They are still not letting market forces determine the real value .Even after so much destruction. This won't end well..
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It is scary when the Central Bank Governor is in such panic that he can't tell his face from his behind.
I think I am not understanding your explanation. if you say 'official channels' from U.S. to Pakistan, then it becomes interbank money and will get interbank rate. Once it reaches a Pakistan bank, it can't be taken out illegally due to all the FATF regulations that Pakistan has implemented recently. So, the money has to travel outside the banking channel. Like, someone carrying cash in a suitcase and paying the customs officials a bribe to look away.Dollars travel from USA to Pakistan via official channels. Now black marketers have connections among corrupt employees at currency exchange companies. They buy USD at official rate of Rs. 230, give Rs. 20 (for eg) as commission to the corrupt officials and then sell at Rs. 290 to Rs. 300.
The entire amount is not the black marketers profit margin though. He has to pay corrupt border officials/small time politicians too.
Frankly, this is all too complicated for my brain. I was thinking there is a layer of laissez-faire (free market) in the middle of all the regulation. But, once you add criminal elements to it, it is beyond comprehension.Let's see what facts we have based on news reports:
- Dollars are being smuggled into Afghanistan
- Now this is quoted as one of the reasons for Pakistani dollar reserves falling
Above can happen only if official channels are involved. This is NOT Hawala transfer. After all, dollars entering Pakistan through Hawala channels will not show up in reserves.
You can take out dollars from official channels (at official rates) if you fake import bills. But it is possible to do only with connivance of people involved in forex exchange (customs, bureaucrats, banks, exchange employees etc)
Bajwa strolling in his tracksuit...