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China To Become the World's Largest Retail Market in 2016

Agree. So the retail of whole year may be a better gauge. What is your take on relative low retail number in the US as oppose to China's? We spend too much on Services like insurance, medical care, utilities, etc., which are extremely cheap comparing to the US?

I am not sure about the Box Office numbers, I thought China was going to surpass US in a few years. The cheaper tickets may be one of the factors?

I think if ticket prices are cheaper even more people would be going pushing up total salas. I think the prices must be too high which is excluding a large segment of the population who feel they could watch it cheaper later through other means. Certainly that is the case here. $14/ticket for a family of 4..for a movie that may suck..bleh! We can wait 2 months and watch it on my big screen tv on a comfortable couch for far less...if it sucks I can change the channel and not feel bad.

As for costs...certainly medical insurance can take a chunk that would otherwise be used for something. But it's only a few percent. Same with utilities. But percents here and there add up.
 
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I think if ticket prices are cheaper even more people would be going pushing up total salas. I think the prices must be too high which is excluding a large segment of the population who feel they could watch it cheaper later through other means. Certainly that is the case here. $14/ticket for a family of 4. We can wait 2 months and watch it on my big screen tv on a comfortable couch for far less.

As for costs...certainly medical insurance can take a chunk that would otherwise being used for something. But it's only a few percent. Same with utilities. But percents here and there add up.
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Well don't expect much. It just isn't as popular anymore. I certainly never felt a need to shop on it.
https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/285654
"Mark Cohen, a professor at Columbia Business School and the former chief executive of Sears Canada, said the urgency related to Black Friday has greatly diminished.
Consumers know great deals and discounts are available throughout the year, and prices during the holiday season will only get better if they wait," he said."

The only special thing about Black Friday (coined in 1932) was it was a day almost everybody was guaranteed to be home from work that was near Christmas. These days that specific day off is not so important.

The same will happen in China. A special day turns into 3 days..then some retailers announce sales starting a week before (to get a jump on the rest)..then things get blurred.

I still don't understand how China was not the biggest retail market long ago, It has almost 5 times the population and has pulled 100's of millions out of poverty. Maybe people simply don't have the room in their homes so they focus more on practical items..

What's even more bizarre is how Chinese movie ticket sales haven't easily topped the US...considering with the advent of big screen TVs/cable nobody here is rushing out to the movies anymore. The wildly popular "The Mermaid" ($526M) only made slightly more than half as much as the US total ($936M) for "Force Awakens". How is that possible? Even if only 1/5 of China was middle class and the rest were in extreme dire poverty they still should have clobbered the US in sales.
Movies online are for free.
I can watch all different kinds of american soapie for free from legal source.
But you can't.
 
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E-commerce in 4/5th tier cities and towns will really start off!
When every village has a Taobao service station (they are opening such centre in every village now), all the local villagers can directly sell their high-end agricultural products online and they will also enrich their life by shopping online themselves.

Of course, there will be challenges.
But the huge spending in infra in Rural China and Western China is reshaping logistics there.

Check these villages in China's poorest province, famous for white tea.
Geological isolation becomes their advantage after the expressways opened!

An electronic world trade platform would help make ‘Taobao village’ a global phenomenon

The "Taobao village" phenomenon, which mirrors the profound economic and social changes in China's rural areas caused by the Internet and e-commerce, has sparked innovative thinking in addressing inequality - persisting rural poverty versus ballooning urban wealth - in the world's second-largest economy.

The explosion of Taobao villages - defined by Alibaba as villages with more than 10 percent of local households running online shops and that net annual online sales surpassing 10 million yuan ($1.48 million) - across China is even provoking contemplation about duplicating the model in the rest of the world. Nevertheless, this move would need to be carefully planned to avoid an all too hasty leap as the e-commerce world, having thrived for years especially in China, is inundated with competition.

In a conspicuous indication of the enthusiasm in China's rural areas of capitalizing on the country's e-commerce boom, the number of Taobao villages reached 1,311 by the end of August, up from last year's 780, according to a report released on Saturday by Aliresearch, Alibaba's in-house think tank, at the fourth Taobao Village Summit Forum in Shuyang county, East China's Jiangsu Province. At least 840,000 jobs have been created due to the fast-paced expansion of the villages, according to the report.

Alibaba President Jin Jianhang expects the number of villages to exceed 10,000 in the future. Jin believes that the way in which the model is envisioned to develop to hit the 10,000 mark lies in the rural areas' integration into the modern economy as a consequence of the whole country's infrastructure building efforts.

That would mean continued efforts in bridging urban regions and rural areas, equipping Chinese villages with logistics networks and fundraising capabilities, and more importantly, devising suitable and viable plans for the fittest of the country's villages to survive the fierce competition.

In a speech delivered at the forum, Bert Hofman, the World Bank's Country Director for China, said that "much like Alibaba is a global platform, so can the Taobao villages become a global phenomenon." The World Bank and Alibaba signed an agreement on Saturday to cooperate in researching the Taobao village phenomenon in an attempt to better understand what makes some villages successful and others not.

Nonetheless, there are still numerous challenges in the way, Hofman stated, citing concerns that many of the world's poor are still offline and can't participate in the digital economy in any kind of way.

Furthermore, it needs to be noted that if the Taobao village were to become a global phenomenon, international e-commerce challenges will have to be overcome, otherwise, it would just be an illusion that the Internet and e-commerce can truly transform all economies and villages.

In this regard, the electronic world trade platform that Alibaba and other members of the B20 business group have argued for is a potential solution, as the proposed platform would harmonize rules, regulations, taxes and customs as well as e-commerce processing.

The author is a reporter with the Global Times. bizopinion@globaltimes.com.cn
These villages have control-access expressways?
 
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Agree. So the retail of whole year may be a better gauge. What is your take on relative low retail number in the US as oppose to China's? We spend too much on Services like insurance, medical care, utilities, etc., which are much more expensive comparing to that of China?

I am not sure about the Box Office numbers, I thought China was going to surpass US in a few years. The cheaper tickets may be one of the factors?
I'm more focused on tangible goods, such as sales of smart phone.
One smart phone is composed of so many components which benefit millions of people in this industry.
One $150 Xiaomi has the same effect as one $500 Huawei.

552 million smart phones will be sold in China in 2016, how crazy is that!


China's Smartphone Market Continues Shift Toward Oppo, Vivo

Q2 2016 data on smartphone shipments in China revealed that, alongside Huawei, Oppo had risen to be one of the most popular smartphone brands in the country. Q3 data from Counterpoint corroborates that growth, as well as the falling share of shipments from Xiaomi.

In Q3 2015, Huawei shipped more smartphones than any other single brand, according to Counterpoint, and that trend continued in Q2 2016, when it shipped nearly 17% of all smartphones that quarter. That figure is in line with Q2 data from International Data Corporation (IDC), which gave Huawei a 17.2% share of Chinese smartphone shipments, with Oppo in second with 16.2%.

Vivo was also rising up the ranks according to both Counterpoint and IDC, and by Q3 2016 had, along with Oppo, surpassed Huawei in shipment share. This may have relegated Huawei to third place in share of smartphone shipments in Q3 2016, but so far the change in Huawei’s market share has been minimal. Nearly 17% of all phones shipped that quarter were made by Oppo, and Vivo shipped about 16% of all smartphones. Huawei still shipped 15% of the total figure.

The manufacturers losing significant share of shipments were, instead, Xiaomi and Apple, just as in the earlier data from IDC.

Xiaomi and Apple aren’t just losing share, either—they’re also shipping fewer phones than they were a year ago.

Counterpoint reported that shipments of Apple phones were down 27% in Q3 2016 vs. Q3 2015, and shipments of Xiaomi-made devices were down 22% over the same period. Declines in shipments may be slowing, however—compared to Q2 2016, shipments were about flat for Xiaomi and up 5% for Apple.

eMarketer estimates a total of 552 million smartphone users in China in 2016, a figure that will grow nearly 20% to more than 593 million users by 2017.
 
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