China-US military conflict over Taiwan and South China Sea spiraling out of control: Global Times
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DPP authorities must act to reduce risks of war: Global Times editorial
The situation in the Taiwan Straits is the most delicate. In the South China Sea, the US is conducting unilateral military provocation, but China and other regional claimants have a clear attitude about the need to prevent military frictions. But in the Taiwan Straits, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities are making radical and active moves. Political and military issues are intertwined in the Straits, stimulating each other.
Territorial disputes in the South China Sea have been controlled properly. But Taiwan secessionism is still uncertain and could get out of control. The US strategy of containing China is the main cause of tension in the Western Pacific. The strategy has garnered limited coordination around the South China Sea, but it has won full support of DPP authorities. This makes the situation in the Taiwan Straits potentially more explosive.
During the era of former Taiwan leader Chen Shui-bian, the China-US relationship was much better than today. Beijing and Washington kept relatively strong communications capabilities, and Washington to some extent played a role which cooled the tensions in the Straits. Now it is the opposite. Washington has become the instigator of the radical moves of the Taiwan authorities. The US is trying to contain China by leveraging the Taiwan Straits. It is finding fault with China by hyping the Taiwan question, which reflects its overall suppression of China.
The current danger is that DPP authorities and the US keep ratcheting up their actions and eroding the mainland's bottom line with "salami slicing" tactics. The Taiwan authorities continually step on the bottom line under the banner of democracy, and the US constantly violates the "one-China" principle it has acknowledged in a bid to pressurize China. The two are dancing to the same tune to challenge the Chinese mainland.
Should a hot war break out, the DPP authorities will be bound to step down or even collapse. If the war turns into a comprehensive one, the DPP leaders who have committed heinous crimes will either be wiped out in the war or sent to the mainland and brought to justice. Taiwan's "defense authorities" boast their abilities and resolution in a war, which is self-deceiving. If Taiwan authorities indulge in such fantasies and push the situation into a military showdown, they will only confront these self-made tragedies in the future.
I believe the optimal strategy is a tactical nuclear strike on the political leadership of Taiwan in the opening minutes of the war. Once the political leadership is wiped out, the military leadership will likely step in to surrender.
The situation in the Taiwan Straits is the most delicate. In the South China Sea, the US is conducting unilateral military provocation, but China and other regional claimants have a clear attitude about the need to prevent military frictions. But in the Taiwan Straits, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities are making radical and active moves. Political and military issues are intertwined in the Straits, stimulating each other.
Territorial disputes in the South China Sea have been controlled properly. But Taiwan secessionism is still uncertain and could get out of control. The US strategy of containing China is the main cause of tension in the Western Pacific. The strategy has garnered limited coordination around the South China Sea, but it has won full support of DPP authorities. This makes the situation in the Taiwan Straits potentially more explosive.
During the era of former Taiwan leader Chen Shui-bian, the China-US relationship was much better than today. Beijing and Washington kept relatively strong communications capabilities, and Washington to some extent played a role which cooled the tensions in the Straits. Now it is the opposite. Washington has become the instigator of the radical moves of the Taiwan authorities. The US is trying to contain China by leveraging the Taiwan Straits. It is finding fault with China by hyping the Taiwan question, which reflects its overall suppression of China.
The current danger is that DPP authorities and the US keep ratcheting up their actions and eroding the mainland's bottom line with "salami slicing" tactics. The Taiwan authorities continually step on the bottom line under the banner of democracy, and the US constantly violates the "one-China" principle it has acknowledged in a bid to pressurize China. The two are dancing to the same tune to challenge the Chinese mainland.
Should a hot war break out, the DPP authorities will be bound to step down or even collapse. If the war turns into a comprehensive one, the DPP leaders who have committed heinous crimes will either be wiped out in the war or sent to the mainland and brought to justice. Taiwan's "defense authorities" boast their abilities and resolution in a war, which is self-deceiving. If Taiwan authorities indulge in such fantasies and push the situation into a military showdown, they will only confront these self-made tragedies in the future.
I believe the optimal strategy is a tactical nuclear strike on the political leadership of Taiwan in the opening minutes of the war. Once the political leadership is wiped out, the military leadership will likely step in to surrender.
Feng Leng
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China holds concentrated military drills to deter Taiwan secessionists, US
The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has announced four concentrated military drills across three major Chinese marine regions in the coming days, following a recent announcement of consecutive, realistic drills in the Taiwan Straits and at its northern and southern ends aimed at deterring Taiwan secessionists and the US.
Pressing the island of Taiwan from both the north and south ends, the simultaneous exercises in the South China Sea, the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea will demonstrate the PLA's high level of combat preparedness, Chinese mainland military experts said on Sunday.
The drills are expected to hone in on the PLA troops' cross-regional joint combat capability, because if military conflicts break out, they will not likely be restricted to one sea region, but interconnected, they said.
According to a navigation restriction notice released by the local maritime safety administration in Guangzhou on Sunday, the PLA will hold military exercises in the waters of the South China Sea, off the southeast coast of South China's Guangdong Province, from Monday to Saturday.
Also in the South China Sea, military drills will be held in waters off Hainan Island's southeast coast, also from Monday to Saturday, the Hainan Maritime Safety Administration announced on Friday.
In the Yellow Sea north of the island of Taiwan and the East China Sea, the PLA is holding large-scale, live-fire exercises from Saturday to Wednesday in a vast region of waters east of Qingdao, East China's Shandong Province, and Lianyungang, East China's Jiangsu Province, said a notice issued by PLA Unit 91208 and local maritime authorities on Friday.
Additionally, live-fire drills will also be held in the Bohai Sea in a fan-shaped area from Monday to September 30, the Tangshan Maritime Safety Administration announced on Friday.
The four simultaneous military drills in three major Chinese marine regions mean the island of Taiwan will be hemmed in by PLA exercises from both the north and the south, and taking into account the drills in the Taiwan Straits and at its northern and southern ends announced on August 13, the PLA is conducting major exercises in all of its four major marine regions with Taiwan in mind in August, analysts said.
The announcements did not provide further details regarding the drills.
Song Zhongping, a Chinese military expert and TV commentator, told the Global Times on Sunday that the drills are likely to feature anti-ship, air defense and anti-submarine exercises.
The drills could also be joint exercises that feature multiple military branches based in different regions of the country, Song said, noting that this could mean that these exercises could be linked to the recent consecutive, realistic drills in the Taiwan Straits.
In addition to the PLA Navy, other forces like the PLA Army, Air Force, Rocket Force and Strategic Support Force could also be involved, analysts predicted.
The PLA should not only prepare for battle in the East China Sea and the Taiwan Straits, but in all Chinese marine regions, because the goal of these drills should be joint operations, and troops from Northern, Eastern and Southern Theater Commands should be capable of cross-regional joint combat, Song said.
If military conflicts in the Taiwan Straits break out, they will not likely be restricted to one marine region, but interconnected, Song stressed.
Continued US provocations
Chinese mainland analysts said that the PLA drills will not only demonstrate capabilities and act as deterrence, but also give strong responses to recent US military activities in the Taiwan Straits.
Even after the PLA's drills in the Taiwan Straits, the US continued to send warplanes and warships to the area, including the USS Mustin destroyer that sailed through the Taiwan Straits on Tuesday and multiple types of reconnaissance aircraft and B-1B bombers that flied near the island over the past week.
Additionally, the US Pacific Air Forces sent four B-1 bombers and two B-2 bombers in simultaneous missions on Tuesday in the Sea of Japan and the Indian Ocean, with some aircraft coordinating with the USS Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group near Japan at one point, US military newspaper Stars and Stripes reported on Wednesday.
It is also very rare for the PLA to announce so many drills in such a short period of time. While the PLA conducts frequent, routine exercises according to schedule, many of them are usually not revealed to the general public, analysts said. The concentrated announcements can be seen as a strong signal, they noted.
Li Jie, a Beijing-based naval expert, told the Global Times on Sunday that the concentrated PLA drills could serve as further warnings to Taiwan secessionists and the US, and show that the PLA is prepared and capable of effectively safeguarding national sovereignty and territorial integrity in all marine regions.
While the East China Sea would become the main battlefield in a possible reunification-by-force operation, the South China Sea and the Yellow Sea will likely also become involved. The drills in the Bohai Sea might involve the testing of new missiles, Li estimated.
The PLA drills are expected to be real combat-oriented, including how the maritime battle would flow, what kind of challenges might occur, and what actions the militaries of the island and the US might take, Li said, noting that Taiwan secessionists and the US should not have any illusion that their provocative actions hitting below the Chinese mainland's bottom line can succeed.
The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has announced four concentrated military drills across three major Chinese marine regions in the coming days, following a recent announcement of consecutive, realistic drills in the Taiwan Straits and at its northern and southern ends aimed at deterring Taiwan secessionists and the US.
Pressing the island of Taiwan from both the north and south ends, the simultaneous exercises in the South China Sea, the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea will demonstrate the PLA's high level of combat preparedness, Chinese mainland military experts said on Sunday.
The drills are expected to hone in on the PLA troops' cross-regional joint combat capability, because if military conflicts break out, they will not likely be restricted to one sea region, but interconnected, they said.
According to a navigation restriction notice released by the local maritime safety administration in Guangzhou on Sunday, the PLA will hold military exercises in the waters of the South China Sea, off the southeast coast of South China's Guangdong Province, from Monday to Saturday.
Also in the South China Sea, military drills will be held in waters off Hainan Island's southeast coast, also from Monday to Saturday, the Hainan Maritime Safety Administration announced on Friday.
In the Yellow Sea north of the island of Taiwan and the East China Sea, the PLA is holding large-scale, live-fire exercises from Saturday to Wednesday in a vast region of waters east of Qingdao, East China's Shandong Province, and Lianyungang, East China's Jiangsu Province, said a notice issued by PLA Unit 91208 and local maritime authorities on Friday.
Additionally, live-fire drills will also be held in the Bohai Sea in a fan-shaped area from Monday to September 30, the Tangshan Maritime Safety Administration announced on Friday.
The four simultaneous military drills in three major Chinese marine regions mean the island of Taiwan will be hemmed in by PLA exercises from both the north and the south, and taking into account the drills in the Taiwan Straits and at its northern and southern ends announced on August 13, the PLA is conducting major exercises in all of its four major marine regions with Taiwan in mind in August, analysts said.
The announcements did not provide further details regarding the drills.
Song Zhongping, a Chinese military expert and TV commentator, told the Global Times on Sunday that the drills are likely to feature anti-ship, air defense and anti-submarine exercises.
The drills could also be joint exercises that feature multiple military branches based in different regions of the country, Song said, noting that this could mean that these exercises could be linked to the recent consecutive, realistic drills in the Taiwan Straits.
In addition to the PLA Navy, other forces like the PLA Army, Air Force, Rocket Force and Strategic Support Force could also be involved, analysts predicted.
The PLA should not only prepare for battle in the East China Sea and the Taiwan Straits, but in all Chinese marine regions, because the goal of these drills should be joint operations, and troops from Northern, Eastern and Southern Theater Commands should be capable of cross-regional joint combat, Song said.
If military conflicts in the Taiwan Straits break out, they will not likely be restricted to one marine region, but interconnected, Song stressed.
Continued US provocations
Chinese mainland analysts said that the PLA drills will not only demonstrate capabilities and act as deterrence, but also give strong responses to recent US military activities in the Taiwan Straits.
Even after the PLA's drills in the Taiwan Straits, the US continued to send warplanes and warships to the area, including the USS Mustin destroyer that sailed through the Taiwan Straits on Tuesday and multiple types of reconnaissance aircraft and B-1B bombers that flied near the island over the past week.
Additionally, the US Pacific Air Forces sent four B-1 bombers and two B-2 bombers in simultaneous missions on Tuesday in the Sea of Japan and the Indian Ocean, with some aircraft coordinating with the USS Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group near Japan at one point, US military newspaper Stars and Stripes reported on Wednesday.
It is also very rare for the PLA to announce so many drills in such a short period of time. While the PLA conducts frequent, routine exercises according to schedule, many of them are usually not revealed to the general public, analysts said. The concentrated announcements can be seen as a strong signal, they noted.
Li Jie, a Beijing-based naval expert, told the Global Times on Sunday that the concentrated PLA drills could serve as further warnings to Taiwan secessionists and the US, and show that the PLA is prepared and capable of effectively safeguarding national sovereignty and territorial integrity in all marine regions.
While the East China Sea would become the main battlefield in a possible reunification-by-force operation, the South China Sea and the Yellow Sea will likely also become involved. The drills in the Bohai Sea might involve the testing of new missiles, Li estimated.
The PLA drills are expected to be real combat-oriented, including how the maritime battle would flow, what kind of challenges might occur, and what actions the militaries of the island and the US might take, Li said, noting that Taiwan secessionists and the US should not have any illusion that their provocative actions hitting below the Chinese mainland's bottom line can succeed.
zectech
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The only response they understand is dominating force. Don't hold military drills. Announce the opening of 15 shipyards to make various types of submarines, churning out 5-10 subs per year. So about new 100 subs per year will be produced because of US provocation. If that does not deter them. Keep on opening huge numbers of shipyards for new warship, carriers and subs. The next is more destroyers. Then more carriers. Then new types of battleships that have railguns.
Have the US be in misery for causing the arming of China. Chinese population can make 4 times more warships and subs than US at 1/3 the cost. So 12X if China wants to be at parity. So for dollar for dollar and population to population, China can make 12 destroyers per one US destoryer.
Have the US be in misery for causing the arming of China. Chinese population can make 4 times more warships and subs than US at 1/3 the cost. So 12X if China wants to be at parity. So for dollar for dollar and population to population, China can make 12 destroyers per one US destoryer.
Feng Leng
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Taiwanese don't know anything about mainland's military capabilities. If no Taiwanese blood is spilled, there is no deterrence. It's just like the Hong Kong cockroaches. You need to squash them instead of threatening them.
Feng Leng
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We are entering a spiral of escalation:
First, US and Taiwan make moves to achieve de jure Taiwan independence
Fearing de jure Taiwan independence, China mobilizes PLA forces
US sees that China is mobilizing and does not want China to take over Taiwan so it gets ready to deploy its military to Taiwan
China sees that US is getting ready to deploy to Taiwan and does not want Americans to land first so it imposes a quasi-air and sea blockade with military exercises
US sees that China has imposed a quasi-air and sea blockade so it readies forces for a full, frontal attack
China sees that US is readying for a full, frontal attack so it launches the attack on Taiwan
Each of the above steps might be as short as one day or even hours.
US will not enter war for Taiwan, trust me! A country that afraid of escalate war with Iran even their military base is directly attack by ballistic missile from Iran.
You think they fight a war with bigger and stronger China? Mao is right about US. They are a paper Tiger. They can even send 10 aircraft carrier and patrol SCS or Taiwan Strait but they will not fire a single bullet for little Taiwan. Acting but no real action!
8888888888888
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China has a real Navy now unlike during Mao's time and an Air Force close to USA with rockets and tactical missile superiority. If the Hanjians in Taiwan think they can win they have will another thing coming.
Taiwanese are blind by Taiwan media feed them everyday with falsehood Taiwan military is strong enough to stand against PLA and even that failed. US will willing to enter war for Taiwan.
That is the problem of free media. It is never free but manipulate and control by certain force just to serve a purpose of fake falsehood. If China allow free media, you can see the havoc and damage like what it did to Hk and Taiwan.
Figaro
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The total sanctions China would incur by attacking Taiwan would make such an attack not worthwhile for the next 10 years minimum. The fact of the matter is that China has always said it will attack should Taiwan formally declare independence. I highly doubt it will do such thing any time soon so any Chinese attack would be unjustified in the face of the international world.
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Is Taiwan part of China or America?
What kind of sanction do you expect when China is a big market for many mega corporation and is the world factory? We are in the 2020 and not 1970 of China.
China is well integrated into the global. You think Merkel of Germany willing to sanction China when their BMW and Audi heavily depend on China to buy their product? China can hit them back hard with rare earth ban. Restricting many Chinese import will only aggregate their economy progress.
India is part of China.
Figaro
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Please tell me how the Chinese tech industry will run if the US cuts off all chipmaking supplies and semiconductors?
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