Absolutely credible' Xi Jinping will take Taiwan by force during his leadership

[jamal18]

Why the rush?

The balance of power is shifting towards China, the longer they wait the better.
Also, this will give time for diplomatic work for a peaceful reunion, like Hong Kong.

 

[UKBengali]

Why the rush?

The balance of power is shifting towards China, the longer they wait the better.
Also, this will give time for diplomatic work for a peaceful reunion, like Hong Kong.

Sensible words.

Time is on China's side and they just need wait another couple of decades and the thought of US intervention will be ridiculous.

 

[Titanium100]

According to analysts it will occur somewhere in 2030-2031 I am referring to people like Deng Yuwen or even a Taiwanese scholar who said China will collapse in 2031 which is to far fatched but he said due to succession crisis and again to far fatched but aside from that I think Deng Yuwan is cloesly to reality around 2030-2035ish

 

[Feng Leng]

Can China intervene in the slanted flight trajectory of a Trident D5 missile as it heads towards Beijing with 8 W88 475kT warheads?

LOL as soon as New York City is nuked the Americans will surrender to China unconditionally. Ask Biden if he wants one city nuked or all his cities nuked.

US radar on Alaska will spot that JL-3/JL-3s as it flies towards US and then ABMs will be fired to try to take it or them.

LOL the key word here is "try"

No US will not lose as it can bring the war to Chinese mainland and China will suffer crippling US conventional strikes on its military and economic targets.

LOL the moment the war starts our JL-3 begin multi-megaton airbursts over USA population centers

 

[UKBengali]

LOL the key word here is "try"

I thanked this post as we finally agree.


But like we both agree at least the US has a chance to shoot down Chinese JL-3 ICBM, but China can just watch and see what those 8 W88 warheads of 475kT each from Trident D5 fired from US SLBMs do to Beijing.

 

[Feng Leng]

I thanked this post as we finally agree.


But like we both agree at least the US has a chance to shoot down Chinese JL-3 ICBM, but China can just watch and see what those 8 W88 warheads of 475kT each do to Beijing.

LOL you think USA prefers all its cities nuked instead of just one of its cities nuked

Reality is USA will surrender as soon as New York City is nuked. All the fighting spirit immediately dissipates

 

[retaxis]

Can China intervene in the slanted flight trajectory of a Trident D5 missile as it heads towards Beijing with 8 W88 475kT warheads?

US radar on Alaska will spot that JL-3/JL-3s as it flies towards US and then ABMs will be fired to try to take it or them.

With Chinas manufacturying ability do you know how many nukes China can build in ten years? 100k ?200k?300k? its all very easy for Chinese.

even 10k megaton nukes is enough to destroy the world so lets not play the nuke game. its a fools game.

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

Doubt it. I think it'll be sometime around 2050. By then China is overwhelmingly the most powerful country in the world in terms of economic, technological, military power, and the US is weakened to the point of Mexico and Brazil by then due to demographic change.

Not if the USN intervenes.

US can't even fight a bunch of rag tag Taliban in Afghanistan let alone China which is far more powerful than Taliban.

 

[Han Patriot]

Tell that to @Feng Leng who started this.

No US will not lose as it can bring the war to Chinese mainland and China will suffer crippling US conventional strikes on its military and economic targets.

The off-chance of maybe taking Taiwan is not worth so much damage to China that will take 5-10 years to recoup.

CCP leadership know that there is no current military option to take Taiwan as the US is keeping the option open on whether it will intervene.

You have the right to believe that, but me, US will lose a conventional war within 1000km from mainland China. You are talking about the second most powerful nation on earth matey, not Iraq. What will happen will most likely be like Korean war, it will destroy Taiwan, might be a ceasefire, but Taiwan will be roasted. That's what we are wiling go do to get back. CHINESE SOIL. You have religion, we have nationalism.

 

[VCheng]

LOL you think USA prefers all its cities nuked instead of just one of its cities nuked

Reality is USA will surrender as soon as New York City is nuked. All the fighting spirit immediately dissipates

Isn't that choice for USA similar to China's choice after Shanghai is nuked?

 

[Feng Leng]

Isn't that choice for USA similar to China's choice after Shanghai is nuked?

Nope. The difference is USA does not (in a million years) expect to get nuked before they decided to go to war. China expects a nuclear exchange and we will launch a first strike at a fitting time and place.

 

[VCheng]

Nope. The difference is USA does not (in a million years) expect to get nuked before they decided to go to war. China expects a nuclear exchange and we will launch a first strike at a fitting time and place.

The deterrence of the M.A.D. doctrine applies equally to both countries, I am sure.

 

[JustAnotherPerson]

I don't think Americas are very willing to sacrifice Los Angeles for Taipei. Nobody knows the real size of the Chinese nuclear arsenal because Chinese are not transparent about their nukes and that is for a reason.
But let faced it Taiwan is not defensible, i don't think even a few nuclear weapons will be enough to stop China from taking Taiwan. But the Chinese will not attack Taiwan unless the Americans give the Chinese a good reason, like supporting Taiwan as an independent country instead of the status quo or if Taiwan decide to get nuclear weapons, If Taiwan decide to build nukes, is over, the Chinese are going to obliterate that island and anyone trying to defend it.

 

[denel]

Sensible words.

Time is on China's side and they just need wait another couple of decades and the thought of US intervention will be ridiculous.

Or communism in china will be long gone by that time. Remember - soviet communist lasted 80 years approx.

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

Or communism in china will be long gone by that time. Remember - soviet communist lasted 80 years approx.

USSR was a loose confederation of 14 republics sharing the same military. It was looser than USA considering any republic can choose to leave USSR. USSR was today's counterpart of EU. Russia and China are not confederations. They are nation states like USA. So they cannot disintegrate like USSR and EU can. US can't even break up Russia let alone China which is far more unitary than Russia. CPC is here to stay for the foreseeable future.