On Sept.1 at the PLAAF Aviation University in Changchun, the PLAAF Chief Gen Ma Xiaotian officially confirmed for the first time that China is working on developing a new long-range strategic bomber: “We are now developing a new generation of long-range bomber, and you will see it in the future.”
Ever since it has been a hot topic in military forums as what this new bomber may look like. There are many CG images suggesting it might be a flying wing aircraft like the US B-2, or the Russian Tu-160 type of variable-geometry wing aircraft.
Given there are news confirming that the Chinese high-bypass turbofan WS-20 with a thrust of 180KN has already entered production phase(
http://tv.cctv.com/lm/jqsjd/),so the engine powering the new bomber is no longer the hurdle for China. 4 WS-20 engine can easily power H-20 carrying a 20-to-30t payload and having a range of over 10000 km. Considering the goings of J-20/J-31 and Y-20, maybe we can expect to see this bird much sooner than thought.
As to the other unknown whether the design of H-20 will follow the B-2’s subsonic&stealth path or the Tu-160’s supersonic but non-stealth path, one well-known Chinese military expert has given his thoughts on this CCTV program (
http://tv.cctv.com/2016/12/04/VIDEHqSu3htp8FjE3D6Gfkcr161204.shtml). He said China would adopt a new approach taken into consideration of all the pros and cons of the US and Russian long-range bombers, and the costs factor.
I guess this is what is normally referred as a “second mover advantage”. Perhaps China can come up with a new approach that H-20 will fly in subsonic speed with some degree of stealth when cursing at low altitude and fly supersonic in high altitude when penetrating the enemy’s airspace. This way the costs of this new bird maybe relatively cheaper than that of B-2.
I am eager to see some real images, even in nono-sized, of the H-20.