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Deflation is curbing China’s economic rise

Don't compare China to Germany in the early 20th century, they are two very different countries that only the Western establishment like to frame China to look for a scapegoat and enemy in today's world. Germany was very aggressive and bent on world domination and conquest, none of that is true of China.

It’s not so much a comparison of Germany to China, but how Britain tried to contain a growing continental power with ambitions in Global trade, and the parallels it has with the current US attempts of containing China.

A classic Thucydides Trap.

Up until just a month before WW1, both nations and both navies were very friendly with each other, but had been building up their respective navies.

No one says China is a new Germany. Actually it’s very much the opposite. China really doesn’t have territorial ambitions beyond its borders, but has economic ambitions.

Many hawks need to make someone a scapegoat to get money from the defense budget.

Studying the process of containment from past examples may give insight in how best to maintain healthy competition without miscalculation by either side.

The slow down in China economy is natural. Having GDP growth rate at 4- 4.5% for economy as big as China is quite decent. Moreover, China population growth is also going to negative territory, so China doesnt have much pressure as like India to grow their economy as fast as it can.

India before boasted they can grow at 8 percent every year, but in reality they only can reach 6.1 percent, only 1 % different from Indonesia's growth rate in Q1 2023



Xi will compensate of what is lacking in China previous economic development. Toxic rivers, polluted air etc. He wants to show that businesses is not the king and must abide with regulation.

Xi will make China economic development more green, suistanable, and more balance.
Investment in health care and extending the working years of the population could see growth continue. In the US people are offered to delay retirement by a few years and promised higher pension or social security payments, if I understand the offer correctly. China could do something similar and seek to have people delay retirement by an average 3-5 years, as many countries are trying to do.

Investing into cleaning up the industrialization damage will also improve health outcomes as well as create environment restoration companies that can do this kind of work abroad, even retrofitting industrial plants around the world.

Also while many young people have limited job prospects, if the government creates a compensation system that incentivizes more people to marry and raise 2-3 children while both parents work part time, it could allow China to fix its demographics in time by 2049; 26 full years from now. Enough time to raise the next generation and give them a full university education.

Finally, improvements in education could also raise productivity, creating the enviro ent for more creative innovators to develop new products as China invest a higher percentage of GDP into R&D.
 
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I'm a realist analyst, it doesn't matter where I come from.

Anti-Russian sentiment in Europe has historical reasons as well as propaganda.

At least the current regime in Ukraine is the result of two color revolutions launched by the West.

In fact, Russia is the largest recipient of Ukrainian refugees.

It was also normal during the Merkel period, and the current state is what the United States wants.
Talking about propaganda. You call Ukraine refugees in Russia but the world knows it, the UN calls it abduction. What has the west to gain from anti Russia sentiment? Nothing.
 
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Talking about propaganda. You call Ukraine refugees in Russia but the world knows it, the UN calls it abduction. What has the west to gain from anti Russia sentiment? Nothing.

The United States has drawn a pie for the European Union. If Russia is defeated, the European Union will have free oil and natural gas.
 
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The United States has drawn a pie for the European Union. If Russia is defeated, the European Union will have free oil and natural gas.
stop daydreaming
 
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China's foreign policy has no ability to force countries to be competent.


This is China's largest weakness.


China's closest countries have chosen to destroy their own economies, so China had to try poaching U.S. allies instead, like Saudi Arabia, Vietnam and Indonesia.


The attempt to poach India has failed, obviously.

Why do you use the word poaching dude...?

Is this poaching according to you ?

1690650485265.png



Chinese CATL recently confirmed to build a large-scale battery plant in Indonesia as well. CATL will invest KRW 7.3 trillion to build a battery factory for EVs, and plans to operate by 2026. The plant’s annual capacity is estimated to be 10GWh.

The Indonesian plant is the second plant in overseas for CATL following the one in Germany. CATL will build the plant along with a consortium contract with Indonesia's state-owned mineral company 'PT ANTAM' and battery company 'PT IBI’ (edit: PT IBC). The company plans to not only build the production plant, but also acquire raw materials locally for cathode materials such as nickel, similar to LG Energy Solution.

 
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Why do you use the word poaching dude...?

Is this poaching according to you ?

View attachment 942272


Chinese CATL recently confirmed to build a large-scale battery plant in Indonesia as well. CATL will invest KRW 7.3 trillion to build a battery factory for EVs, and plans to operate by 2026. The plant’s annual capacity is estimated to be 10GWh.

The Indonesian plant is the second plant in overseas for CATL following the one in Germany. CATL will build the plant along with a consortium contract with Indonesia's state-owned mineral company 'PT ANTAM' and battery company 'PT IBI’ (edit: PT IBC). The company plans to not only build the production plant, but also acquire raw materials locally for cathode materials such as nickel, similar to LG Energy Solution.

Compare that to India, which is trying it's hardest to cut all ties to Chinese companies, presumably on U.S. orders.
 
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Why do you use the word poaching dude...?

Is this poaching according to you ?

View attachment 942272


Chinese CATL recently confirmed to build a large-scale battery plant in Indonesia as well. CATL will invest KRW 7.3 trillion to build a battery factory for EVs, and plans to operate by 2026. The plant’s annual capacity is estimated to be 10GWh.

The Indonesian plant is the second plant in overseas for CATL following the one in Germany. CATL will build the plant along with a consortium contract with Indonesia's state-owned mineral company 'PT ANTAM' and battery company 'PT IBI’ (edit: PT IBC). The company plans to not only build the production plant, but also acquire raw materials locally for cathode materials such as nickel, similar to LG Energy Solution.


As America prepares for a post-Jokowi era, what do you think of the next presidential election of Indonesia?
 
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As America prepares for a post-Jokowi era, what do you think of the next presidential election of Indonesia?

All of strong candidates, Ganjar, Prabowo, and Anies will likely continue Jokowi policy, not much different I guess, only Anies who will do some changes.

For foreign policy, it will likely be the same. All of Indonesian administration for decades always put senior professional diplomat as Foreign Minister.
 
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Deflation is bad because the world economy is built on a Ponzi scheme, including China.
There’s no such thing as world economy

India is a slave of the West.

West say jump, Indians will ask into which furnace.

View attachment 942421
Those Indians have all moved west . You obviously missed 1947 partition .

Compare that to India, which is trying it's hardest to cut all ties to Chinese companies, presumably on U.S. orders.
Even idiots can read newspapers and become lesser idiots .

Haven’t you read the heroics of India balancing US and Russia ? It’s called state craft.
 
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