What's new

China Economy Forum

You should watch your trolling.



More so the failure of their economic policy. The reason they depend on Germany's bailout. If you were to argue of democracy's failure, then Germany should also be a failure? UK? Canada? Sweden? Norway? Denmark ? Just a few thriving European democracies.

Just highlighting the irony of Greece versus China. That is all.
Besides economic policies are determined by people that are elected or appointed by elected people.
 
.
China's first 8-inch IGBT chip production line is completed:enjoy:

OFweek | Posted: 20 Jun 2014, 17:16

9b7e6c0ba387192.jpg

IGBT chip production workshop

(OFweek) - China's first 8-inch profession IGBT (insulated gate bipolar transistor) chip production line is completed today (June 20, 2014) at China South Locomotive & Rolling Stock Corporation Limited (CSR), which breaks the monopoly on high-end IGBT chip technology from foreign countries. Thus, it is of great strategic significance for the national economic security and promotion of energy conservation and emission reduction.

eb935669c45405844c35aafbd5fe43d7(11).jpg


The IGBT chip is such a high-tech product that the manufacturing is extremely difficult. The R&D, manufacturing and application is an important symbol of a country's level of technological innovation and high-end manufacturing level. In the past, the global IGBT technology was mainly mastered in the hands of a few major countries such as European countries, Japan and etc. Over 99% of China's IGBT chips and related products were dependent on the import since China had not formed an independent, complete technical system and the industrial system in the chip, package and device.

After more than 20 years of development, hundreds of experts from CSR overcame a number of significant challenges and finally they have mastered the complete technology of the device. They have established a complete large-scale specialized production industry system for the IGBT and successfully developed high power density IGBT chips and modules from 650 volts to 6500 volts, forming a complete industrial chain of the IGBT.

The 8-inch IGBT chip production line has been invested in nearly 15 million yuan. The first phase of its will achieve an annual output of 120,000 pieces, supporting the production of one million IGBT modules, which really realizes the localization of IGBT chips.

China's first 8-inch IGBT chip production line is completed - OFweek News

b77c87a5442e27d.jpg


b4371cf2e0720cf.jpg


30a241de4f1cf07.jpg


中国成功研制8英寸IGBT专业芯片 打破国际垄断|电能|IGBT器件_凤凰军事
 
.
China's wealth management products total $2.1 trillion
QINGDAO - Wealth management products (WMPs) have been booming in China in the past few years, totalling 12.8 trillion yuan (about 2.1 trillion U.S. dollars) by the end of May, a senior official of China's central bank said Saturday.

The growth of China's WMPs market had been at a rate of between 60 and 80 percent annually for a few years before it decelerated to 30 to 40 percent in 2013, Pan Gongsheng, vice governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), said at a forum in eastern coastal city of Qingdao.

While the focus of China's WMPs market development used to be on mobilizing social resources to support the growth of the real economy, the authorities would do more to ensure the value of people's financial assets preserved and increased, Pan told the forum.

This is not only a financial issue, but also a major economic and social issue, as it involves the readjustment of the income distribution system and the economic restructuring, he added.

Regulation of the WMPs market should be strengthened to control risk and push forward the healthy development of the sector, Pan said.
 
.
Renewable energy initiatives up 10x in last decade
June 20, 2014
Russia Today


renewables_.si.jpg

Reuters/Fabrizio Bensch
Energy, Global warming, Government Spending, Natural resources, Politics

Support for renewable energy is growing worldwide and at the beginning of 2014, the governments of 144 countries have set renewable energy targets, almost a ten-fold increase since 2005 when only 15 countries had policies in place.

Emerging and developing economies are leading the way, with 95 of them having renewable energy policy plans, according to the Renewable 2014 Global Status Report.

The world generated 22.1 percent of its electricity from renewable sources in 2013, even though governments in the EU and US reduced their support. Renewable energy provides 6.5 million jobs worldwide, the report said.

globalshare1.jpg


China, the US, Brazil, Canada, and Germany are the top renewable power countries in 2013, with Spain, Italy, and India making huge strides, according to the report.

Denmark leads per capita power generation, and Uruguay, Mauritius, and Costa Rica were among the top investment locations.

The most significant growth is in power generation, as global capacity jumped 8 percent to more than 1,560 gigawatts (GW) in the last year. Hydropower rose by 4 percent to 1,000 GW, and overall renewables grew 17 percent to more than 560 GW.

Over 140 countries have adopted new renewable energy targets, including the United States, which has pledged to increase renewable energy capacity 50 percent by 2020.

policymaps12.jpg

Source: Renewables 2014, Global Status Report

However, it will be difficult for America to switch off coal consumption, as many states depend on it for their economic livelihood. Many lobbying groups are protesting the new clean energy act, saying it unfairly deprives local industries. Even though coal is a proven dirty energy source consumption has reached a 44-year high.

Attractive investment
Alternative and clean energy is no longer just a hip trend among environmentalists, but a real energy solution that provides power to homes and offices. The market has matured and become an attractive option for energy security.

Germany is pushing its economy towards renewables, and produces half of its electricity from solar power, The Local reports.

In Denmark wind power meets 33 percent of electricity demand, in Spain 20.9 percent, and in Italy solar power met 7. 8 percent of electricity needs. Many cities across the globe have a goal to transition to 100% renewable energy.



11111capacity1.jpg

Source: Renewables 2014, Global Status Report

Over the last 5 years, solar power has on average expanded 55 percent per year, according to the report.

Clean energy is becoming cheaper and more popular with consumers, and investors are snapping up the opportunity. Elon Musk, the entrepreneur who invested early in PayPal and the Tesla electric car, has put money into solar power, and Google is weighing a move into the renewables sector.

Spain and Portugal sit on a bed of geothermal energy, but currently use none of it. Scientists from the Renewable Energy Journal estimate Spain has the potential to produce up to 700 GW, which is five times the current electricity power generation of Spain. The geothermal process is simple- capture heat from underground and use the steam to produce electricity.
 
.
China truly is a world leader in this tech and a good 2 fingers up to the West who are the ones who have said that it is the DEVLOPING world that needs to cut back on its green house emissions with the developed world having pumped them out with little regard given to the planet's health for generations....
 
.
Good work PRC! All the more reason for Pakistan to expand further its cooperation in energy sector with partners like China - given our ever-rising demand in energy consumption and the shortfalls we face
 
.
Most of Green energy r temporary, keep investing Controlled Nuclear Energy development, oneday it can replace oil.

1635012f3-0.jpg

001041jg9a1llt1ljt9t0s.jpg

W020071008813442348017.jpg

562c11dfa9ec8a133cdda949f703918fa1ecc050.jpg




It's the future !
8b13632762d0f7031731060d09fa513d2797c564.jpg
 
Last edited:
.
Renewable energy initiatives up 10x in last decade
June 20, 2014
Russia Today


renewables_.si.jpg

Reuters/Fabrizio Bensch
Energy, Global warming, Government Spending, Natural resources, Politics

Support for renewable energy is growing worldwide and at the beginning of 2014, the governments of 144 countries have set renewable energy targets, almost a ten-fold increase since 2005 when only 15 countries had policies in place.

Emerging and developing economies are leading the way, with 95 of them having renewable energy policy plans, according to the Renewable 2014 Global Status Report.

The world generated 22.1 percent of its electricity from renewable sources in 2013, even though governments in the EU and US reduced their support. Renewable energy provides 6.5 million jobs worldwide, the report said.

globalshare1.jpg


China, the US, Brazil, Canada, and Germany are the top renewable power countries in 2013, with Spain, Italy, and India making huge strides, according to the report.

Denmark leads per capita power generation, and Uruguay, Mauritius, and Costa Rica were among the top investment locations.

The most significant growth is in power generation, as global capacity jumped 8 percent to more than 1,560 gigawatts (GW) in the last year. Hydropower rose by 4 percent to 1,000 GW, and overall renewables grew 17 percent to more than 560 GW.

Over 140 countries have adopted new renewable energy targets, including the United States, which has pledged to increase renewable energy capacity 50 percent by 2020.

policymaps12.jpg

Source: Renewables 2014, Global Status Report

However, it will be difficult for America to switch off coal consumption, as many states depend on it for their economic livelihood. Many lobbying groups are protesting the new clean energy act, saying it unfairly deprives local industries. Even though coal is a proven dirty energy source consumption has reached a 44-year high.

Attractive investment
Alternative and clean energy is no longer just a hip trend among environmentalists, but a real energy solution that provides power to homes and offices. The market has matured and become an attractive option for energy security.

Germany is pushing its economy towards renewables, and produces half of its electricity from solar power, The Local reports.

In Denmark wind power meets 33 percent of electricity demand, in Spain 20.9 percent, and in Italy solar power met 7. 8 percent of electricity needs. Many cities across the globe have a goal to transition to 100% renewable energy.



11111capacity1.jpg

Source: Renewables 2014, Global Status Report

Over the last 5 years, solar power has on average expanded 55 percent per year, according to the report.

Clean energy is becoming cheaper and more popular with consumers, and investors are snapping up the opportunity. Elon Musk, the entrepreneur who invested early in PayPal and the Tesla electric car, has put money into solar power, and Google is weighing a move into the renewables sector.

Spain and Portugal sit on a bed of geothermal energy, but currently use none of it. Scientists from the Renewable Energy Journal estimate Spain has the potential to produce up to 700 GW, which is five times the current electricity power generation of Spain. The geothermal process is simple- capture heat from underground and use the steam to produce electricity.

Renewable energy is great, but it depends on the region you are in. I live in Canada and we get 7 months of good sunshine per year so solar power is not a feasible option.

I see these nice windmills in Xinjiang region which is awesome because it works, but where I live, there isn't a mouse' fart of wind most of the time.

But kudos to the effort of the Chinese government and its people.

Next, Thorium! 加油
 
.
Beijing gets its own Silicon Alley as bustling street becomes start-up haven

Beijing street becoming home to internet professionals looking to start businesses from scratch


PUBLISHED : Monday, 23 June, 2014, 3:08am
UPDATED : Monday, 23 June, 2014, 10:45am

Celine Sun in Beijingceline.sun@scmp.com


The Inno Way, a street in Haidian district where bookstores and small restaurants have been replaced by innovative firms hoping to become the next technology success story. Photo: Simon Song


Tucked in the heart of Beijing's bustling Zhongguancun area, the 300 metres of Haidian West Street, formerly filled with bookstores and small restaurants, was reborn on June 12 as Inno Way.

The Haidian district government sees it becoming home to dozens of incubators, internet cafes, funding and training institutions to help start-up entrepreneurs secure just about everything they need to build a business, from angel investment and free office space to media coverage and business partners.

"This is probably the best era for start-up entrepreneurs [on the mainland]," said Wang Zhuang, the chief editor of internet news portal www.36kr.com.

The operators of the website, which has focused on entrepreneurship since being founded by Wang and his friends four years ago, moved into the street about three months ago, before the name change, at the vanguard of the rebranding.

"People, money and market - the three most important things that a start-up company needs - you can find them all here in Beijing," Wang said.

Following in the footsteps of Silicon Valley in the United States, Beijing has in recent years become another hot spot for internet professionals looking to start businesses from scratch.

In Zhongguancun, where high-technology and internet-related enterprises are concentrated, the number of start-up companies exceeded 6,000 by the end of last year, almost a third more than in 2011.

The growth has been driven by people in their 20s and 30s who have decided to try to make their entrepreneurial ideas a reality, dreaming of becoming the next home-grown IT success story and emulating Tencent, Baidu or Alibaba in carving out a niche in local or even global markets.


Harry Man


Harry Man, a partner at venture capital firm Matrix Partners China, says the number of mainland internet start-ups with a market value of more than US$1 billion is rapidly catching up with that in the US.

"The basic driver behind this is the power of the consumer," Man said. "A great internet company will only appear in a market where there are enough consumers willing to pay for the services. And this is what we have seen in China."

There are about 671 million internet and 400 million smartphone users on the mainland, both world-leading markets, according to industry estimates.

Man's job is mainly to hunt down promising early-stage start-up projects across the mainland. Last year, he and his colleagues approached about 300 teams of entrepreneurs and ended up offering seed funding or first-round investment to about 30 of them.

"The whole market is getting mature and drawing more and more money," he said.

Both local and foreign venture capital and private equity firms are raising their stakes in early-stage start-ups on the mainland. The competition among major global venture capital firms such as IDG Capital Partners, Sequoia Capital and Matrix Partners is becoming more intense as they search for projects with high growth potential, something that Wang said would benefit the entire start-up ecosystem.

He said 36kr.com recommended a team that was developing a real-time message function for mobile applications to a partner at a global venture capital firm two months ago. It took just an hour for the partner to decide to invest in it.

"This was unimaginable three years ago," Wang said. "Investors used to spend several months to evaluate a project before giving money. But now most of them do it within a couple of weeks."

Wang and his colleagues receive 400 to 500 e-mails a month from mainlanders with entrepreneurial ideas and pick promising ones to feature on their website.

In 2012, 36kr.com covered 450 start-up projects, but the number soared to 950 last year.

About 90 per cent of the projects it covers ended up meeting angel investors or venture capital firms, and up to 7 per cent received seed funding ranging from 500,000 yuan (HK$622,000) to 3 million yuan, or Series A investment of between 6 million yuan and 30 million yuan.

After moving into the new office, the news portal team has bigger ambitions. "We are now repositioning ourselves," Wang said. "We will not solely be an online media outlet but will play a role in helping entrepreneurs secure their first round of money. After all, this is the most difficult part of the chain for them."


Li Guanzhi wants to build up a brand in the mid to low-end mainland labour market. Photo: Simon Song


THE JOB SWEEPER

Li Guanzhi, who set up a website for hiring migrants, often found himself doubting his own career choice as he wandered in slum districts on cold winter nights, trying to accost people to ask them if they needed jobs.

Sulai24, founded by Li in Beijing two years ago, is an online hiring platform for migrant workers and employers in labour-intensive industries such as restaurants, logistics, electronic products and housekeeping.

At first, Li's decision surprised his parents and friends because he used to be an information technology expert at a national research institute. He has a master's degree from Oxford University and a doctorate in computer engineering and mathematics from the University of British Columbia.

"I got the idea for such a site because there's serious information asymmetry in the low-end labour market; workers cannot find proper jobs while employers are short of hands," the 34-year-old entrepreneur said. "An online platform can be a good solution."

Although Li firmly believed demand would be huge, making the idea a reality was not easy. A key problem was that very few migrants use the internet. So Li and his teammates had to go to the areas where migrants live to talk to them about the advantages of using the website.

"We call it sweeping the streets," he said. "This is hard and exhausting. But this is also the threshold for others who want to copy our business model."

Li's website has found jobs for more than 10,000 workers. It offers cash incentives ranging from hundreds of yuan to thousands of yuan to those who introduce friends to fill vacancies and makes its money by charging employers a commission.

"Our aim is build up a brand in the mid to low-end labour market on the mainland," he said. "We hope migrant workers can think of us and come to us once they want a job."

Li raised two million yuan (HK$2.49 million) of seed funding last year and is now in the middle of Series A investment negotiations.

"Some people choose a smooth path, and some a tough one," he said. "The day I turn 50, I hope I can say I had the courage to take action rather than just think about it."

2d45ec7b09e70f211d16d62d5d3f38d6.jpg

Shen Si, the chief executive of Papaya Mobile, aims to use mobile internet to change lives. Photo: Simon Song

CLOSER TO DREAM

Shen Si, the chief executive of mobile service provider Papaya Mobile, knew her career goal when she was still in high school.

About two decades ago, Shen read Microsoft founder Bill Gates' book The Road Ahead, in which he said his dream was that "everybody can have a computer on their desk". The book affected her deeply and she later chose computer engineering as her major at Beijing's Tsinghua University. She then went on to study at Stanford University in the United States, earning master's degrees in computer engineering and management.

With the hope of getting more management experience before starting her own business, Shen joined Google in 2004 as a product manager.

"At that time, the Android system was still in its early stage," she said. "But we could feel it would become something big."

Shen founded Papaya Mobile in Beijing with a partner in 2008, launching an Android-based mobile internet platform for game developers. Its target markets were the US and western Europe and it soon became the largest such platform in those regions.

Shen's company was already profitable in 2009 and it set up offices in London and San Francisco. Although the business was growing rapidly, she felt it was not what she really wanted to do. "I was struggling quite a bit because my ultimate dream is to be able to use mobile internet to change people's lives," she said.

In 2012, Papaya Mobile started to tap the mobile advertisement market with its AppFlood product, helping firms promote their products and brands globally. Last month, it launched a mobile application, Kiwi Calendar, that allows users to arrange their schedules more efficiently and share their leisure activities with friends.

"I'm now one step closer to my dream," she said. "We'd like to launch more products, not only on cellphones but probably also on wearable devices."

Four months ago, Shen gave birth to her first child, a son. "It's really hard to strike a balance between life and work as a new mother," she said. "But I am lucky to have the support of my husband. And I am also trying to outsource parts of my jobs to others."


Beijing gets its own Silicon Alley as bustling street becomes start-up haven | South China Morning Post
 
.
What? I used to go there for cheap meal when I was attending university there. That street used to be a dirty little street. I am so old now. lol.
 
.
The Silk Road and China's 21st century spirit

By Cheng Yongnian

The rise of any nation will require what Georg Hegel calls 'a spirit of the age' (Zeitgeist), which a country will either unintentionally comply with or voluntarily create.

For the British Empire in the 18th-19th centuries, the spirit of the age was free trade; while for the United States from the late 19th century through the 20th century, it was liberty and democracy. So, what is China's spirit of the age in the 21st century?

Some people may say the spirit is the self-confidence and rejuvenation of the Chinese civilization. The Silk Road, part of the ancient Chinese civilization, will also help China restore its confidence in the international political arena.

In mentioning the old route, China does not seek to simply repeat its ancient civilization, let alone follow in the steps of the British Empire or the United States. Instead, China has to go beyond its own past and that of the imperial Western powers.

Free trade became the British Empire's spirit of the age because trade complied with the trend of worldwide economic development in that era. It helped the United Kingdom to build its global empire, backed up by guns and cannons in scenes where trading ships were trailed by warships.

With the fall of the British Empire, the rising United States took over to become a global power. But the United States was not a rival to Britain in terms of trade power. The United States pursued a reciprocal policy in which it only opened to countries with which a bilateral, reciprocal deal could be reached.

Instead of free trade, it was liberty and democracy that constituted the U.S. spirit of the age. Liberty and democracy once gave the United States unlimited appeal.

Despite having a different spirit of the age, the rise of the United States was also backed up by guns and violence. Sanctioning others, solving disputes by force, and even occupying another country have been part of the "liberty and democracy" preached by Washington.

A spirit of the time could foster a country's growth, but when such a spirit was improperly used, or even supported by force, it would no longer sustain growth.

Honoring peace

China needs to find a spirit from its long-running cultural deposits, and tailor it to current demands. At the same time, it should refrain from fueling a rise modeled on the British Empire and the United States, or Germany, Japan or the former Soviet Union.

China's past experience in terms of opening up could still benefit its current growth. The way in which ancient China has opened up to the world could be summarized as "a tributary system coexisting with the Silk Road."

The system, which has been demonized by both China and other countries, was regarded as an expression of what was known as the 'Chinese imperialism' or 'Chinese chauvinism.' This was not the historical view, but judging the past by current standards, or, judging Chinese culture from Western criteria.

The tributary system does embody unfair practices, including the "kowtow rituals," which may be difficult for the West to accept, because it represented hierarchy and inequality. However, the system is an "expression of reciprocity" as honored by China.

In essence, the tributary system was a trade system in which the kowtow ceremonies were formalities while trade was the purpose. Tributary states routinely paid homage to the Chinese dynasties, but through kowtowing, those states were normally bestowed with gifts far more valuable than their offerings, besides the right to trade with China.

This was a low-cost trade model. While the tributary countries managed to trade with China through bows and kowtows, the Western powers had to rely on guns and forces to open the door to China.

This is not to say that China still wants to continue this tradition today, but that the ritual was legitimate enough in that era, and was a practice accepted by both parties, otherwise it would be difficult to explain how the system managed to survive for thousands of years.

But when Western powers were at its gate, China still refused to move with the spirit of that age and clung to obsolete values, which brought about its own failure.

Compared with the tributary system, the Silk Road did not arouse any disputes. The Chinese government is now proposing a revival of both the Silk Road (on land) and the Maritime Silk Road, which in fact both existed.

The charm of an open and inclusive culture

Throughout history, China only sought expansion when it was conquered by minority nomads, who were assimilated sooner or later by the Chinese Han culture. The ethnic groups not only accepted Chinese culture but also merged into Chinese culture, a fact that demonstrated the openness and inclusiveness of Chinese culture.

As a major power since ancient times, China has acted differently than Western countries, who deliberately sought to shape a self-centered international order. China is in a natural international order with countries who shared similar needs to China. China's concern is how to govern the naturally formed order.

From this point of view, China has kept a low profile with trade always being the focus of diplomacy while military force and conquest has seldom been an option, because trade is a reciprocal relationship with win-win results.

China is facing more severe challenges in promoting the modern Silk Road, because ancient China was a traditional power which could promote trade through top-down orders; by contrast, China is now in a very different geopolitical environment in which Western powers dominate the world, including countries on China's periphery.

Taking on the Silk Road spirit requires China to analyze challenges in its peripheral environment, while understanding the important implication of building the New Silk Road, besides its responsibilities in the process.

China should abandon the starry-eyed fantasy that a major power will naturally fall, and realize that maintaining major power means toil and struggles for generations.

The New Silk Road may be the threshold for China to become fully involved in the world, and it is also a major test for China, as it continues on the road to becoming a true major power.


The author is director of East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore.
 
.
China buys 20% of global industrial robot output
china.org.cn

China bought one fifth of the world's industrial robot output in 2013, overtaking Japan as the biggest buyer of such technology, new data showed Tuesday.

Some 36,860 industrial robots were sold in the Chinese market last year, up 36 percent annually, according to data released by the China Robot Industry Alliance.

Some 9,597 units came from domestic producers, while the rest of the market, around 73 percent, was taken by foreign robot makers, the CRIA said.

The development of China's industrial robot sector has boomed over the past decade, with sales revenue growing by around 25 percent each year.

Wang Ruixiang, president of the China Machinery Industry Federation, attributed the rapid increase to the country's diverse manufacturing sector creating huge demand.

Industrial robots have been widely applied in 25 major sectors in China, including food, chemicals, electronics and automobiles.

At the end of 2013, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology unveiled a guideline for the sector.

Wang considers the robot sector a main gauge of a country's progress in innovation and its development of the high-end equipment industry, and one which is pivotal to China's determination to restructure its manufacturing.

His words were echoed by Song Xiaogang, president of the CRIA, who said using industrial robots will offset rising labor costs and lack of skilled workers, one of the major problems plaguing China.

The country is managing an industrial restructuring as part of its overall economic reform, shifting from thin-profit labor-intensive industries to high-tech emerging sectors with high added value.
 
.
We are at war with pollution so it is nothing for our friends to be surprise about. Renewable and nuclear are the main focus right now. It will takes a decade to see the result of our war against pollution.
 
.
Chinese lawmakers to review nation's food safety law


China’s top legislative body, the ‪#‎NPC‬ Standing Committee, has begun its bi-monthly session. It will review a series of draft amendments, bills, and reports of critical importance.

Some of the items on the agenda include:

- A proposal for a unified supervision and management system to encompass state and local-level food and drug administration systems
- A report on central government spending in 2013
- A draft amendment to improve security at military facilities
- A bill to fast-track arbitration trials in parts of China
- Reinforcing supervision over financial sectors


Food reform is probably on the minds of many Chinese people who have long cried out for strengthened management of food producers after a rash of food scandals in recent years.

Chinese police conducted more than 52,000 criminal food safety cases and 28,000 fake medicine cases in the past three years, according to a Chinese police official.

Monday's meeting did not detail how the food safety law would be changed.
 
.
Manufacturing expands after 6 months of doldrums

Global Times

PMI rebound reflects impact of SME support measures: economist

8b90bf84-e0a2-432e-9fe9-be00cdafb84b.jpeg


A preliminary HSBC survey has shown that activity in China's manufacturing sector expanded in June for the first time in six months, reinforcing sentiments that the economic recovery is stabilizing as a result of the government's mini-stimulus.

The flash reading of China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 50.8 in June from a final reading of 49.4 in May, HSBC Holdings PLC said in a report issued Monday, beating a market forecast of 49.7.

A PMI reading above 50 indicates growth, while a reading below that figure indicates contraction. The June reading was the highest since November 2013.

A
nalysts, however, still expect more fine-tuning steps to be rolled out in the following months to maintain steadier economic growth.

"This month's improvement is consistent with data suggesting that the authorities' mini-stimulus is filtering through to the real economy," said Qu Hongbin, chief economist for China at HSBC.

Qu's opinion was echoed by Zhang Lei, a macroeconomic analyst with Minsheng Securities.

Zhang told the Global Times Monday that the rebound in PMI reflects the impact of government policy support measures for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in recent months.

For instance, the government has extended tax breaks. In April, the State Administration of Taxation announced that any enterprise with annual taxable income below 100,000 yuan ($16,010) would have their business income tax halved from January 1 this year to the end of 2016. The previous threshold was 60,000 yuan.

A sub-index, manufacturing output, rose to 51.8 in June, also the highest in seven months and up from May's 49.8.

"The HSBC readings confirm our views that stable economic recovery will continue throughout the second quarter," said Zhang.

According to a research note Bank of America-Merrill Lynch e-mailed to the Global Times, the preliminary reading in June indicates that sequential growth will increase to 1.8 percent in the second quarter from 1.4 percent in the first quarter, and that GDP growth in the second quarter is expected to increase to 7.5 percent.

Qu believes that infrastructure investments and related sectors will keep on supporting the recovery in the next few months.

Premier Li Keqiang vowed last Wednesday that China's economy would not have a hard landing.

To maintain stable growth, the government is expected to continue issuing more measures, Lu Ting, an economist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, said in the research note.

And it is time for the government to launch some measures to offset the risks from the property downturn, Zhang remarked.

Among other sub-indices offered by HSBC, overall new orders, a reading to measure foreign and domestic demand, grew sharply, while growth in new export orders slowed slightly, indicating that the rise was mainly driven by domestic consumption.

Zhang said that companies, especially export-oriented ones, are reluctant to sign long-term orders due to the continuous appreciation of the yuan.

Data from the General Administration of Customs showed that in the first five months of 2014, China's exports reached 5.4 trillion yuan, a 2.7 percent drop year-on-year.

Although companies have seen orders increase, they are still struggling to make ends meet, said Chen Naixing, head of the SME Research Center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

"Their profit margins are narrowing due to rising labor costs as a result of labor shortages," said Chen.

Zhang thinks that the government could continue reducing taxes and administrative fees to ease their burden.

But Chen held a different attitude, expecting no incremental financial support measures for enterprises from the government; otherwise they will be "lazy when it comes to upgrading their production lines."

The final results of the HSBC PMI survey for June will be released on July 1 and those of a separate government-sponsored manufacturing PMI will be published on the same date.

The official PMI reading is usually stronger than the HSBC PMI as the official survey is more focused on large, State-owned firms and the latter on smaller, export-oriented firms.
 
.
Back
Top Bottom