gambit
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Do not say that to everyone. Say it to Chinese members who encouraged it.first of all i wanna say to everyone here,
china is not going to annex anything or anyone it does not claim(ie taiwan excluded), it will NOT be driving into Vietnam, or Mongolia. to suggest otherwise is just trolling.
In this scenario, China have two very unpalatable choices:that said, if the NK suddenly find its self at war with the south and the North is seen as the aggressor, the PLA can still roll into the north claiming that its doing its part of the international security duty, it will be a rush to see who can occupy more territory in the north, the US or China, i doubt those two forces will be shooting at each other(though there could be incidents but it will probably be downplayed) for the precise reason mentioned here, risk or escalation to a conflict between US/China.
- Virtually annex North Korea, something you said China should not do.
Under this guise of performing her responsibility as a regional power that China would step in and militarily discourage NKR from war, China would have no choice but to install a new government more amenable to Chinese wishes. China would have to economically support NKR to an even greater degree than today and that includes sending reformers to restructure the NKR-ean economic SYSTEM, not just merely relaxing/abandoning a few rules here and there. Even China would not know how long this support will be in spite of going thru the same travails herself.
- Let North Korea go.
The abandonment of NKR will morally force the SKR-eans to %100 shoulder the burden of saving Korea. Not just North or South, but of the entire country as how the world know Korea prior to partition. This would not mean an immediate placement of US military forces on the Korea-China border as some falsely impressed. Just like how China would not know how long it will take to economically salvage that half of Korea, neither would the SKR-ean government, which would now be the Korean government. So there is no reason for the US military to move into northern Korea. Probably not for another decade at the best case for US. Further...The (new) Korean government will not be so friendly to the idea of even partially supporting a US military garrison when so much will be needed to keep the entire Korean economic system from collapsing.
While this second option is still unpalatable to China because it would remove a buffer state between China and the US, the possibility of a less hostile relationship between China and the US over time as the Korean peninsula economically and politically recovers make this second option less unpalatable overall.
Bottom line...
Neither South Korea nor Japan is the 'puppet' state to the US as many would scurrilously like to believe and propagate. Oddly enough, both of these so called 'puppets' have major economic interests in mainland China, so why would they jeopardize these relationships to antagonize China by enhancing US military presence after the (hypothetical) abandonment of NKR by China? Is it possible that by letting NKR go, all three major Asian countries would have even stronger relationships, economically and politically, thereby gradually removing the US from the Pacific, at least militarily anyway?
North Korea have been a political and an economic millstone around China's neck and no matter what South Korea does or does not, NKR will continue to be such a millstone around China's neck. The same cannot be said for South Korea to the US. This is an unspoken embarrassment for China.