Indos
PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST
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Let us use the language of mathematics to try to get an answer to this.
BD economy is currently at around 300 billion US dollars with defence budget around 4 billion US dollars.
Taking the HSBC estimate(most likely to be higher in reality) of BD economy growing by an average of 7.1% between now and 2030, we come to a defence budget of 9.1 billion US dollars in today's money in 2030.
If BD was spending 9.1 US billion dollars today then it could afford to operate an airforce of 160 modern fighters, plus the special mission(AEW), transport and trainer aircraft.
In my opinion, BAF of 2030 will have 250 aircraft in total, with 160 fighter aircraft.
Indonesia defense budget is 8 billion USD but we only have 16 Su 27/30, 23 F 16 Block 52, 9-10 F 16 Block 15, 24 Hawk 200, 15 Supertucano, and 15 T-50 Golden Eagle.