FuturePAF
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there is 127,000 Russian troops and 2,000 troops are reaching the border per day
by Mid-feb this number will be over 150,000 troops
Russia is now deployed Air Force to the Belarus and Moldova
UK intelligence has tracked first aid blood convoy reaching the border with Ukraine and this has been relied to the US Intelligence Services its been reported on CNN as we speak
the threat is very very real and Amphibious invasion from Straits of Kerch is being prepared for landing at Odessa
best part is UK is watching every move, eavesdropping, code breaking, intelligence gather, surveillance, under cover agents are all over Ukraine
Russia makes a single move the UK will unleash a blow so server Russia will wish it would rather be invaded by Hitler again
When are the Russian amphibious assault ships expected to reach the Black Sea? The most plausible invasion route involves taking the Russian speaking areas (to minimize the chances they will face a Ukrainian insurgency), and they need those ships to take Odessa.
For Political reasons, they may not take Kiev.
Obviously, most of this is a bluff, but if Russia isn’t satisfied with Ukraine’s neutrality, it’s still possible they may push back to create a buffer zone.