels last December.

At the moment, holders of diplomatic passports have the right to visa-free travel to the Schengen zone countries for 90 days.

Russia and the EU are considering extending this right to crews of civilian ships and aircraft. Russia is also seeking visa-free travel for holders of business passports.

EU, Russia Eye Visa-free Travel for Sochi Olympics | World | RIA Novosti

Russia hopes to shift to visa-free travel with EU before Sochi Games
Nov. 27, 2012

Russia hopes to shift to visa-free travel with EU before Sochi Games
 
.
.
we find per capita income of Russia, Argentina and Brazil as below. its clear, why EU wants free Visa scheme with Russia this way..... going to a country like Brazil for working 'illegally', by air fare etc, while now Europeans may enter in Russia by train this way :tsk:

Brazil GDP per capita PPP

Argentina GDP per capita PPP

Russia GDP per capita PPP

with that, we do know the fact that even this year, russian economy is growing by at least 4.5% while that of South American economies like Brazil, Argentina would grow by hardly close to or less than 1.0% this year, and so in future also :meeting:
 
.

Pakistan Defence Latest Posts

Pakistan Affairs Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom