Global recession brings about a lot of joblessness and people look up to governments for jobs, food and shelter. If the government cannot do that, it can start a planned process of militarization (just like Nazi Germany). Your decision to attack India from the north is also an extension of such thinking. The boredom of quarantine and joblessness can make one dream of Eastward expansion and invasions, but I would choose to avoid doing something that would destroy the Kashmir cause.
The war between two nuclear nations cannot be won even if all the global oil reserves are at their disposal.
@I S I is right, but he did not explain it much.