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The Superpower Behind the Turkish Protests

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To understand the rage and news from Turkey and the alleged “Turkish Spring” being promoted by some websites and commentators, one has to have a deep understanding of the friends and enemies the nation of Turkey has acquired in eighty plus years of independence and Westernization thanks to Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. In the West, the British still resent the Turks for their unwillingness to take up arms against the Nazis in World War II. Believe it or not, some Germans hold the same animosity because a Turkish alliance with Nazi Germany would have crushed the Allies in Europe and the Middle East and prevented the Russians from resisting the onslaught of Operation Barbarossa. The Persians and most of the Middle East have a long standing hatred of the Turks due to their centuries of ruthless rule during the Ottoman Empire days. And of course the Russians hate the nation of Turkey for the conflicts of the past and their role as a stalwart against the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

With enemies like that, who would dare to be their friend?

Anyone with a militaristic or economic goal of dominating the gateway to the Middle East AND Europe, that is who. But what superpower left on this earth would want to dare challenge the balance of power so delicately set in the Balkans and Middle East at this moment in history?

To understand this complex situation requires an analysis of some recent interactions with Turkey by one of the few unrecognized superpowers (at least by most Americans). This report from December 4, 2012 by Al-Jazeera should provide a clue:





When Vladimir Putin visited Turkey last year, it was hoped that there would be less influence by NATO powers and the Arab League against Syria and more opportunities for Turkey to slow down their Islamist reforms and instead, align themselves more closely with Russia, Iran, and China. The failure by Prime Minister Erdogan to reach an understanding that the Syrian conflict was far beyond a major confrontation between the Muslim Brotherhood supported rebels, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar versus Assad was a miscalculation which is now going to haunt the Ankara regime bitterly.

The animosity between the Turkish military and Prime Minister Erdogan erupted first in 2011 as documented in this story from the UAE newspaper The National with this AP story:

Erdogan rubs in his supremacy over Turkish military’s top brass
The military had a long standing traditional role within the government to maintain a sense of secularism to prevent the passionate Islamist religious leaders from leading the nation into another disaster like World War I. However with his election, that shift from a defined secularism and instead into an integrated role for Islamic religious leaders into government decision making offended the military and lead to purges and trials causing a schism not only between the civilian government but with members of the NATO alliance as a more blunt foreign policy towards other NATO members, namely Cyprus and Greece, began to emerge. This dispute expanded as officers loyal to the West were conflicted by the Islamist purge and suddenly closer relationship to their former bitter enemies in Russia.

The headlines over the past two years indicate a divergence from the traditional NATO relationship and a new found detente with the Russians:

NATO warns Turkey against buying Chinese, Russian air defense systems
Turkey’s Foreign Policy Towards The Russian Federation
Economic relations between Russia and Turkey at an all time best
Russian contractor to hold tenders for Turkish nuclear plant
Russia and Turkey focus on economic ties
Russia Ready to Develop Long-Range Air Defense System with Turkey

The bottom line to all of these stories, despite the long standing animosity is the mix of warming relationships with Russia while a conversion to a quasi-Islamist Western Republic is being attempted by Prime Minister Erdoğan, is that Russia was slowly putting a wedge between Turkey and the EU/NATO alliance. This new relationship has born some fruit with Turkey finally coercing the NATO alliance to relinquish some of their top line equipment to the Turkish military while maintaining a dominant position which forces the Iranians and finally the Kurds in Northern Iraq into negotiations with the Ankara government.

However, this improvement in relations was met with due skepticism by the Turkish government due to stories like this one on June 1, 2013 from the UAE newspaper, The National:

Russia playing out its Caucasus politics in Turkey, say activists
From the story:

Medet Onlu, a businessman in the Turkish capital, held the unofficial title of “Honorary Consul of the Chechen Republic of Ichkeria”, the unrecognised rebel government in the Russian region of Chechnya.

He was the latest victim in a series of unsolved killings targeting members of anti-Russia groups in Turkey.

Activists campaigning against Russian policies in the Caucasus say Moscow is behind the crimes.

“It was an assassination in the heart of the country,” Ozgur Aktekin, a member of the Caucasus Forum, an association of Chechen and Circassian activists in Turkey, told The National.

Citing footage of surveillance cameras that he said was leaked to the media, he said Onlu’s suspected killer boarded a plane to Russia after the murder.

“Russia has committed many crimes, including in Turkey.”

Thus the distrust between the Russians and Turks continues but in reality, there is another force at work. To analyze who is responsible for this churning of internal Turkish politics, one needs look no further than the sponsors of the Syrian rebellion, the Gulf Cooperation Council; primarily consisting of action and support from Qatar and Saudi Arabia.

But why? A picture is worth a trillion dollars:



The competition between the Russia to Southern Europe pipeline and the long proposed Saudi/Egypt and Qatar/Jordan to Southern Europe pipelines all via Turkey has created a 20-30 year dynamic where whichever group of suppliers through Turkey will dominate Eurasian political relations for decades to come. The superpower which has the most to lose with a Turkish decision to align with the Russians is not those of the Middle East but in fact the United States of America.

Which is why the logical choice for the responsibility for the latest round of civil unrest inside of Turkey is not Russia, Syria, or even Saudi Arabia, but America. Why the United States?

Our military, along with our NATO insiders, have been deeply concerned by the friendly efforts of Erdoğan to achieve a new level of cooperation with Iran, Iraq, and Russia regarding regional affairs to stabilize that portion of the Middle East. Based on the recent intervention of our CIA and State Department into Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Uganda, Mali, Mauritania, Jordan, etc. it is no shock to consider that this temporary destabilization by initiating a period of riots and unrest using leftist extremists and Saudi funded Wahhabi revolutionaries to engage the Erdoğan government. The United States also would like to re-engage the Turkish military leadership after the years of purges under Erdoğan and put a friendlier government in power; one willing to profit from a trans-Syrian pipeline from the Arabian Peninsula and Gulf Cooperation Council nations to reduce Russian influence in Europe; especially into the economically and ethnically unstable Southern European region.

When all is said and done some twenty plus years from now, if not sooner as the scandals about the Middle East become more transparent during the investigations, odds are a massive complex plan to exploit the strong Islamist feelings of the Turkish people along with a profit motive to assist our allies in the old Pan-Arab alliance might well be the reason for our CIA or other forces to meddle in the internal affairs of Turkey. To believe otherwise is naive and foolish considering the results of our other activities in Iraq, Libya, and other nations in recent years. The message to Prime Minister Erdogan is crystal clear: Get back into line or the international financial cartel will remove you from power and replace you with a Saudi puppet regime lead by the military.
The Superpower Behind the Turkish Protests | Shenandoah

.................. This makes sense why US doesn't want to help us on Syria
 
Last edited:
In Turkey pornstars write about energy politics .. lol

What Turkey’s energy politics mean for the world


Ceylan Ozbudak

Almost all the developments surrounding Turkey in the last months such as the Ukraine-Russia-EU crisis, the Israel-Turkey normalization process, Joe Biden’s visit to Cyprus, andthe biggest mining accident in the history of Turkey remind us of one thing: energy.

Between the producers in the Caspian Basin, Central Asia, the Middle East and the European and international energy markets, Turkey’s energy politics and diplomacy over energy affect a very wide range of countries from different angles.

The Middle East angle
By lowering the costs of desalination and increasing the supply of fresh water, the newly found natural gas reserves of the Mediterranean coasts can contribute greatly to the elimination of water conflicts in the region. The new natural gas volumes have already increased water supply in the region.

The Middle East is also one of the few regions where electricity is still largely produced from oil; consequently power generation is expensive and highly polluting and electricity supply is unreliable. Stable supplies of natural gas could strengthen economies in the region by providing cheaper, cleaner power and augmenting water production for agriculture.

Reliable supplies of electricity at affordable prices can prove a critical factor to the economic and political stability of states in the region. Let’s remember frequent electricity blackouts contributed to public anger with both President Hosni Mubarak and President Mohammad Mursi and played a role in their respective downfalls.

What happens in Iraq does not stay In Iraq
The ties between Ankara and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in Erbil, Iraq, have been given a boost by several energy deals but it also sparked international reactions, as the central government in Baghdad expressed discomfort about the exports. Iraqi Kurdistan began selling its oil independently of the federal government in 2012 through Turkey by truck.

Reliable supplies of electricity at affordable prices can prove a critical factor to the economic and political stability of states in the region

Ceylan Ozbudak
A Turkish company called Powertrans has acted as broker for the Kurdish government, selling the oil via tenders to traders such as Italy and Germany. After Baghdad opposed the action, claiming that Kurdish economic independence could threaten Iraq's unity, Turkey decided to wait for Baghdad and Erbil to resolve their differences. After five months of talks and little progress, tanks at Ceyhan are now full of Kurdish oil, and Turkey decided there was no point in further obstructing exports.

As of this Thursday, the first 1 million barrel cargo was loaded at Ceyhan pipeline of Turkey, which is likely to annoy Baghdad. Baghdad has cut the region's share of the budget to punish it for building the new pipeline, and oil sales can provide the Kurdistan Regional Government with desperately needed income. While Germany and Italy are keen to be the first buyers of Iraqi oil, raising concerns about the implications of Turkey’s direct dealings with the KRG for Iraq’s territorial integrity, the U.S. has made apparent its uneasiness with Turkey’s involvement and deemed the exports of Iraqi oil be declared illegal.

Turkey’s Minister of Energy Taner Yildiz, however, insisted that Turkey would stand behind the existing arrangement since the U.S. did not interfere with its own businessmen reaching deals with Erbil without the consent of Baghdad. Surely, Turkey’s main objective in this matter is not limited to being an energy expert but to have an upper hand in the Kurdish region concerning a PKK connection.

Israel and Turkey ties
Energy resources can start wars and they can help foster peace. The latest gas discovery by Israel in the Leviathan field in the Mediterranean Sea will not only be warming the houses of Israeli citizens, but also the relations of Israel with Turkey.

For Israel to become an energy exporter, both Cyprus and Turkey need to get connected through pipelines to transport Israeli gas to Europe, from underneath the sea through land via Turkey and through shipping in tankers with the help of a condensation factory to be built in Cyprus.

These are the reasons, which brought Joe Biden to Cyprus this week to help reconciliation between the sides and these are the reasons why Turkey and Israel are in a rush to fully normalize relations.

Israel is not in a position to decline a 20-year contract offer made by the Turkish energy company Turcas Petrol for seven billion cubic meters of gas annually. On the other hand, If Israel is seriously considering selling its gas; she has to endure Turkey’s demands in the normalization process since trying to liquefy and ship the gas would present serious – and expensive - security risks.

Turkey on the other hand, needs to adopt a more reconciliatory tone. The Israeli Navy is not as strong as its air forces and according to Lieutenant Ilan Lavi, Israel needs to invest at least $700 million dollars into its navy to secure the shipping of Israeli gas if an agreement with Turkey’s pipelines cannot be reached.

The European Union and the Russia angle
In one of my previous articles I wrote that sanctions to Russia – if applied – would only further damage European economies and Russia could end up exporting its rich natural resources to the rapidly-rising East. Only a few weeks after this, Russia and China signed a 30-year, $400 billion deal for Gazprom to deliver Russian gas to China, providing 38 billion cubic meters of gas annually. Being the largest gas agreement in the history of Russia the Putin Land once again tore the European sanction card apart.

The crisis-stricken EU, if an alternative gas supply is not provided in three years time, will have to pay more for the natural gas starting in 2018. While this is considered as a step to a neo-Cold War, there is one development on Turkish soil which can relieve the stress of the EU states; the Southern Gas Corridor project.

Turkey will play a key role in energy route structuring with the Southern Gas Corridor project, which will supply Europe with gas from Azerbaijan, and will also have the capacity to carry extra gas from northern Iraq, Turkmenistan and possibly Iran. The project will reduce Europe’s dependency on Russian energy while increasing its dependence on Turkish pipelines. The SGC will be going through Turkey like a superhighway, primarily carrying the riches of the Caspian Sea for energy dependent Europe.

Because of the strategic liability of being dependent on foreign natural resources, Turkey looks to increase safety regulations on its 700 coalmines but not shut down the operations despite the heavy loss we witnessed last week. Turkey needs new partnerships and improve the functioning of its energy market to increase its standing in energy geopolitics and feed its thriving new industries. While the West mishandled their democratic intervention in Ukraine, taking solid steps in being an indispensible energy hub and increase its clout in the international system seem to be exactly what Turkey has been doing lately.
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/vie...Turkey-must-improve-its-energy-politics-.html


Could you go more in depth about that?
Read the article :/

"The competition between the Russia to Southern Europe pipeline and the long proposed Saudi/Egypt and Qatar/Jordan to Southern Europe pipelines all via Turkey has created a 20-30 year dynamic where whichever group of suppliers through Turkey will dominate Eurasian political relations for decades to come. The superpower which has the most to lose with a Turkish decision to align with the Russians is not those of the Middle East but in fact the United States of America."
 
In Turkey pornstars write about energy politics .. lol

What Turkey’s energy politics mean for the world


Ceylan Ozbudak

Almost all the developments surrounding Turkey in the last months such as the Ukraine-Russia-EU crisis, the Israel-Turkey normalization process, Joe Biden’s visit to Cyprus, andthe biggest mining accident in the history of Turkey remind us of one thing: energy.

Between the producers in the Caspian Basin, Central Asia, the Middle East and the European and international energy markets, Turkey’s energy politics and diplomacy over energy affect a very wide range of countries from different angles.

The Middle East angle
By lowering the costs of desalination and increasing the supply of fresh water, the newly found natural gas reserves of the Mediterranean coasts can contribute greatly to the elimination of water conflicts in the region. The new natural gas volumes have already increased water supply in the region.

The Middle East is also one of the few regions where electricity is still largely produced from oil; consequently power generation is expensive and highly polluting and electricity supply is unreliable. Stable supplies of natural gas could strengthen economies in the region by providing cheaper, cleaner power and augmenting water production for agriculture.

Reliable supplies of electricity at affordable prices can prove a critical factor to the economic and political stability of states in the region. Let’s remember frequent electricity blackouts contributed to public anger with both President Hosni Mubarak and President Mohammad Mursi and played a role in their respective downfalls.

What happens in Iraq does not stay In Iraq
The ties between Ankara and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in Erbil, Iraq, have been given a boost by several energy deals but it also sparked international reactions, as the central government in Baghdad expressed discomfort about the exports. Iraqi Kurdistan began selling its oil independently of the federal government in 2012 through Turkey by truck.

Reliable supplies of electricity at affordable prices can prove a critical factor to the economic and political stability of states in the region

Ceylan Ozbudak
A Turkish company called Powertrans has acted as broker for the Kurdish government, selling the oil via tenders to traders such as Italy and Germany. After Baghdad opposed the action, claiming that Kurdish economic independence could threaten Iraq's unity, Turkey decided to wait for Baghdad and Erbil to resolve their differences. After five months of talks and little progress, tanks at Ceyhan are now full of Kurdish oil, and Turkey decided there was no point in further obstructing exports.

As of this Thursday, the first 1 million barrel cargo was loaded at Ceyhan pipeline of Turkey, which is likely to annoy Baghdad. Baghdad has cut the region's share of the budget to punish it for building the new pipeline, and oil sales can provide the Kurdistan Regional Government with desperately needed income. While Germany and Italy are keen to be the first buyers of Iraqi oil, raising concerns about the implications of Turkey’s direct dealings with the KRG for Iraq’s territorial integrity, the U.S. has made apparent its uneasiness with Turkey’s involvement and deemed the exports of Iraqi oil be declared illegal.

Turkey’s Minister of Energy Taner Yildiz, however, insisted that Turkey would stand behind the existing arrangement since the U.S. did not interfere with its own businessmen reaching deals with Erbil without the consent of Baghdad. Surely, Turkey’s main objective in this matter is not limited to being an energy expert but to have an upper hand in the Kurdish region concerning a PKK connection.

Israel and Turkey ties
Energy resources can start wars and they can help foster peace. The latest gas discovery by Israel in the Leviathan field in the Mediterranean Sea will not only be warming the houses of Israeli citizens, but also the relations of Israel with Turkey.

For Israel to become an energy exporter, both Cyprus and Turkey need to get connected through pipelines to transport Israeli gas to Europe, from underneath the sea through land via Turkey and through shipping in tankers with the help of a condensation factory to be built in Cyprus.

These are the reasons, which brought Joe Biden to Cyprus this week to help reconciliation between the sides and these are the reasons why Turkey and Israel are in a rush to fully normalize relations.

Israel is not in a position to decline a 20-year contract offer made by the Turkish energy company Turcas Petrol for seven billion cubic meters of gas annually. On the other hand, If Israel is seriously considering selling its gas; she has to endure Turkey’s demands in the normalization process since trying to liquefy and ship the gas would present serious – and expensive - security risks.

Turkey on the other hand, needs to adopt a more reconciliatory tone. The Israeli Navy is not as strong as its air forces and according to Lieutenant Ilan Lavi, Israel needs to invest at least $700 million dollars into its navy to secure the shipping of Israeli gas if an agreement with Turkey’s pipelines cannot be reached.

The European Union and the Russia angle
In one of my previous articles I wrote that sanctions to Russia – if applied – would only further damage European economies and Russia could end up exporting its rich natural resources to the rapidly-rising East. Only a few weeks after this, Russia and China signed a 30-year, $400 billion deal for Gazprom to deliver Russian gas to China, providing 38 billion cubic meters of gas annually. Being the largest gas agreement in the history of Russia the Putin Land once again tore the European sanction card apart.

The crisis-stricken EU, if an alternative gas supply is not provided in three years time, will have to pay more for the natural gas starting in 2018. While this is considered as a step to a neo-Cold War, there is one development on Turkish soil which can relieve the stress of the EU states; the Southern Gas Corridor project.

Turkey will play a key role in energy route structuring with the Southern Gas Corridor project, which will supply Europe with gas from Azerbaijan, and will also have the capacity to carry extra gas from northern Iraq, Turkmenistan and possibly Iran. The project will reduce Europe’s dependency on Russian energy while increasing its dependence on Turkish pipelines. The SGC will be going through Turkey like a superhighway, primarily carrying the riches of the Caspian Sea for energy dependent Europe.

Because of the strategic liability of being dependent on foreign natural resources, Turkey looks to increase safety regulations on its 700 coalmines but not shut down the operations despite the heavy loss we witnessed last week. Turkey needs new partnerships and improve the functioning of its energy market to increase its standing in energy geopolitics and feed its thriving new industries. While the West mishandled their democratic intervention in Ukraine, taking solid steps in being an indispensible energy hub and increase its clout in the international system seem to be exactly what Turkey has been doing lately.
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/vie...Turkey-must-improve-its-energy-politics-.html



Read the article :/

"The competition between the Russia to Southern Europe pipeline and the long proposed Saudi/Egypt and Qatar/Jordan to Southern Europe pipelines all via Turkey has created a 20-30 year dynamic where whichever group of suppliers through Turkey will dominate Eurasian political relations for decades to come. The superpower which has the most to lose with a Turkish decision to align with the Russians is not those of the Middle East but in fact the United States of America."

I would make the US pay, that's me personally though.
 
These Kittens from Adnan Hoca are allowed to write articles on several foreign news sites

Yeap, i know... but i doubt they are writing those articles themselves. Watch canal A9 for once, you will understand me when you see their conversation with Adnan Hoca.
 
So this is the reason why Erdogan made civil war in Syria?
You didn't read the article.
Yeap, i know... but i doubt they are writing those articles themselves. Watch canal A9 for once, you will understand me when you see their conversation with Adnan Hoca.
Yes, I watched, they have only two words in their vocabulary. :lol:
 
Yup, soon Iran will loose Assad.

That was said in 2011 when people were still optimistic, it's a failed revolution/war whatever they prefer to call it. Only Kurds benefitted.

You don't need to take my words, just look at the maps of Syria of who controls what, in 2011/2012 they were better of.
 
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