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Bangladesh’s GDP will exceed 1 trillion US dollars by 2026

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Bangladesh’s economy is developing very fast, and it is expected to reach 1 trillion US dollars of GDP in 2030 according to the current development speed.
but i think the speed of economic growth will accelerate.
china is a example .
China's per capita GDP 2004(1502$),2012(6337$)
Bangladesh per capita GDP 2017(1550$) 2025/2026(exceed 6000)
Bangladesh’s GDP per capita is more than 6,000 US dollars, and GDP will exceed 1 trillion US dollars .The military budget exceeds 10 billion dollars.
8 years later , I will be back here .
I believe my prediction.
 
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That is PPP you moron, not nominal.


Nope.

BD is currently at US1751 dollars per capita at nominal and US4600 dollars at PPP.

Now BD at nominal is growing at around (7% per capita + 6% inflation) which is 13% a year. Assume this holds steady(BD looks like it may even grow a little higher) then per capita at nominal will hit 4700 US dollars by 2026.

I think the poster is not really that far out as BD economy will probably sustain 8-9% average GDP growth next decade.
 
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Bangladesh’s economy is developing very fast, and it is expected to reach 1 trillion US dollars of GDP in 2030 according to the current development speed.
but i think the speed of economic growth will accelerate.
china is a example .
China's per capita GDP 2004(1502$),2012(6337$)
Bangladesh per capita GDP 2017(1550$) 2025/2026(exceed 6000)
Bangladesh’s GDP per capita is more than 6,000 US dollars, and GDP will exceed 1 trillion US dollars .The military budget exceeds 10 billion dollars.
8 years later , I will be back here .
I believe my prediction.
Lol are you comparing GDP growth between china and bd lol..
 
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Population wise BD is only at 160 million and by 2026 (only seven years from now) it will reach between 180 million to 185 million looking at their population growth trend, they need average 5200 to 5600 US dollar percapita to reach 1 trillion US DOLLAR GDP. Right now, per capita GDP is still around 1780 US dollar, economy growth is around 7 to 8 per cent, IMF estimation is around 2919 US dollar percapita by 2026 and nominal GDP is around 540 billion US dollar.

Thats the most optimistic estimation though, regarding BD is lack diverse economy clout and heavily reliant on their RMG and textile industry and lack of FDI formation and internal investment toward infrastructure
 
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China's per capita GDP 2004(1502$),2012(6337$)
China kept on enlarging its GDP because it was/is able to build by itself many chemical, petrochemical, non-chemical, ferrous, plastic and other types of manufacturing plants that produced primary, secondary and tertiary goods with added values. These values kept on enlarging the GDP every year.

Can you tell us what Bangladesh is doing in this respect? Can it manufacture even a small machine for any of its factories? I think a trillion dollar economy needs many more things than textiles. At present, the cement industries are very good and I believe, after the Chinese FDI infusion, the steel industry will also become stronger than now. But, other ingredients are absent.
 
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Population wise BD is only at 160 million and by 2026 (only seven years from now) it will reach between 180 million to 185 million looking at their population growth trend, they need average 5200 to 5600 US dollar percapita to reach 1 trillion US DOLLAR GDP. Right now, per capita GDP is still around 1780 US dollar, economy growth is around 7 to 8 per cent, IMF estimation is around 2919 US dollar percapita by 2026 and nominal GDP is around 540 billion US dollar.

Thats the most optimistic estimation though, regarding BD is lack diverse economy clout and heavily reliant on their RMG and textile industry and lack of FDI formation and internal investment toward infrastructure

Base year will be updated twice from now and 2030 it will enlarge the GDP twice further that may make economy closer to 1 trillion USD.
 
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Thats the most optimistic estimation though, regarding BD is lack diverse economy clout and heavily reliant on their RMG and textile industry and lack of FDI formation and internal investment toward infrastructure

Diversification of exports and economy is way higher than what it was a decade (even five years) ago. FDI infusion has already happened, majority of it from Chinese companies. Bangladesh is building one hundred different Special Economic Zones all across Bangladesh, half of them are already ready to go, the rest will be ready in a couple of year's time. Infrastructure is as ready as it will ever need to be, more are on the anvil and being built. I am sure you have seen some of them in my threads.

Of course - one has to be in Bangladesh and connected with the export scene to realize the amount of activity happening. FDI will go where labor costs are low and Bangladesh has everyone beat on that count - definitely Vietnam and also Laos/Cambodia. Indonesia's comparable industry labor costs are twice as high as in Bangladesh.

Here are the high priority thrust sectors attracting foreign FDI and special govt. subsidies and tax benefits (notice all these are labor intensive sectors dependent upon low labor cost),
  1. General Shipbuilding for cargo vessels (under 10,000 DWT)
  2. Athletic footwear
  3. Value-added leather footwear and leathergoods
  4. Value-added ready-made (Prêt-à-Porter) garments and garment accessories
  5. Software & IT enabled Services, ICT products,
  6. Pharmaceutical Products,
  7. Ocean going fishing vessels & trawlers
  8. Value added eco-sustainable products made from Jute and Bamboo
  9. Plastic household kitchen-related products and toys
  10. Agro-products and Agro-processed FMCG products (especially frozen seafood)
  11. Household and Office Furniture
  12. Home textiles, household linen, drapes
  13. Terry Towel products and,
  14. Luggage.
 
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China kept on enlarging its GDP because it was/is able to build by itself many chemical, petrochemical, non-chemical, ferrous, plastic and other types of manufacturing plants that produced primary, secondary and tertiary goods with added values. These values kept on enlarging the GDP every year.

Can you tell us what Bangladesh is doing in this respect? Can it manufacture even a small machine for any of its factories? I think a trillion dollar economy needs many more things than textiles. At present, the cement industries are very good and I believe, after the Chinese FDI infusion, the steel industry will also become stronger than now. But, other ingredients are absent.
Don't worry, step by step, China has come through the same way, and you have our experience to learn from.
Investment in infrastructure will accelerate the pace of economic development. Infrastructure is the most critical part of economic development. Infrastructure investment is easier to drive economic growth than investment R&D and investment education.
With the development of the economy, various industries will grow slowly. Don't be daunted by the difficulties at the beginning.We did not build a small machine in China before, also bought foreign screws now . It's not important. The important thing is that the machines we bought are for our own use . It doesn't matter which country invests in infrastructure. It doesn't matter where the money is borrowed. What matters is that the infrastructure is for us to use.
When China joined the WTO, we Chinese were terrified because we were backward in all aspects and had to abide by more stringent terms than other developing countries.
The Americans stopped us for more than ten years before they let us in, from 80s to 2001.
Finally, in order to enter the WTO, we gave up the rights of many developing countries, many Chinese people are frightened that we will be completely destroyed in the economy, but the result is that we survived, all aspects are slowly improving .
Bangladesh was not alone in its economic development. At that time, no one invested in our infrastructure. We had to build slowly and invest continuously for decades before the country had enough electricity and roads.
Now the times have changed, and the whole world is keen on investing in infrastructure. Maybe in 10 years, enough electricity will be built for the whole country. This is unthinkable before.
According to China's experience, when infrastructure reaches a certain level, the economic growth rate will have a more rapid growth period of 10 years.Bangladesh is approaching this stage.
You don't have to worry about those industries you worry about.It is impossible for every country to have all industries at the same time, no matter how big the country is.
With the economic progress, many industries will gradually shift to low wage countries and regions. For example, the United States, Japan, Korea, Germany, they all lack many industries .
China will shift a lot of industries to other countries in the next 10 years. Bangladesh and Pakistan will certainly be China's first choice, but the final transfer to which country is determined by a combination of factors.
In fact, many industries in China occupy more than 50% of the world's share. The scale of China's transfer industry will be the largest in history. The number of countries benefiting will be the largest.
Perhaps the worst will be Japan and South Korea, which already have a large number of industries squeezed by China 。
Economy is a process of upward climb, and you will be exceeded if you do not move forward .
China is also climbing up the road. Now the front is Korea, Japan, and the first is the United States . China up, so there must be some countries will down . The first place will always get the most benefits and the first place can only have one.This is why the United States is now seeking various reasons to contain China . It doesn't matter what the reasons are, whether anyone wants to believe them or not, it's important that China is contained.
My reason for optimism in Bangladesh is
1,Can be called Chinese friendly countries not much 。Bangladesh is our friendly country.So Bangladesh will get help from China . Anyway, China is the second largest economy in the world.Even if China is a developing country, its help will be far greater than that of other countries.
2,Bangladesh is politically stable without turmoil and war. This is actually very, very important . Peace and stability are prerequisites for economic development.
3,Bangladesh has a greater desire for development than many other countries.In fact, people in many countries are just thinking about development, but in fact they are not willing to take action, they just like to move their mouths, and then think about it in their mind to be satisfied.
4,Bangladesh is a coastal country.The coastal countries have great advantages in the development, you know:cheesy:.
5,Compared with other Islamic countries, Bangladesh is more enlightened . This is also important.
-------------I will never say that the number of people and the number of young people are the reasons for country's development . The world never lacks people and young people.There are too many countries with a lot young people, and the proportion of young people in Africa has been very high for decades, but their rapid development has only begun in the 21st century.

people 、great ambition 、take action 、friend help 、Infrastructure、geographical features 、peace 。。。(Human factors are always ranked first.)

Bangladesh now has all the elements of rapid development .

That is PPP you moron, not nominal.
moron ? Is this an insulting term?

I mean normal GDP ,not PPP .
 
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China's industry transfer is very big, such as stainless steel industry, transferred to Indonesia, this factory (3,000,000 metric tonnes)makes Indonesia the world's second largest stainless steel producer.

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China's industry transfer will be very big .
 
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Maybe by 2030-32......BD and China are not comparable.
 
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