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Balochistan: Geopolitical Dynamics & Strategies For Stabilisation.


In this video, you can make it out that no one from inside or outside cares for Balochistan. Afterall, it is PPP's government. The only thing that has managed to get Balochistan running alive is the FC/.
 
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What party will most Balochis support in elections?
 
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Any LEJ activist captured recently? Some arrests are kept secret so does any military source know any such arrest and what is our strategy to break the back of ASWJ and LEJ? FC has special powers but I believe the real attacker was LEJ in Quetta-it was the blast that killed 14 that was claimed by Baloch militants. LEJ has been involved in target killings of Shias for many, many years.
 
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What party will most Balochis support in elections?

In the last election PML-Q won with 18 seats of 65. Raisani who was apointed CM was of the PPP though. Popularity polls currently show Imran Khan's PTI on top in Balochistan. But if we (PTI) grab Punjab then we are in business.


NATIONAL LEVEL:
PTI 31%
PML-N 27%
PPP 16%
PUNJAB:
PTI 33%
PML-N 41%
PPP 9%
SINDH:
PPP 42%
PTI 15 %
MQM 9%
PML-N 6%
KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA
PTI 49%
ANP 13%
PPP 9%
PML-N 8%
BALOCHISTAN
PTI 35%
PML-N 9 %
JUI 9%
BNP 6 %
 
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Any LEJ activist captured recently? Some arrests are kept secret so does any military source know any such arrest and what is our strategy to break the back of ASWJ and LEJ? FC has special powers but I believe the real attacker was LEJ in Quetta-it was the blast that killed 14 that was claimed by Baloch militants. LEJ has been involved in target killings of Shias for many, many years.
FC has engaged a lot into target operations with over 100 kills in about 3 weeks and over 2 dozen arrests. They are behind something, which initially was thought to be BRA's Dr Allah Nazar but now could possibly include the secretarial militants.
 
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FC has engaged a lot into target operations with over 100 kills in about 3 weeks and over 2 dozen arrests. They are behind something, which initially was thought to be BRA's Dr Allah Nazar but now could possibly include the secretarial militants.

Thanks. I hope this information is from inside sources. ;)
I seriously need one of those.

Does anyone know about the links of Jundullah to violence in Balochistan? I have noticed as Jundullah became more and more active in Pakistan and their name begun to be heard more often in Pakistan violence in Balochistan against Shias and other minorities grew at an alarming rate.

They were responsible for the Ashura blasts and have been known to work in conjunction with the LEJ and these same men escaped in 2010 from Karachi police after a daring attack by militants. Even the murder of session judge Zulfiqar Naqvi was said to have been something they did though it is more often blamed on LEJ. Seems like Jundullah which was supposed to be a Sunni sectarian, Baloch insurgent organization to harass Iran is hurting Pakistan more than anything. I believe there should be an intelligence sharing deal over the Jundullah.
 
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Thanks. I hope this information is from inside sources. ;)
I seriously need one of those.
Well, not completely 'insider' though they have confirmed but refused to give any further comment on current target operations. This information is from 'FC Watchdog' who collect all the data, verify it and if possible produce pictures of aftermaths of raids, identity/background and pictures of the terrorists killed and other reasonable information.

As for remainder of your post, I am not commenting anything since this is a sensitive issue and everyone has their views, whom I respect regardless of whatever they are.
 
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Well, not completely 'insider' though they have confirmed but refused to give any further comment on current target operations. This information is from 'FC Watchdog' who collect all the data, verify it and if possible produce pictures of aftermaths of raids, identity/background and pictures of the terrorists killed and other reasonable information.

I believe that would mean you are close to them as I have found no information pertaining to FC Watchdog in google search. If I am not wasting time then do share some reports, pictures or things like that and tag me. I try to get information as a journalist from wherever I can. If there are figures involved I usually remember those. Do share, please.

As for remainder of your post, I am not commenting anything since this is a sensitive issue and everyone has their views, whom I respect regardless of whatever they are.

I do not believe there would be many views on ASWJ/SSP LEJ or Jundullah though. All terrorist groups, the only difference being them targeting Shias or minorities specifically with some rare hits on Sunni opponents while TTP and allied IMU and other groups are targeting everyone who disagrees.

:D I guess you don't know me yet but I am not a Shia. I deeply sympathize with them and we all should. I simply do not confirm to standards and expected norms of behavior imposed by ideas such as ethnicity and sect which I believe divide us from our country. As a result perhaps I sympathize more with people from outside my original sect or ethnicity imposed on me at birth.

I believe we must find a solution to this issue. As a journalist I know that they have been trying to get to Australia in crowded boats in precarious conditions. Many sinking along the way.
 
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I believe that would mean you are close to them as I have found no information pertaining to FC Watchdog in google search. If I am not wasting time then do share some reports, pictures or things like that and tag me. I try to get information as a journalist from wherever I can. If there are figures involved I usually remember those. Do share, please.
Yes I do share the news and names of the terrorists/terrorist commanders killed. Stay tuned!
I do not believe there would be many views on ASWJ/SSP LEJ or Jundullah though. All terrorist groups, the only difference being them targeting Shias or minorities specifically with some rare hits on Sunni opponents while TTP and allied IMU and other groups are targeting everyone who disagrees.

:D I guess you don't know me yet but I am not a Shia. I deeply sympathize with them and we all should. I simply do not confirm to standards and expected norms of behavior imposed by ideas such as ethnicity and sect which I believe divide us from our country. As a result perhaps I sympathize more with people from outside my original sect or ethnicity imposed on me at birth.

I believe we must find a solution to this issue. As a journalist I know that they have been trying to get to Australia in crowded boats in precarious conditions. Many sinking along the way.
There, I highlighted the reason why I didn't want to talk on this in public, we can talk in private if you wish I'm sure our views aren't much different.

Cheers!
 
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Yes I do share the news and names of the terrorists/terrorist commanders killed. Stay tuned!

There, I highlighted the reason why I didn't want to talk on this in public, we can talk in private if you wish I'm sure our views aren't much different.

Cheers!

I understand your reasons for not discussing this. However I do wish to explain mine for raising these issues regularly, especially when the topic is related.

I have been part of a movement that tried to obfuscate any other identity than the Pakistani one. We issued directions for any member of the Nationalist movement not to tell any other person of his ethnicity and forget it ever existed as it was "a tool for division". But the thing is we tried to do something impossible. People would figure out a persons identity by our location and language. We went so far to order members to learn more languages than their mother tongue but it still didn't work and there is no proof it will work in Pakistan for a long time. The identity exists and it cannot be avoided for some time.

But what it proves is that the approach of the general Nationalist is wrong. For example in a debate a Nationalist said that no one should make demand on the basis of ethnicity. But we do not understand the nature of our people and each one of us is indeed behaving the way we do because of ethnicity-you can see it in voting preferences too by comparing the heads of each party with the province where they are voted in. Can we afford to ignore this reality? For exapmple the people of Pakhtunkhwa wanted a name change, if a Pakistani Nationalist party had done it we could have ensured that a party run by a man's grandson who had a dubious background did not take power.

In a message to Webmaster I explained my views on this extensively. Just because a topic is potentially "explosive" or taboo in our society it does not mean that discussion on the selected topic should be limited. Ultimately I say this because defence.pk is not merely a minor forum anymore and the reality is fast changing-especially since the last time I posted extensively on the forum for more than a week (was an year+ ago). It is one that may soon reach 50,000 members. It is time for it to become a think-tank and send reports and innovative ideas to the government. Such a site cannot hamper debate on a certain topic because our job is to find a solution.

After I sent a mail to Webmaster requesting a thread on an ethnic issue to be re-opened I was offered a position in think tank. The thread too was re-opened. I interpret it as perhaps a gradual change. @WebMaster can elaborate more or clarify if rules have changed. :)

As far as the attacks on Hazaras are concerned we should raise them and not be afraid to say they target a particular sect or ethnic group. We have to accept it first. If we go to a wailing widow who lost her husband and tell her no one is safe in Pakistan and it isn't just one group that is suffering at that time she might be very angry and even start attacking a person. I can tell you that because it has happened once to a journalist friend. The said widow pulled his collar and started wailing. "Do we Shia Hazara's have any place here?"... there is a way to deal with this. It is to understand the ethnic issues and sympathize.

I again say as a Nationalist, our approach to ethnic issues has been incorrect. My own organization has made critical mistakes in this regard too and I believe we should recognize ethnicity as existent and find other ways to erase it if it must be done-though I personally believe it is the misuse of ethnic identity that is the greater issue. By sending a message the ethnic identity of ours doesn't matter much and respecting all we can help in ensuring the ethnic identity goes to the background as tribes have in Arabia and ethnicity has in France.

Cheers. I do wish to know more about the various office-bearers of PDF. I have been introduced to no one yet.
 
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While attention focuses on the restive northwest, southwest Balochistan has been a bloody battleground since 2005.
Asad Hashim Last Modified: 16 Apr 2013 16:31

Quetta, Pakistan - Zakir Majeed, a 26-year-old university student in Pakistan's southwestern Balochistan province, was on his way to a friend's house when he was stopped by men travelling in two cars, both without registration plates.

The men introduced themselves as Pakistani intelligence agents, and took Majeed and his friends into custody. While his friends were released soon after, Majeed, a student rights activist with the Baloch Students Organisation (BSO), was not.

That was June 8, 2009. Today, almost four years later, there remains no sign of Majeed, and, according to Baloch rights groups and his family, authorities refuse to officially disclose whether or not he was taken into their custody.

Majeed has become one of Pakistan's thousands of "missing people" - those who have mysteriously disappeared without a trace, whether picked up by armed groups or, as many families of victims allege, the government.

The missing include rights and political activists, armed fighters and seemingly innocent men and women. In Balochistan alone - where ethnic Baloch say they are marginalised by the state and deprived of their rights - the Voice of Baloch Missing Persons (VBMP) group puts their number at more than 2,200 since 2005.

"When a student raises his voice or his pen [in support of our rights], he is imprisoned or killed," says Javed Baloch, 33, the secretary-general of the BSO at Balochistan University in Quetta, the provincial capital.

Muhammed Jan Baloch, 28, another BSO leader at the same university, says that Baloch are being targeted by the government for fighting for their rights.

"Thousands of Baloch have been disappeared, tortured and killed," he says. "If a Baloch is working against the state, then bring him before a court and charge him. We don't see this, however - we only see their bodies appear."

Javed Baloch says many activists feel they are being left with no choice but to take up arms against the government."We have tried all democratic routes - they have not worked. Our weapons are now our only defence."

A history of marginalisation
Balochistan, Pakistan's largest but least populous province - home to about 13 million of Pakistan's estimated 182 million people - is also its least economically developed. The province has the country's lowest growth record and worst infrastructure, along with its highest rates of poverty, lowest social indicators for health and education and lowest levels of satisfaction with government service delivery, according to a recent World Bank report.

Yet it is a province at the centre of Pakistan's main issues: nuclear weapon tests were carried out here in 1998; it is here that al-Qaeda's "Quetta Shura" leadership council is said to reside; and it was the cases of missing people in Balochistan that set up a judicial showdown between the Pakistani Supreme Court and then-president Pervez Musharraf, which culminated in the imposition of a state of emergency in 2007 and, eventually, Musharraf's resignation.

Rich in natural resources but poor in development, Balochistan's economy is based on mining - mainly coal, copper and gold - basic fruit and livestock farming, and the extraction of natural gas.

And it is on the issue of natural gas that ethnic Baloch - and ethnic Brahui who align themselves with the Baloch - take issue with the Pakistani state, accusing the federal government of extracting the province's natural wealth without providing a corresponding amount of funds on development projects.

Despite the gas from the Sui gas field powering Pakistan's economic development through most of the late 20th century, the villages near the field in the province's east, residents told Al Jazeera, remain not only without basic educational and health facilities, they do not even have natural gas utility connections.

The Baloch have fought two major widespread guerilla campaigns against the Pakistani state, seeking independence between 1973-77 and again in an ongoing fight starting in 2005. Leaders say they are seeking an independent Baloch state in the province's southeast - with the northern Pashtun-majority area free to decide its own fate.

Each uprising so far has been crushed by the Pakistani army, with the government terming them foreign-funded conspiracies against the nation's sovereignty and territorial integrity.

The latest movement began in 2005, and escalated after the death of Nawab Akbar Bugti, a Baloch nationalist leader who had served as governor and chief minister of the province, but who had increasingly distanced himself from the central government and called for an independent Baloch state.

He died in August 2006, in circumstances that remain unclear. His supporters say he was lured into a trap by the Pakistani state, which then bombed the cave that he had set up camp in, while the government says the cave simply collapsed.

Bugti's death resulted in an escalation of the conflict with armed Baloch groups - notably the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) - stepping up attacks against security forces and non-Baloch citizens. In 2012, 690 civilians and 178 security forces personnel were killed.

Underscoring the increasing violence, a convoy carrying Sanaullah Zehri - provincial president of the main opposition Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) - was attacked on Tuesday. Zehri survived but four people were killed, including his brother and son. Sanaullah is a candidate in Pakistan's general elections in May, and the BLA has vowed it will not allow the vote to go ahead.

The state, for its part, is alleged to have increased the number of "disappearances" of Baloch activists, and, through its security agencies, to have begun a "kill-and-dump" campaign post-2009, with the previously disappeared people appearing on roadsides, their bodies bearing marks of torture. Baloch activists allege at least 398 people have been extrajudicially killed since 2009.

"The Baloch people did not gain anything from [participating in parliamentary democracy], and they will not gain anything," says Jamil Bugti, Akbar Bugti's son, who spoke to Al Jazeera at his home in the village of Mian Ghundi.

He and many of his tribe remain unable to return to Dera Bugti, their main village, he says.

"The main thing is the mindset of the establishment ... to crush the Baloch people, to dominate them, to subjugate them," Bugti says. "They are more interested in the Baloch land and the Baloch, in whatever little way, is resisting that. You [can] call it an insurgency, call it a freedom fight, call it getting rid of slavery, which is everybody's right."

'Kill and dump'


The dumping of bodies of those disappeared began after the civilian government took over from Musharraf, who ruled Pakistan as military dictator and president from 1999 to 2008, says Bugti.

Rights activists say a 136 bodies were found in alleged "kill-and-dump" cases in 2012. Between January and March 2013, 130 civilians were killed in violence in the province and 39 bodies found dumped.

"They picked up people, tortured them, killed them and then made sure that their bodies were recovered," says Bugti. "Sometimes with 'Pakistan Zindabad' ['long live Pakistan'] written on their bodies, or a Pakistani flag stuck in their bodies. Or bodies hanging from trees, and all that. So this [is] kind of a message.

"[But] the more you suppress people, the more innocent people are picked up, the more the movement gains strength."

"The sense of deprivation has made the Baloch people incredibly pessimistic," says Jehan Zeb Jamaldini, a central leader of the Balochistan Nationalist Party-Mengal (BNP-M).

Jamaldini does not contest the allegations that some armed Baloch pro-independence groups are killing non-Baloch settlers, but he says the state responding with violence is not the answer.

"You have made the separatists' work easier," says Jamaldini. "This is like striking your own foot with your own axe."

Nawabzada Lashkari Raisani is a leader of the Raisani tribe and a former senator who recently resigned saying the government - led by his former Pakistan People's Party (PPP) - was not addressing Baloch grievances. He is against the creation of an independent nation, however. Raisani has since joined the opposition PML-N.

Raisani says most Baloch are less concerned about independence, and more worried about good governance.

"People today cannot do their business in peace, they cannot send their children to school … There is no electricity. These are all the crises, and this is making people desperate enough to stand with those people who [have] called for separation."

As one Baloch lawyer, who is an advocate at the Pakistani Supreme Court and spoke on condition of anonymity, put it, most Baloch feel betrayed by the federal government.

“There are only two things we can expect from the Pakistani state now: freedom or death.”

Pakistani sovereignty

The Pakistani government, for its part, denies it is depriving Baloch of either their rights or their natural resources without fair recompense.

According to the federal government, the Balochistan provincial government's budget is subsidised by the state, with expenditure outstripping revenue by a staggering 97 percent, $1.62bn, in the last fiscal year.

Nationalist leaders, however, consider that figure to be flawed.

"The federal government is not giving us anything - it is looting our province, and then giving us some of it back as charity," says Jamaldini, the BNP-M leader.

On disappearances, the government and security services deny involvement in kidnappings, and allege it is Baloch separatist groups that are responsible in order to justify escalating their own violence.

"Of the 950 names that [the VMBP] put before the Supreme Court, most have been located," Akbar Durrani, the provincial home secretary, told Al Jazeera. "Only 86 remain missing. These allegations are made only to malign our intelligence agencies."

Durrani also alleges that armed Baloch groups receive financial support from unnamed international powers seeking to destabilise Pakistan.

Tribal sources and businessmen involved in the mining sector, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Al Jazeera a major part of funding comes from protection money paid by mine owners in rural parts of the province.

As for Baloch political leaders' allegations of state complicity in extrajudicial killings? Durrani denies any government involvement.

"When these people who are raising slogans come into government, they will see the ground realities. It is very easy to raise slogans when you are outside government," he says.

Follow Asad Hashim on Twitter: @ASADHashim
Pakistan's unending battle over Balochistan - Features - Al Jazeera English
 
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Yesterday, Sardar Sanaullah Zehri (current President of PMLN Balochistan) lodged an FIR against Kher Bux Marri, Harbiyar Marri, Javed Mengal and Akhtar Mengal. He alleged that in last week bomb attack in which Sanaullah Zehri's son, brother and nephew were killed was planned by these persons.
Analysts are saying that this is a huge development in Balochistan affairs. Balochistan is a tribal society, where tribal rivalries exists from hundreds of years. Three districts of Balochistan effected badly due to insurgency by BLA and alike forces. BLA and other forces have opposed the elections and has also claimed responsibility for this attack on Sanaullah Zehri.
So, are we again going to witness wars within tribes?


PS: Sanaullah Zehri never spoke against BLA, when they carried out systematic target killing of Punjabi and other settlers. But suddenly he has become against them after his son's death. Last nite in Kamran Show he also express similar views against separatist organizations, and blame media for taking sides with the terrorists.
 
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Baloch nationalists fight Pakistan at polls

Stuck between bullets and ballots, residents of Balochistan are caught between separatist fighters and state forces.

Quetta, Pakistan - As in most other parts of the country, the Pakistani government - both national and provincial - has been lambasted for failing to deliver basic governance and services to the people of Balochistan.

In this province, however, citizens have a more pressing complaint against the state: the lack of provision of basic rights to the provinces’ ethnic Baloch (and Brahui) residents, and a sustained campaign of disappearances and killings of Baloch rights activists, allegedly carried out by the government’s intelligence agencies and the military.

More than 2,200 Baloch citizens - Balochistan’s “disappeared” - have gone missing without a trace since 2005, says the Voice of Baloch Missing Persons (VBMP), a Baloch rights group. The bodies of more than 400 more have been found dumped, often on the side of the road, in various parts of Balochistan since 2009, the group says.

As the country gears up for a general election, though, Baloch nationalist political parties have once again decided to enter the fold of electoral politics, after boycotting the last such polls in 2008.

“We are accused that we do not work within democratic politics, and are simply trying to break away from the State,” Dr Jehanzeb Jamaldini, senior vice-president of the Mengal faction of the Balochistan National Party (BNP-M), told Al Jazeera. “So to try and dispel that impression, we are coming forth to take part in the elections, to be a part of the democratic process.”

Jamaldini accuses the country’s civilian and military establishment of having created a “fake leadership” in Balochistan, to occupy seats in the provincial and national assembly and rubber stamp the State’s policies. He holds these politicians - many of whom are Baloch tribal leaders - responsible for the fact that Balochistan currently has the worst infrastructure and lowest indicators for social development (such as health and education) of any province in the federation.


201354162932289734_20.jpg



There does appear, however, to be a contradiction at play in the BNP-M’s stance on these elections. On the one hand, party activists and leaders say they are determined to pursue the issue of Baloch rights through parliamentary democracy, but, on the other, leaders like Jamaldini also say they have no expectation that “the real controllers” (his term for the military and state intelligence agencies) will ever change their mindset.

“Our establishment is deaf and dumb to the reality of the outcome of their policies,” he says. “They didn’t learn when East Pakistan gained independence as Bangladesh [in 1971], and they aren’t learning now

“I remain pessimistic about the establishment changing its mindset. They want to bring a ‘controlled parliament’, and they especially want to squeeze and marginalise the BNP, in order to destroy its image among the people.”

Between a rock and the rebels

There are also two strains of Baloch nationalists: those who are operating political parties, and those who have been fighting an ongoing armed rebellion against the state since 2005, and reject the idea of elections outright.

“[Armed rebel groups] have said to the political parties that they would not allow the Pakistan government to, in the name of elections, again deceive us. And we request and appeal to [the nationalists] not to take part in the elections,” says Abdul Hakeem Lehri, a central leader of the Baloch Republican Party (BRP), one of the main political parties fighting for separation from the state.

“Of course, there is a war. In the war, there will be violence. [...] We want peace, but not at the cost of slavery,” he told Al Jazeera, when speaking of the threat posed to Baloch nationalist parties by those “in the mountains”, as the local euphemism for the numerous armed groups goes.



“Our party believes in the independence of Balochistan. The Baloch people want to be independent and want an independent country. Because we are slaves here,” he says. “Elections are not our problem. That is Pakistan's problem. Our problem is that Pakistan must leave from here and give the power and independence to the Baloch.”

Jamil Bugti, the son of Baloch tribal leader Nawab Akbar Bugti, who was killed (allegedly by the state) in 2006, agrees with that assessment, and feels nationalist parties have been “tricked” into accepting the writ of the state by taking part in elections.

“Even if they form a government - I don’t think that will happen, but hypothetically speaking, let’s say it does happen - even then Balochistan’s issues will not be resolved, because […] power will not be transferred. It will be in the same hands as it has been in the last 65 years,” he told Al Jazeera. “This will be a show, to show that nationalists have come into the Baloch government through ‘free and fair elections’.

“I have told my brother - who leads his faction of the Jamhoori Watan Party (JWP) - the same thing, that you are being trapped. That the issues will not be resolved.”

(Talal Bugti, the brother in question, whose JWP is taking part in the polls, when asked by Al Jazeera if he agreed with his brother’s assessment said that he, too, had “no expectation that things will change for the Baloch”. “I am,” he said, “just waiting for a miracle.)

Government response​

The government rejects accusations of having suppressed the Baloch or Baloch rights, with the provincial home secretary Akbar Durrani telling Al Jazeera that “99.9 percent of Baloch are patriotic to Pakistan […] and 0.1 percent want to take them hostage”.

“They always say it is a handful of people [who are fighting for independence],” says Jamil Bugti. “If that is the case, why don’t you hold a referendum, under the UN? Because if you do, you’ll see that it is the other way around: 99 percent want to opt out of Pakistan.”

“Elections,” he says, “are not the solution to the Baloch problem. The solution lies in a re-demarcation of the province”, with Pashtun-majority areas in the north allowed to decide their own fate, and those in the southern and eastern Baloch belt (including parts of present-day Punjab and Sindh provinces) allowed to choose their own path. It is a view shared by several nationalist activists Al Jazeera has spoken to.

Between a lack of faith in the electoral process, and continuing threats from armed Baloch nationalists to those seen taking part in the elections, particularly in rural areas, a low voter turnout is expected in these polls, residents of several districts told Al Jazeera.

“The people of Balochistan have now decided that they will not accept anything: only independence,” says Lehri, the BRP leader. “It's not just my party. The whole of Balochistan is refusing it. Either the people who are resisting, in the mountains and the cities, the Baloch Liberation Army, Baloch Republican Army or Baloch Liberation Front, or so many other groups, fighting against them. They will not recognise it.”

Lehri lays the blame for the armed conflict squarely at the door of the state, and its policies in the province. “They say that the Baloch are fighting against Pakistan. We are not fighting against Pakistan, Pakistan is fighting against us.”

Lashkari Raisani, a Baloch tribal leader and candidate for the provincial assembly, however, rejects that idea, instead terming the armed groups campaign of targeted killings of non-Baloch citizens in the province a “genocide”.

Raisani, who resigned from his Senate seat last year over the issue of Baloch rights, accuses the leaders of the armed struggle for independence of being “protected” by the United Kingdom and Switzerland, and terms them “so-called nationalists”.

“[The armed groups] are threatening us have been violating human rights conventions, they are war criminals. They are involved in the genocide of settler Balochistanis,” he told Al Jazeera at his party’s campaign office in Quetta, the provincial capital.

“Democracy is the only way that we can come out of these crises,” he said. “We are striving towards establishing a democratic tradition. Victory has always been through a democratic and peaceful struggle. The terrorists always lose.”

Trust deficit​

Whether democracy or the way of the gun are the routes to Baloch rights, however, all parties in the province agree that the Baloch have been deprived of their share of development, and that the situation needs addressing.

“We are hoping some change comes with the nationalist parties,” says Hashim Khan Baloch, a 25-year-old Baloch student activist from the town of Noshki, “but we don’t see it. Even now, people are being disappeared in Makran division. In my own area I have seen people be detained by unidentified people just for electioneering.”

Khalid Baloch, 25, a Baloch Students Organisation (BSO) activist from Kharan, says that there is some hope that, if nationalist parties win enough seats in the provincial assembly, things could “cool down”.

“They are at least representative of us,” he said. Several activists said they were also concerned at the threat posed by armed groups to those who took part in the elections, however.

“Before, we knew our enemies were external,” says Khan Baloch, referring to the state’s intelligence and security services. “Now the enemies are even within our midst.”



“Those in the mountains,” says Khalid, “They don’t accept Pakistan at all. And on fundamental issues, I agree with them. Today, no Baloch has received justice from the state. Several of our students have been disappeared from outside their classes by the [paramilitary] Frontier Corps. So why would people accept Pakistan?”

All agree, however, that it is the issue of the disappeared people, and those whose bodies have been found, that drives a push towards the armed groups’ point of view.

The armed campaign against the state, and the state’s suppression of it, has created an atmosphere of distrust and unease, residents of Quetta and other districts alike say. Ultimately, it is this trust deficit that all nationalist forces - whether armed, taking part in the elections or boycotting them - can agree on.

“There is a trust deficit here,” says Jamaldini, the BNP-M leader. “The government has used the Quran to bring people out to negotiate, and then killed or captured them.

“Someone would have to be crazy to come down from the mountains to speak to them.” Raisani, Lehri and both younger and elder Bugti all endorsed that view.



As one shopkeeper on Quetta’s Saryab road - known locally as “Gaza”, for the frequency of disappearances and violent incidents that occur in the area - put it, when asked what he thought of the nationalists’ chances at the polls this year: “I can’t speak about it. I don’t know if you are with the intelligence agencies ... and you don’t know if I am.”


Source: Al Jazeera
 
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