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China To Become the World's Largest Retail Market in 2016

I think it has got a lot to do with the composition of US GDP and the way it is calculated.

Just a few cases in point.

The so-called productive service as a percentage of GDP is a lot higher in the US than in China.

American lawyers contribute greatly to US GDP as opposed to their Chinese counterparts who are practically non-existent GDP wise. :D

Housing expenditure by owner-occupiers takes up a big chunk of the US GDP while it is virtually unaccounted for in the Chinese GDP

China "enjoys" a far larger "underground economy" than the US(both as a share of the total output and by absolute value).

etc etc.
We should focuse on tangible goods consumption. The way Muricos promote their virtual GDP is amazing.
 
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I think it has got a lot to do with the composition of US GDP and the way it is calculated.

Just a few cases in point.

The so-called productive service as a percentage of GDP is a lot higher in the US than in China.

American lawyers contribute greatly to US GDP as opposed to their Chinese counterparts who are practically non-existent GDP wise. :D

Housing expenditure by owner-occupiers takes up a big chunk of the US GDP while it is virtually unaccounted for in the Chinese GDP

China "enjoys" a far larger "underground economy" than the US(both as a share of the total output and by absolute value).

etc etc.

Yeh, the largest industries in the US are: No. 1 Finance and Insurance 8% GDP; No. 2 Health Industries 8% GDP; No 3, Durable goods manufacturing 6% GDP.
 
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I guess that is why Retail is not as big part of US economy as it is in China. After paying insurance and doctors, there are not much left to spend on retail. :(
 
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eMarketer expects purchases made digitally will represent a globe-topping 18.4% of the country’s total retail sales this year. China will continue to see massive gains in retail ecommerce over the next few years, with sales topping $2.416 trillion in 2020.

Hope the projection is accurate.
Then $2.4 trillion is really a promising number.

Next trend, VR!
Virtual Reality Shopping will facilitate the integration of E-commerce and offline shopping.

 
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Hope the projection is accurate.
Then $2.4 trillion is really a promising number.

Next trend, VR!
Virtual Reality Shopping will facilitate the integration of E-commerce and offline shopping.



We will see next week, how "Black Friday+Cyber Monday" retail numbers stack up to that of "11.11"
 
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We will see next week, how "Black Friday+Cyber Monday" retail numbers stack up to that of "11.11"
LMAO.

Now I'm using my smart rice cooker I bought during 11.11.
I can just search the recipe in Alibaba Smart Living APP and put all the stuff inside, then press the Start button on the APP.
Done!

TB29l87mFXXXXbTXpXXXXXXXXXX-201749140.jpg

TB2ZHPAqXXXXXbBXpXXXXXXXXXX-201749140.gif
 
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China is the most populated country with an economy almost equal to US. So china deserve this place.



Mod Edit: Warning issued for missing flags.
 
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“In addition, with rising incomes and increased internet access in rural areas the cultural appetite to shop digitally will continue and we can expect to see further growth in mobile spend,” noted Peart.
E-commerce in 4/5th tier cities and towns will really start off!
When every village has a Taobao service station (they are opening such centre in every village now), all the local villagers can directly sell their high-end agricultural products online and they will also enrich their life by shopping online themselves.

Of course, there will be challenges.
But the huge spending in infra in Rural China and Western China is reshaping logistics there.

Check these villages in China's poorest province, famous for white tea.
Geological isolation becomes their advantage after the expressways opened!

An electronic world trade platform would help make ‘Taobao village’ a global phenomenon

The "Taobao village" phenomenon, which mirrors the profound economic and social changes in China's rural areas caused by the Internet and e-commerce, has sparked innovative thinking in addressing inequality - persisting rural poverty versus ballooning urban wealth - in the world's second-largest economy.

The explosion of Taobao villages - defined by Alibaba as villages with more than 10 percent of local households running online shops and that net annual online sales surpassing 10 million yuan ($1.48 million) - across China is even provoking contemplation about duplicating the model in the rest of the world. Nevertheless, this move would need to be carefully planned to avoid an all too hasty leap as the e-commerce world, having thrived for years especially in China, is inundated with competition.

In a conspicuous indication of the enthusiasm in China's rural areas of capitalizing on the country's e-commerce boom, the number of Taobao villages reached 1,311 by the end of August, up from last year's 780, according to a report released on Saturday by Aliresearch, Alibaba's in-house think tank, at the fourth Taobao Village Summit Forum in Shuyang county, East China's Jiangsu Province. At least 840,000 jobs have been created due to the fast-paced expansion of the villages, according to the report.

Alibaba President Jin Jianhang expects the number of villages to exceed 10,000 in the future. Jin believes that the way in which the model is envisioned to develop to hit the 10,000 mark lies in the rural areas' integration into the modern economy as a consequence of the whole country's infrastructure building efforts.

That would mean continued efforts in bridging urban regions and rural areas, equipping Chinese villages with logistics networks and fundraising capabilities, and more importantly, devising suitable and viable plans for the fittest of the country's villages to survive the fierce competition.

In a speech delivered at the forum, Bert Hofman, the World Bank's Country Director for China, said that "much like Alibaba is a global platform, so can the Taobao villages become a global phenomenon." The World Bank and Alibaba signed an agreement on Saturday to cooperate in researching the Taobao village phenomenon in an attempt to better understand what makes some villages successful and others not.

Nonetheless, there are still numerous challenges in the way, Hofman stated, citing concerns that many of the world's poor are still offline and can't participate in the digital economy in any kind of way.

Furthermore, it needs to be noted that if the Taobao village were to become a global phenomenon, international e-commerce challenges will have to be overcome, otherwise, it would just be an illusion that the Internet and e-commerce can truly transform all economies and villages.

In this regard, the electronic world trade platform that Alibaba and other members of the B20 business group have argued for is a potential solution, as the proposed platform would harmonize rules, regulations, taxes and customs as well as e-commerce processing.

The author is a reporter with the Global Times. bizopinion@globaltimes.com.cn
 
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We will see next week, how "Black Friday+Cyber Monday" retail numbers stack up to that of "11.11"

Well don't expect much. It just isn't as popular anymore. I certainly never felt a need to shop on it.
https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/285654
"Mark Cohen, a professor at Columbia Business School and the former chief executive of Sears Canada, said the urgency related to Black Friday has greatly diminished.
Consumers know great deals and discounts are available throughout the year, and prices during the holiday season will only get better if they wait," he said."

The only special thing about Black Friday (coined in 1932) was it was a day almost everybody was guaranteed to be home from work that was near Christmas. These days that specific day off is not so important.

The same will happen in China. A special day turns into 3 days..then some retailers announce sales starting a week before (to get a jump on the rest)..then things get blurred.

I still don't understand how China was not the biggest retail market long ago, It has almost 5 times the population and has pulled 100's of millions out of poverty. Maybe people simply don't have the room in their homes so they focus more on practical items..

What's even more bizarre is how Chinese movie ticket sales haven't easily topped the US...considering with the advent of big screen TVs/cable nobody here is rushing out to the movies anymore. The wildly popular "The Mermaid" ($526M) only made slightly more than half as much as the US total ($936M) for "Force Awakens". How is that possible? Even if only 1/5 of China was middle class and the rest were in extreme dire poverty they still should have clobbered the US in sales.
 
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Well don't expect much. It just isn't as popular anymore. I certainly never felt a need to shop on it.
https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/285654
"Mark Cohen, a professor at Columbia Business School and the former chief executive of Sears Canada, said the urgency related to Black Friday has greatly diminished.
Consumers know great deals and discounts are available throughout the year, and prices during the holiday season will only get better if they wait," he said."

The only special thing about Black Friday (coined in 1932) was it was a day almost everybody was guaranteed to be home from work that was near Christmas. These days that specific day off is not so important.

The same will happen in China. A special day turns into 3 days..then some retailers announce sales starting a week before (to get a jump on the rest)..then things get blurred.

I still don't understand how China was not the biggest retail market long ago, It has almost 5 times the population and has pulled 100's of millions out of poverty. Maybe people simply don't have the room in their homes so they focus more on practical items..

What's even more bizarre is how Chinese movie ticket sales haven't easily topped the US...considering with the advent of big screen TVs/cable nobody here is rushing out to the movies anymore. The wildly popular "The Mermaid" ($526M) only made slightly more than half as much as the US total ($936M) for "Force Awakens". How is that possible? Even if only 1/5 of China was middle class and the rest were in extreme dire poverty they still should have clobbered the US in sales.

Agree. So the retail of whole year may be a better gauge. What is your take on relative low retail number in the US as oppose to China's? We spend too much on Services like insurance, medical care, utilities, etc., which are much more expensive comparing to that of China?

I am not sure about the Box Office numbers, I thought China was going to surpass US in a few years. The cheaper tickets may be one of the factors?
 
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