Pakistan is 100% Saudi slave state and Saudi Arabia will never tolerate any slave state to become neutral or go against them. For example when I joined PDF a long time ago I wrote a post on PDF "who funds Extremism and Terrorism around the world". It was something like that, and I explained with research that Saudi Arabia is the biggest sponsor of Extremism, fundamentalism and terrorism around the world, they basically create mercenary jihadi group for uncle Sam and political loyal arm for themselves.
Alot of people on PDF were not happy and mentioned Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are brothers etc but yea right, more like slave v master mentality. So since Imran Khan came to power:
1) Saudi Arabia was upset that Pakistan is improving their relationship with Iran. Saudi always forced Pakistan to stay away from Iran, but finally they themselves are improving relations with Iran.
2) Saudi Arabia was furious about Pakistan attending the Malaysian summit. They control and blackmail Muslim states through OIC, consider themselves to be leader of ummah, they will not allow allow anything to be created without their permission, also places them in good books of uncle Sam. Look at what they did to Qatar for challenging them.
3) Saudi Arabia was furious Pakistan opposition to Yemen war. They needed slaves for wars and most likely Pakistan is helping now.
4) Saudi upset about IK OIC speech. They don't accept criticism.
Just think about it, General Raheel shareef is the Head of Saudi military organisation, do you think he doesn't train people to fight in Yemen, you think Pakistanis are not involved.
The Pakistani state till today never once mentioned who funded extremism in Pakistan, who gave fatwas of jihad, calling Pakistanis as kafir and mushraks to wage war.
Will Pakistan finally accept that it was Saudi Arabia billions upon billions of funding which lead to creating new sects in Pakistan, which then lead to fundamentalism, Extremism and finally terrorism.
You have listed the chronology perfectly, and this is what some Indian analysts have pointed out too on one or two programs I regularly watch, when the May 9th event happened. I forgot to mention General Raheel Sharif, thanks for that.
True Saudi will never want to let go of their position, in the Islamic world. Khaan saahab went too direct there in his opposition, and a person like MBS with all his resources will never let that pass.
This fundamentalism game is also something engineered by the US, to make sure the House of Saud stays on top of Middle East. With the changing world, the methods have now changed as well, where Economy and Tech are ruling roost.
I also feel that the thaw in relations between Saudi and Iran, was a message to Uncle Sam by MBS. Saudi's are now hedging their bets with Russia and China, given Joe Biden's aggressive posture at that point. In addition to this short-term event, MBS I feel is planning the long game by getting the relation reset with Iran.
Time for fossil fuels will come to end in half a century or so, and Saudi will have to plan for a time when their Oil doesn't matter much. Which is why he has embarked on all those progressive actions. So overall the Saudi's are moving in right direction. Pakistan has to do the same.
The bolded part can never happen, unless Pakistan achieves insulation from Saudi and US financially. I feel that its now become a chicken first or egg first kind of situation, when it comes to Economy at least for Pakistan.
Policy matters a lot for economic upheaval besides stability and rule of law and institutions, and Pakistan with no proper Democratic and Institutional setup has been depending on external sources to keep the economy going. So as long as these external entities are happy, money will keep coming in various forms. This in turn makes the people in administration (Civilian or Military) not so efficient monetary wise, and this shows up whenever the external funds dry up. Given its security outlook this inefficiency in Pakistan becomes multi fold.
Someone has to bell the cat to stop this vicious cycle, and the Civilian and Military sides have to come to an understanding about each other's boundaries. If not this kind of external intervention will keep happening over and over, where its people who suffer ultimately and sadly at that. But then suffering of public is kind of given, in our part of the world at the hands of those in power.
