Time to take stock...with studied detachment...
Since, it is not just about
India vs. China but rather the
Future of Asian Century.... that in a couple of decades
Asia might become Sovereign and Free Again!!!
We all are going to die...one prays for peaceful, honourable death for one's self and others....
Life is harsh as it is... at least Death could be beautiful!!!!
The Context of Current Evolving Situation:
The Chinese have historic claims..with added facts... on Ladakh.. even during the
BritishRaj they didn't agree to any of the settlements proposed by the British be it in Culcutta or else where... the Chinese didn't relenquish their claims... hence there was no 'border' between
ImperialBritian and
China...
even in the last Dynasty time.
Despite being destroyed with Opium and Burning down of the SummerPalace... the Chinese as people and State had a sense of themselves.... although forced to lease
HongKong and
Maccau... but with a timeline of return to
The MiddleKingdom.
BritishIndia was not only
CrownColony but a
state fashioned in BritishImage...with railroads, roads, education, administration (Babucracy), judiciary, police and of course, armed forces.... a modern state architecture...functioning to the benefit of the BritishRuling...
China couldn't be colonised as BritishIndia hence... the
ChineseState remained a continuation of the
MandrinSystem ... until the
LongMarch ended the CivilWar and China became
PRC.... even then a backward state compared to BritishIndia!
We must recall
TheGreatGame between
Czarist Imperial Russia and
BritishEmpire .... playing out in CentralAsia...
Kashmir was then also a very StrategicArea ....
With Communists in China and USSR in CentralAsia...the
ImperialMinds were looking at a
LongGame of the ensuing
ColdWar... Sino-USSR as one block at that time..
The Rise of ModernTurkey after the dismantling of the Ottomons was a lesson for the
Geostrategists of the West to not let another
IndpendentActor emerge from the
IslamicWorld that could pose a threat to the emerging Global Power Architecture of that time.
Had it not been for
OurElders ...there wouldn't have been a Pakistan...
because the Geostrategists wanted to create a SuperIndianState against the Soviets and the Chinese block...
We wanted the following:
But agreeing to it would create a
Powerful Muslim State that could become not only a
catalyst for other muslims states but could might shift the
PowerBalance ... designed/intended by the Victors of the GreatWar!
The evidence of which was seen with German alliance/partnership with the OurTurkishState.... thoughts were of OilPipeline from Iraq to Balkans on to Berlin!!!
BritishIndia was GeoConstruct of an Empire as its GreatColony...a kinda consolidated landmass under the Rules Britania!
BrentwoodsAgreement needed a clearly defined
WorldOrder... hence, the
Geostrategist left behind a
FunctioningModernState and named it India!
Its purpose:
To Keep China Out!
To Keep Pakistan Down!
In 1950s the
Indian-British-US intelligence was at works to create troubles in Tibet to cut the size of China...
it didn't workout as planned.
Annexation of Sikkim and
SouthTibet were the
earliest forms of ColourRevolutions... and it was done with the full backing of the
Both ColdWarrior Blocks...since, by this time China had separated from USSR.
TibetanGovernmnent in Exile was the followup Project of the same enterprise... with
India playing its intended role.
It is, also, imperative to understand that the so-called
Non-AlignedMovement was designed to divide the GlobalSouth ...wean it away from the Soviet Ingress...hence,
it was an Anglo-American Porject with frontman India/Nehru.
Without going into Pak-India conflict...and focusing only on the Sino-Indian equation... we can see the consistency of policies from both
China and
BritishIndia....
Nehru's Forward Policy needs to be seen as the Geostrategic Containment of China Project... though it ended equally bad as Tibet Project.
IndianState policy towards China, to this day,
remains the continuation of the BritishIndia and later on
Anglo-American policies.... hence, this new
Concerts of Democracies, Quads or IndoPacificCommand ...
shouldn't be seen as something new.
Becuase, it is NOT!
In the last two decades the promotion of
India as CounterWeight to China in the
CombinedWestern media and helping it to join various fora which are part the existing
WesternWorldOrder arhitectural pieces...
all is the continuation of Keeping China Out!
However,
KKH was the
first Chinese piece on the GrandGame of Go ...which has evolved into CPEC ...and despite its
War of Terror and Hybridwar on Pakistan...
India has failed to Keep Pakistan Down!
With StrategicAgreements with the Quad... the ports and bases in India become available to the Quaderz... and
India building Military Infrastructure nearest to XinJiang and Tibet... is the Continuation of ForwardPolicy of the ImerprialIndia.
The BroaderPicture:
With new, old
ColdWar started by the US is to preserve the
DollarSystem which has benefited the US led
CombinedWest enormusly...also, giving the US freedom to print money without consequence....
China is the ONLY state which can defuse/reduce the PrintingPower ...and withit the
Vitality of the DollarSystem.
India as GeoConstruct was always part of the WesternWorldOrder ...from which it benefited....both in
Aid and
Diplomatic support/cover ...shielding its
WarCrimes against
PakKashmiris despite the UN reports!!!
Since, the early 90s India has been overtly in the
WesternCamp and the process has been accelearting with the
NRIs pushing for greater
Indo-Western Alliance against China and Pakistan.
The
Decoupling from China is not a new Project but a continuation of a process started under Obama with
AsiaPivot... making
India as CentralPiece in this ChinaContainment Strategy as the
Frontline State Against China...
with continous bashing of Pakistan to keep Pakistan Down!
The Failure of BloodBorders Project and consequent exit from
Kabulistan has left the Planners with lesser options against China's XinJiang... for now it is just passing
Senate Bills and
MediaRhetorics... same for Tibet or HongKong!
India's failure to put boots on the ground in Kabulistan was the
first failure of the
Built up Narrative of India as GreatPower...
second failure was 27thFeb19.... exposing that the
Emperor has NO Clothes!
SouthChinaSea would remain a PhotoOp for FNPs...
with studied disengagement from both China and Quad to keep it a managable levels...
The refusal of the PacificNations to host the US BMs leaves the US with lesser options of pressure points.. herein, the Indo-US StrategicAgreement become of more CriticalValue for the US...
It is in this background that the Ladakh has become too strategic for both the US and China!!!
The Chinese leadership tried all to
wean India away from the CombinedWest but the
IndianState had/has Imperial Impulse it cann't resist...
The
PLA moving in on Ladakh at the
StrategicPoints and in consolidated manner is a
PreventiveMove rather than an Agressive one...
The SCO/EurasianUnion and BRI are all complimentary to create
Openings from the intended
Containment of China ...
Gawadar in this context become something else altogether... that is the reason for the
Rent-a-Terrorist violence in Balochistan...
BLA being fully supported by India.. the last year's Attack on the Chinese Consulate in Karachi... or PC attack in Gawadar or the recent spike in terrorism against
PakArmedForces and
Civilians need to be seen the broader context!
In short, the PLA had to move in!
Disecting the Sino-Indian Stand-off:
The PLA came in with utmost clarity of purpose and with enough men and material to establish FACTS on the Ground!
It was/is a reaction to 5thAug19 of unilateral actions of India and
in doing so nulifying all previous agreements with China regarding Ladakh!
Modi shot the first bullet!
Now either China could accept the new
IndianStatusQuo or
Create a new ChineseStatusQuo... China chose the later.
Since, the Chinese don't recognise any border with India in the
IndianOccupiedKashmir..therefore,
Ladakh... it doesn't matter where Indian troops relocate in Ladakh...
the Chinese will keep extending the LAC in Ladakh.
The Strategic Aim of China now is clear: ChineseLadakh having
Direct Borders with GB! Another road network from
Tibet feeding into CPEC.
What appears from the news...is that the Indians troops tried to move in to expel the Chinese workers and gain territory to have a better position or increase negotiation power.
Looking at the numbers involved it doesn't appear to be some hot-tempers getting out of control...but an
Indian Operation gone rather belly up as
@Signalian has outlined/analysed pages back!
If
Mr. Pravin is calling it
'The Chinese Death Squad' ... massacring the Indian troops then we can safely say that something horriblly went wrong with the Indian Plans and the Chinese were prepared, ready and
determined to Impose the new ChineseStatusQuo!
We have seen the engineering of the news about Indian losses.... how they appeared in a controlled, managed manner... also, doubling the Chinese losses to balance out the impact on the Indian public, already conditioned to believe in
IndianSupremecy....
Though the
IndianArmy statement was a little crest fallen...
could be a tactic as well...so too premature to draw conclusions about it.
Modi has also said a few words and broken
Omerta Oath...by saying :
They (IndianTroops) died while killing them (the Chinese)!
Herein, the Indian media
Manufacturing of Consent plays well for Indians... aided by the
FaceSaving,
understated statements from the PLA.... still
Framing IndianAgression and giving the acceptance of the new
ChineseStatusQuo by the Indians an exit strategy....
under the garb of 'De-escalation'!
For now we can only conclude that something
Massive has happened and
both sides are in evaluation mode for the next steps...
Possible Outcomes of the Death Toll:
1- China keeps the understatements going ..leaving the room open for the Indians to accept the new
ChineseStatusQuo
2- India fights back to establish the Aug5th19
IndianStatusQuo
3- Both sides dig in and
Eyeball-to-Eyeball situation ensues..with occasional clubbing of eachother
4- The
US takes the lead and the
CombinedWest raises the
MediaRhetoric against the 'Chinese Agression' painting India as victim....
which would benefit the US but not India or Modi
5- Russia tries to come in... to mediate through SCO platform or Trilateral format... providing India as safe exist from the quick-sands it is now stuck in
6- The UN already has made a soundbite... which might help in the
MediaSphere but will not extricate India
7- India will accelarte agression on CeaseFireLine ...not only to vent its frustration but also to
discourage Pakistan from taking advantage of its predicament... as the
IndianMedia has already started Framing the current Sino-Indian Stand-off as Sino-Pak Combined Enterprise!
Regardless, of the outcomes/scenarios one thing is now quite certain that in its new role as
Frontline State Against China ...
India has paid the first price and its Media Crafted Image of Great/Regional Power has come under very serious pressure..with long term strategic consequences in SouthAsia and SouthEastAsia!
The Difference between Rhetoric and Reality becomes nakedly clear when the Rubber Hits to Road...
A War between India and China will put the Region and Asia decades back in terms of climb towards Real Sovereignity and Actual Freedom... the Key Components of an Asian Century!!!
One can only hope that a
Paradigm Shift happens in the
Indian Imperial Mindset... and it can see with
Clarity that the ThreeNulearPowers ...joined at the hip...cann't afford any conflict... let alone a military one.
Just a Thought: What Could be the Net Global Power Balance Effect if there is a TrilateralEconomicBlock between China, Pakistan and India?
For now we can only pray that
Sanity pervails and no miscalculations happens... otherwise,
The Biggest Can of Worms will be opened and looser will be Asians!
Mangus
@jaibi @Foxtrot Alpha @Major Sam @Shotgunner51 @Signalian @Blacklight @PakSword @BHarwana @LeGenD @StormBreaker @Ace of Spades @masterchief_mirza @Arsalan @Slav Defence @WebMaster @Horus @HRK @ThePatriotReport @RescueRanger @Indus Pakistan @OsmanAli98 @dbc
