Israel & China have demonstrated how to deal with 'Muslim Problem'. They do not expect any interference from outside while conducting their policies. India does not have that luxury. Pakistan will not allow this to happen. Because if Pakistan does nothing, the entire reason for keeping a gargantuan army disappears.
Majority of Kashmiris in the valley never wanted to join Pakistan. They still might not want to do so. But they would be happy to see Pakistanis spill blood for their 'cause'. I have seen them dither while in their hearts they have wanted to be totally independent. Half-heartedness brings about disasters and that is what has been happening in slow-motion; it may now speed up.
Kashmiris need to make up their minds. They do not have the wherewithal to wage a protracted freedom struggle. They either have to opt for Pakistan or India. There is absolutely no middle way.
Pakistan needs to prepare for war over Kashmir once again. This would be the third and final time. It would work to Pakistan's advantage only if Kashmiris join the cause. If they do not, then there is nothing much that Pakistan can do. The LoC is the defacto border and that is how it would actually become.
Likely Post-conflict scenario is:
1. Wider world engages and stops the hostilities in less than 2 weeks.
2. Another set of resolutions are passed in UN.
3. Article 370 is preserved.
4. Valley Hindus are guaranteed their right to return and live in peace.
5. LoC is acknowledged as border with free flow of goods and people of Kashmir.
6. Normalization of relations between Pakistan & India.
Although it is a tough post for me being an Indian, but i like the hard fact that prevails on ground...Kashmir valley people can not be a swinger between India and Pakistan...Either they should revolt completely take on with India supported by your side and finish it once for all or be at peace with India and leave like normal citizen of my country and allow India Pakistan to be like normal countries..
I do not think independent Kashmir has any chance...After your CPEC going through Kashmir from your side, even China will not support it...So only option left for them is to be with Pakistan or India...Let them take on for war or whatever they want and finish it..
Indeed. These Indians live in a delusion believing that we will keep watching if violence erupts in Kashmir after the removal of Article 35A.
Pakistan would be forced to change its current sh**y pacifist policy.
It will all be 90's again. Indians still cry to this day that more than 100000 Hindus whatever were forced to leave Kashmir by Kashmiri freedom fighters in 90's.
This time it would be even far worse after India remove those articles.
Pakistan can not do anything for Kashmir...The reason is pretty obvious...Based on the perception of Pakistan, India is doing all the bad things in Pakistan through out time...So who has stopped you to continue with the war on Feb 27 when you have an upper hand where India initiated conflict with you??? Who was desperate for maintaining peace in LOC??
You missed a golden chance to make a war for Kashmir cause and you missed it for your own reason.
Now if India change any law, that is our internal problem...If you could not get global support for Kashmir issue where you have an upper hand on Feb 27, then what makes you beleive that world will be behind you for any issue which is internal to us..
You guys abandoned Kashmir since Musharaf time...Pakistan is just basically financing and providing basic support as a lipnservice to them...Nothing else..
It is the inability of Pakistan to respond in a decisive manner creating a perception in India that they can stretch Pakistan to a limit where you will be forced to make a mistake of initiating a war on us...