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Defence: a grey area

SekrutYakhni

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DAWN.COM | Columnists | Defence: a grey area


DECISION-making in the defence sector is generally a grey area because of the secrecy that surrounds the process. However, in decision-making environments where political and accountability systems are not strong, there is greater vagueness.

Two questionable deals in this country involve equipment for the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) and the Pakistan Navy (PN). In the PAF’s case, former air chief Kaleem Saadat claimed that Gen Musharraf ruined a $1.2bn deal to acquire Swedish surveillance aircraft. The second instance concerns President Zardari’s alleged link to financial mismanagement in negotiating a deal for new submarines.

According to the current procedure, different directorates in the services headquarters are involved in evaluating weapons’ requirements and then coming up with staff requirements which are evaluated by the planning departments in their respective headquarters. The army’s system is more elaborate than that of the other two services. Once the service boards shortlist their requirements the latter are communicated to the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee (JCSC) to prioritise the procurement of arms for the three services. This is then communicated to the government through the defence ministry.

The army chief has a lot of influence in the JCSC. This has especially been the case over the past decade because of changes in the system where the post of chairman is occupied by an army general. The position no longer goes to the other services. The contract is taken care of at the defence ministry where officials from their respective service headquarters and posted in the ministry assist the process.

In this system, the head of state, especially if he is also the army chief, plays a major role. As army chief, the president can influence the final selection. So Gen Musharraf was in a position to influence the contract and the final acquisition.

But what about Asif Zardari who was also accused of making money in the past from the acquisition of the French Agosta-90B submarines? It is worth noting that the Musharraf government could not get any real evidence of Benazir Bhutto’s and Asif Zardari’s involvement in the submarine deal despite pulling up former naval chief Admiral Mansoorul Haq. It is important to note that while the previous PPP government could be linked to questionable power-sector deals, it probably had less to do with defence purchases. In any case, the procurement process is longer than the average life of a political government for a single person to influence the decision.

This is not to say that the PPP is above board. This is simply the nature of the defence acquisition system. Any financial mismanagement in defence deals has to involve military personnel at the service HQs and the JCSC. According to the prevalent procurement system, the acquisition of weapons depends on staff requirements decided at the service headquarters. The ‘higher defence reorganisation’ planned under the Bhutto government during the 1970s had made the defence ministry responsible for all weapons-procurement administrative work such as calling for bids, floating tenders, writing contracts and negotiating with sellers.

Ideally speaking, staff requirements must reflect the needs of a service. These muse be based on tactical, operational and strategic intelligence. The defence ministry should be responsible for fine-tuning staff requirements and finding the right system to meet the service’s needs.

Currently, the selection of weapons is done at the services’ headquarters which means there is greater interaction between the divisions responsible for planning and potential sellers. Resultantly, staff requirements also reflect the bias of the procurement team for a specific seller. This is where money is to be made. It is after overt and covert deals have been taken care of that the case is passed on to the government.

Where the PN and PAF are concerned obtaining approval for a major acquisition depends on the interest shown by either the army or the head of the state, the final authority. The air force has been luckier than the navy due to the relevance of the service to the army-dominated military strategy.

With the largest service overly involved in politics, governance and now internal security, the PAF is considered vital to fighting a potential war with India, a concept that dominates our military strategy. On the other hand, the PN, which has less strategic significance, tries to attract top policymakers. There are fears that this could be done through offering them a share in the money. The top management influences the naval staff requirements and the final selection of weapons.

This has happened in the case of the acquisition of the P-3C Orions for which the PN has no naval staff requirement or NSR i.e. no real demand has been generated for the aircraft. Another case refers to negotiations with the Chinese for the F-22P frigates in which the service chief overrode the decision, despite issues raised about the technology by relevant quarters.

There are some that suggest that the appointment of a relatively junior District Management Group officer as ambassador to Paris is meant to facilitate a deal with the French. Such claims do not take into account two factors. First, an ambassador is too insignificant in the entire procurement process to influence a deal which the defence establishment including the ministry of defence manages. Second, the PN’s existing submarine fleet is of French origin.

Changing the source would mean adding to the cost as it would involve setting up newer maintenance and other facilities. Not to mention the fact that Islamabad acquired the Agosta-90B under a transfer-of-technology agreement which not only escalated the cost of the deal but also meant that the PN could make additional submarines. The capital investment in the acquisition of weapons represents about 12 to 15 per cent of the lifecycle cost of the equipment. In simple language, a larger array of weapons in terms of their source will add to the overall cost of equipment without increasing efficiency.

It is time we took another look at our military strategy and weapons-procurement planning which suffers from major flaws starting from the absence of a rational procurement planning loop. Weapons’ procurement suffers from the absence of a ‘system’ that actually qualifies as one. Unless one is introduced, we will keep losing money to corrupt bureaucrats and leaders.
 
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"the acquisition of the P-3C Orions for which the PN has no naval staff requirement or NSR i.e. no real demand has been generated for the aircraft. "

F-27 martime enforcer isn't nearly as good and looked at the number of Brequet Atlantic in PN servoce lately? Now compare to the
sub threat.

An extremely versatile aircraft, the Orion performs well in a multitude of roles including anti-submarine warfare, anti-surface (ship) warfare, maritime surveillance, naval fleet support, search and survivor supply. Induction of this all weather aircraft enhanced Navy's reconnaissance, anti submarine and anti-surface vessel operation capabilities.
 
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In simple words. Most of PAK Military top brass sucks at procurements. they are influenced by political motivation who want piece of money from the deals. prime example. MR 10%
 
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In simple words. Most of PAK Military top brass sucks at procurements. they are influenced by political motivation who want piece of money from the deals. prime example. MR 10%

That's why you need a good (rational, formalised, accountable) procurement process, which is what is argued. Although, looking at the US for example, I don't thing even that is a foolproof guarantee of better procurement.
 
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And the article is by Ms Ayesha Siddiqa who has a major beef with the army.

How does she know that we had no requirements for orions. Our fokkers and Atlantiques were not the best aircrafts in our service. P-3Cs were the best bang for the buck that we could get. It has a very good anti-sub and anti-ship package. Does she know that we had P-3s since the 90s but only recently we were able to increase the numbers.

The decision regarding cutting down the numbers of swedish AEW&Cs was a strategic one. We can pursue joint ventures with china (JF-17 is a perfect example) and get more tech know how while working with the chinese. This means that in future we can develop our own AEW&C systems or collaborate with the chinese for developing newer platforms. Whereas swedes are not that open to us and we don't know when will they pull the plug. IMO it was a very good decision.

About the F-22Ps. Yes, it lacks in AD side but it augments our present anti-ship and ASW capability. Pakistan is cash strapped,this is why PN took money from the chinese banks to pay for them. Western countries are usually not that lenient while providing credit facility. IIRC PN originally operated around 14 surface combatants ships. Current numbers are not near the original requirements.

There are some that suggest that the appointment of a relatively junior District Management Group officer as ambassador to Paris is meant to facilitate a deal with the French. Such claims do not take into account two factors. First, an ambassador is too insignificant in the entire procurement process to influence a deal which the defence establishment including the ministry of defence manages. Second, the PN’s existing submarine fleet is of French origin.

Changing the source would mean adding to the cost as it would involve setting up newer maintenance and other facilities. Not to mention the fact that Islamabad acquired the Agosta-90B under a transfer-of-technology agreement which not only escalated the cost of the deal but also meant that the PN could make additional submarines. The capital investment in the acquisition of weapons represents about 12 to 15 per cent of the lifecycle cost of the equipment. In simple language, a larger array of weapons in terms of their source will add to the overall cost of equipment without increasing efficiency.

So we should go for merlins (a paper concept),scorpene (being procured by the indians) or additional 90-Bs(inferior to both merlins and 214s, the two contenders for the new sub procurement plan out of which 214s was selected) just because going for a source other than french will add cost to the total cost of the submarine. Is she joking? Why will PN opt for additional 90Bs rather than the 214s. Its like saying that we should buy more BVR capable ROSE-1 mirages (old but capable platform to an extent) instead of block 52s when the enemy is buying 126 modern fighters( a theoretical example).

She also forgot about the time when BB government was forcing PAF to buy highly overpriced mirages.

IMO a biased article.
 
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Ayesha Siddiqa is a attention seeker. its quite stupid to say PN has no requirement for P-3s.
 
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The need for a good MR a/c is highlighted by AC Kaisers blog; this coming from someone who reached a very senior level in PAF operations planning and execution, should carry a lot of weight.

Air Support at Sea – 1971 War

Aeronaut: March 2010
 
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I don't know about the intentions of the Ayesha Siddiquee

BUT

Our military officers are not some "DHOOD KAY DHULAY" ANGELS that have been BESTOWED UPON US FROM ALLAH ALMIGHTY.

They come from the same nation who you all know is extremely corrupt.

Whether you agree or not but when a man in his 40s and 50s is burdened with family responsibilities, he is EXTREMELY PRONE TO CORRUPTION.

Obviously, a senior military officer nearing retirement would like to make some money before he retires.
 
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