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BREAKING: PAF base Mianwali under attack, suicide bombers and heavy weapons in use

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My analysis based on available information mapped from Jan 2023 to Present day: The Afghan Connection.

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In the above map I have mapped the known UNHCR refugee camps inside Pakistan along with areas from previous IBOs and TA's that suggest known T-e-J and TTP networks are active. I have also mapped the most recent number of armed attacks against Pakistan Security facilities. What makes this mapping most important is the critical piece in the puzzle and that is the Thikar Province, Afghanistan (I have marked its boundary and highlighted in Blue) more on this province and its importance later in the thread:

I have also mapped the locations where all senior TTP leaders have met their end inside Afghanistan starting from 2019 to present day:
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  • 29th August 2019, Qari Saifullah Mehsud, the leader of Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan's Qari Hussain Suicide Brigade, was sent to hell in Khost, Afghanistan.
  • 10th January 2022, TTP senior commander & spokesperson Khalid Balti alias Muhammad Khurasani was sent to hell in Nangarhar, Afghanistan.
  • 7th August 2022 Mualana Uqabi Bajauri, a key Tehrik-e-Taliban Commander, was killed in a "landmine blast" and sent to hell in Kunar, Afghanistan.
  • 8th August 2022, the leader of the Jamat-Ul-Ahrar, Omar Khaled Khorasani, was sent to hell in Paktika Province, Afghanistan.
  • 27th October 2022, a TTP commander, known as "Asadullah Pehelwan", was sent to hell in Kandahar province.
  • 29 September 2022, TTP leader Akhtar Khalil was sent to hell in Nangarhar, Afghanistan.
  • 10th September 2023, Badshah Khan Mehsud, considered to be the right-hand man and extremely close confidante of the TTP Chief, Mufti Noor Wali Mehsud was injured in Paktika province of Afghanistan.
  • 8th October 2023, A top commander of the TTP from Lakki Marwat, Tipu Gul Marwat, was sent to hell in Kunar, Afghanistan.
  • 11th October 2023, A senior TTP terrorist commander Atiqur Rehman aka Tipu Gul Marwat, was sent to hell in Kunar, Afghanistan.
  • 23rd October 2023, TTP commander Chamtu Waziristani was sent to hell by unidentified gunmen along with 3 other terrorists in Khost province, Afghanistan.
  • 5th November 2023, Fazal Ameen, a prominent TTP commander who had prior associations with Lashkar-e-Islam and subsequently joined TTP and JuA, was blown to smithereens in Marko, Nangarhar province, Afghanistan.

Suspected Belligerents:
  • Haqqani Network
  • TTP
  • TeJ Pakistan (TTP)
  • Tehreek e Lashkar e Islam (See Quetta Shura)
  • Jamat-Ul-Ahrar
  • Mufti Noor Wali Mehsud Brigade
  • Miranshah Shura
  • Quetta Shura
  • Peshawar Shura
  • Loyalists of Adnan Rashid (Ansar-Al Anseer / TTP)
Recent activity inside Pakistan:

6th November 2023: 4 Pakistani Army soldiers including Lt. Col were martyred during an IBO in Khyber today.
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6th November 2023: Two police constables were injured when their check post in D.I. Khan came under sustained gunfire lasting 1 hour.

4th November 2023 Attack on MM Alam Base Mianwali:
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3rd November 2023, attack in D.I. Khan.

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30th October 2023, Parachinar and Khurram clashes - 30 casualties

18th October 2023 Warsak Road, Peshawar, one police constable killed during at attack on a Police Check post:

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7th October 2023, Parachinar assault on a police patrol resulted in the death of one constable and injuries to the driver:
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Captured child suicide bomber with live vest July 2023:
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Jan 2023 attacker on Police check post in Takhta Beg, Jamrud was identified as Sheikh Malang, AKA: Astana Gul, a terrorist Afghan with links to Jalalabad Shura.

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Now revisiting the Afghan Connection:
Yasir Parakay Senior TTP commander is presently under the protection of the Afghan Taliban in Kabul
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Known Afghan terrorists who have joined the TTP: Form Tikhar Province, Afghanistan
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The May 2023 attacker was non other than an Afghan university student who had been operating deep inside Pakistan (sent straight to HELL)

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TTP lieutenants can be seen in this video alongside an Afghan Government vehicle
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TTP leadership seen here in an Afghan MI-17
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Finally if the above was not enough to under the tacit support the TTP enjoys from the Afghan Taliban: In a recently released video Hamid Khurasani commander Afghan Taliban wished Mehsud group success by stating "May Allah grant our brethren who are engaged in combat under Mehsud (Noor Wali Mehsud) and others (opposing the Pakistani establishment) the opportunity to hoist the banner of the Islamic Emirate in Islamabad one day."
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Note the new "Chain of Command" in the TTP:
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We have seen evidence of the Afghan Taliban facilitating the cross border incursions by TTP and affiliates even going as far as providing safe-heavens, weapons, equipment and even the use of the Afghan Mi17's for transportation of terrorists and weaponry. A terrorist group cannot launch massive cross-border attacks involving a significant number of terrorists inside Pakistan without the support and approval of the Taliban regime. If these doubts have any substance, this is tantamount to declaring war against a state.
 
No point in any analysis brother, our fauj is busy with other more important matters.
 
Nah he is dead

Hgb group themselves confirmed it
One more off the board, what is interesting is the Quetta Shura has been very vocal recently. Wonder if we will see some form of resistance to TTP in Quetta? Lets see.
 
One more off the board, what is interesting is the Quetta Shura has been very vocal recently. Wonder if we will see some form of resistance to TTP in Quetta? Lets see.

What exactly Quetta shura is saying?
 
Second hand information so take with pinch of salt but there was mention of Mullah Malik refusing to join hands with TTP after the attack on the Mosque in October in Zhob.
bhai they are not fighting for Islam or anything, AT is full on board with it... Gaza is under attack and Muslim kids are brought in plastic bags and not a single peep from anyone from TTP/ISIS/AT but they are still attacking Pakistan which by in large a Muslim country (A bad one, but still a Muslim majority). If anyone after this hypocrisy still joined TTP or ISIS or Afghan Taliban than they sure are just working for Anti Pakistan, or Racial superiority of the Pashtoon people, I know this is not the time or thread but problem is not TTP or Afghan Taliban, its the Pashtoon people and their culture and how they are raised, there are many many uneducated Bengali's living in Karachi in slums but we never see them strapping themselves with explosives to blow up a mosque or Market, this is strictly done by Tribal Pashtoons and now Baloch's are following suit along with some Punjabis, for so long that we used to say its Islam or lack of education, or peace in the area they had peace, but yet this is happening again, so this is purely a Baloch/Pashtoon ethnic issue which we can not fix because we have a significant population of both, these people are Tribal people who lived in cavemen era with their barbaric customs and Riwayaat.
 
bhai they are not fighting for Islam or anything, AT is full on board with it... Gaza is under attack and Muslim kids are brought in plastic bags and not a single peep from anyone from TTP/ISIS/AT but they are still attacking Pakistan which by in large a Muslim country (A bad one, but still a Muslim majority). If anyone after this hypocrisy still joined TTP or ISIS or Afghan Taliban than they sure are just working for Anti Pakistan, or Racial superiority of the Pashtoon people, I know this is not the time or thread but problem is not TTP or Afghan Taliban, its the Pashtoon people and their culture and how they are raised, there are many many uneducated Bengali's living in Karachi in slums but we never see them strapping themselves with explosives to blow up a mosque or Market, this is strictly done by Tribal Pashtoons and now Baloch's are following suit along with some Punjabis, for so long that we used to say its Islam or lack of education, or peace in the area they had peace, but yet this is happening again, so this is purely a Baloch/Pashtoon ethnic issue which we can not fix because we have a significant population of both, these people are Tribal people who lived in cavemen era with their barbaric customs and Riwayaat.
They are all denizens of hellfire, these are the people mentioned in the Quran with clear ayats and proofs.
 
But majority of them coming from Pashtoon and Baloch background... in your own post above you posted a picture of a young boy strapped with bomb, Pashtoons should realize that their own culture and riwayaat is barbaric and they have to address it, honestly I am starting to believe that next break-up of Pakistan will be KPK and if that can bring rest of Pakistan peace so be it, give Afghanistan the KPK and seal the border, but than kick every Pashtoon from rest of Pakistan including Punjab, Sindh, Kashmir and Balochistan.
Education problem hain sir, I have worked extensively in Balochistan and KP, there is a lot of illiteracy and backwardness. Just about an hour from tribal belt you enter into DI Khan and then Bhakkar, in Bhakkar women are empowered, they are doctors, nurses, investors, educators. This was not possible 30 years ago, there were a lot of restrictions on women, Bhakkar looked like a backwater where it resembled a ghost town after 5pm.

Now it is a thriving district, with schools, shops, businesses, women in good posts, so much change.

Education is KEY.
 
Education problem hain sir, I have worked extensively in Balochistan and KP, there is a lot of illiteracy and backwardness. Just about an hour from tribal belt you enter into DI Khan and then Bhakkar, in Bhakkar women are empowered, they are doctors, nurses, investors, educators. This was not possible 30 years ago, there were a lot of restrictions on women, Bhakkar looked like a backwater where it resembled a ghost town after 5pm.

Now it is a thriving district, with schools, shops, businesses, women in good posts, so much change.

Education is KEY.
Sorry but I disagree, there are uneducated Bengali's and Urdu speaking people in Hundreds of Thousands in Karachi alone, why we are not seeing them doing the same thing? have it ever occurred to you? In Gulshan Iqbal where I live there are many slums where Bengali and Saraiki lives in tents and they work small jobs but you don't see them picking up arms against the State or blow up markets, they go to masjid for Namaz and they also believe Pakistan is not the best Islamic nation but no one is killing innocent people, this only happens by the people of Pashtoon and Baloch, if you gather all the data from the first Suicide attack in Pakistan until today you will see more than 70% done by people from Pashtoon origin and rest are Baloch, followed by Punjabis and Sindhi's. People not even talking about this Pashtoon/Baloch problem and failing to acknowledge that its not Islam or Education its the people from those two ethnic group who are the problem, until we recognize it and do something about it Pakistan will have no peace, you kill every TTP and they will form another group with another name, but people will always be the same Ethnicity Baloch/Pashtoon and that my friend is a undeniable Truth.
 
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