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Featured CoronaVirus in Pakistan - Updates & Discussion

Another 591 cases reported in a day. Unfortunately, 4 people lost their lives yesterday. 519 people recovered. 24,965 tests conducted out of which ratio comes at 2.37%.
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One thing I noticed about this virus is it is unstoppable. Even China with its tough prevention measures reported new cases every day. I doubt it's natural. IMO it is highly likely to be a human engineered bio weapon.
 
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Finally, our active cases are in 4 digits.
Closed cases are 96.9%

View attachment 663858
Naran kaghan is new hot spot of Covid19 due to visitors from around the country I hope Govt will tackle the situation there.... Data is already there just need to trace those people.... I was myself there on 14th August.... Naran was fully occupied.
 
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So why did you guys stop testing and reporting
Although it was an off topic post in that thread, so let me make it clear to you Indians here who are influenced by your media. I really feel sorry for the guys who make fun of Pakistan and Pakistanis of twitter when it comes to covid testing and reporting. What you have written is exactly what you have been told by your media, which is in complete control of your government.

Your cases are 180 times more than Pakistan. What this means is that Pakistan has to do much less contact tracing and testing and the number of tests that you are performing are still very very less considering the number of cases with respect to Pakistan. In simple words, if you are experiencing 180 times more positive cases, you have to do contact tracing and testing of 180 times more suspected patients than Pakistan. Is your testing 180 times of the Pakistani tests? Lets see..

Pakistan conducted 23,500 tests (mostly PCR) of which 415 came positive. The positivity ratio is merely 1.8%.

Your cases are 75000/ 900,000 tests (mostly antigen tests which are not recommended by experts but lets consider them too in the calculations for now). The positivity ratio is 8.3%.

You guys should have conducted 23,500 x 180 = 4.2 million tests (still I have not considered positivity ratio and the number of antibody tests you conduct to achieve the target).

So in fact, Pakistan's testing ratio, considering the number of cases and the positivity ratio is much better than you. We have very very less patients left in the hospital. Many hospitals are now almost free of covid patients. Still we are conducting 23,500 tests (56 times more than the reported positive), while you are doing only 12 times the postive cases being reported. If your government understands this, it might take better decisions.

Why Pakistan was able to control the situation? Your media acknowledged our reasoning as: "The reason behind arresting the rise in Covid-19 cases lies in the country’s increased testing capacity in a very short period and setting up a sophisticated tracking system, which included over 10,000 contract workers and more than 3,000 contact tracing teams on the ground. Besides, strict lockdowns in hotspots and hefty fines for violations also played a role."

So yes, Pakistan increased the testing capacity in the beginning. That coupled with smart lockdown really made the difference.

That's why "WHO appreciates Pakistan's efforts in battling Covid-19", while you are being asked to do more.

Now lets come to the point of testing. BBC reported 4 days back that "India is turning to faster tests to meet targets".

India carried out more than one million coronavirus tests on 21 August, realising Prime Minister Narendra Modi's pledge to ramp up tests to one million a day. It fell to 801,147 and 609,917 tests in the next two days.

But how did India achieve this, and are the tests being used reliable?

While boosting testing is regarded as a key part of the battle against the coronavirus, it's the type of testing which experts say is causing concern.

The one that's been most commonly used globally is a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test, which isolates genetic material from a swab sample.

These are regarded as the gold standard of testing, but they're the most expensive in India and take up to eight hours to process the samples. To produce a result may take up to a day, depending on the time taken to transport samples to labs.

In order to increase testing capacity, the Indian authorities have been switching over to a cheaper and quicker method called a rapid antigen test, more globally known as diagnostic or rapid tests.

These isolate proteins called antigens that are unique to the virus, and can give a result in 15 to 20 minutes.

But these tests are less reliable, with an accuracy rate in some cases as low as 50%, and were originally meant to be used in virus hotspots and healthcare settings.

India's top medical research body, the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), has approved the use of three antigen tests developed in South Korea, India and Belgium.

But one of these was independently evaluated by the ICMR and the All Indian Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), which found that their accuracy in giving a true negative result ranged between 50% and 84%.

We've looked at data from 29 June to 28 July, which shows Delhi conducted a total of 587,590 tests, of which 63% were antigen tests.

But the available data shows that less than 1% of those who tested negative in an antigen test went on to have a PCR test, and 18% of those who did tested positive.

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Another 264 cases reported in a day. Unfortunately, 4 people lost their lives Yesterday. 207 people recovered. 21,434 tests conducted out of which ratio comes at 1.23%.
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Pakistan among 7 countries to Learn From!!!

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has listed Pakistan among seven countries that it says the world can learn from to fight future pandemics.

Pakistan has successfully flattened the coronavirus curve despite its dilapidated health infrastructure while the deadly contagion is spreading uncontrollably in many developed countries of the world.

Covid-19, the respiratory disease caused by the novel coronavirus, has sickened 27.5 million people on the entire planet earth – except for Antarctica – and killed over 900,000 people since its outbreak in December, last year.

According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), WHO Director General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, while speaking at the media briefing, highlighted seven countries, amongst many, whose preparation and response offer lessons for the rest of the world in how to deal with a global pandemic. These countries include Pakistan, Italy, Thailand, Mongolia, Mauritius and Uruguay.

“Pakistan has used the infrastructure it developed in its fight against polio to tackle Covid-19,” said the director general. “Community health workers, previously used to vaccinate children for polio, have been redeployed for contact tracing and monitoring.”

Similarly, Thailand has benefited from 40 years of health system strengthening, Dr Tedros explained. “A well-resourced medical and public health system is supported by strong leadership. Coupled with 1 million village health volunteers, and strong communication, the nation has built trust and compliance and confidence among the general population," he said.

Italy was one of the first countries to experience a large outbreak outside of China, said Dr Tedros. It "took hard decisions based on the evidence and persisted with them". Unity and solidarity, along with the dedication of health workers, helped bring the outbreak under control, he explained.
Mongolia also reacted quickly. It activated its State Emergency Committee in January and didn't report a case until January, and still has no reported deaths.
Mauritius used previous experience with contact-tracing and a swift response to overcome high-risk issues - high population density, high rate of non-communicable diseases and lots of international travellers.

Uruguay has one of Latin America's most 'robust and resilient' health systems in Latin America, explained Dr Tedros. Sustainable investments in public health were built on political consensus, he added.

There are many other countries that have done well, added Dr Tedros. From Japan to New Zealand and Vietnam, many countries have fared better because of lessons learned during previous outbreaks of disease, such as SARS or Ebola.

Having learned the lessons of previous pandemics, it's therefore, "vital that we learn the lessons this pandemic is teaching us," he added.
Dr Tedros also issued a stark warning about the work needed to prepare the world for future pandemics. "This will not be the last pandemic," he told the media briefing.

"History teaches us that outbreaks and pandemics are a fact of life. But when the next pandemic comes, the world must be ready – more ready than it was this time."
Dr Tedros called on countries to invest in public health, as a "foundation of social, economic and political stability".

tribune.com.pk
 
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