Time to Contain Mighty Panda is Gone ,Its too powerful and economic powerhouse which is running global economy ,
Please read this article
the Pentagon in an alliance to contain China on a global scale, cut its economic growth rate in half or more, and starve the domestic Chinese economy of the funds to pay for military expansion. The methods proposed include restricting Chinese exports into their markets, denying raw materials to China insofar as possible, and stopping whatever technology transfers China would still need. Recruits for such an American geo-economic strategy include midgets like Australia, whose export income is dependent on mineral exports to China, and tourism and educational services with the Chinese; bankrupt war criminals like the Japanese right-wing; Vietnam and Mongolia.
It doesnt occur to Luttwak that if Australia tries to curtail its exports to China, Russia will fill the gap, and earn the premium on rising commodity prices which American strategy has already provided by its hapless warmaking in the Middle East over the past two decades.
Russian strategic doctrine clearly treats trade embargoes, financial sanctions, and naval blockades as acts of war which cannot be justified except by such collective security bodies as the United Nations. Russian strategy is also explicit that an attack military or economic on one member of a Luttwak goofs again, claiming Japan might be game for a Russian ally to take the place of China: this, says Luttwak, is because Japan never attacked the Soviet Union and was the victim of Soviet attack itself in 1945. Apparently, Luttwak has missed the Japanese war of May to September 1939, Japans defeat by Generals Georgy Zhukov, Grigory Shtern, and Yakov Smushkevich at the Battle of Khalkhin Gol, and the Japanese capitulation on September 15, 1939. Had the German attack in the west managed to take Moscow and St. Petersburg, the Japanese are likely to have tried again their so-called Northern Doctrine for occupation of Siberia. As things turned out, Moscows victory in east and west led the Japanese to aim their warmaking eastward and south at the US Navy, at the British colonial bases, and at southeast Asian sources of raw material.
Russia has this, plus the earlier lessons of the defeat by the Japanese Navy in 1905 assisted then by the British, Germans, and Americans as a reminder that hegemony in the Asian-Pacific theatre should always be denied to everyone. Accordingly, the driver of Soviet and Russian strategy remains the aggressive expansion of the Americans, with their allies.
This isnt to say that Russian strategy is blind to the potential for Chinese threat. Its just that in the Russian calculation of likelihood of danger, priority, and timing, the US and its allies come first. NATO is the only military threat identified by name in The Military Doctrine of the Russian Federation, issued by the Kremlin in February 2010. According to the naval version, the Russian Maritime Doctrine for 2020 published in July 2001 the concern for China is implied. The significance of the Pacific coast to the Russian Federation is enormous and continues to grow. The Russian Far East has huge resources, especially in the exclusive economic zone and continental shelf, while sparsely populated and relatively isolated from the industrialized regions of the Russian Federation. These contradictions are compounded by the heavy economic and military development of neighboring countries in Asia Pacific, providing a very significant impact on economic, demographic and other processes in the region. But China is also included on list of Russian strategic allies to deter and prevent military conflict.
Containment of China, as recommended by Luttwak and his Pentagon friends, isnt new, but the case for it gets clumsier, and without the communist bogey, more racial in tone.
Vietnam is a special case a traditional rival of China, which has defeated the French and the Americans, and fought a Chinese invasion force to a standstill in 1979, the Vietnamese dont qualify for Luttwak stooges in a US-led plan of containment of China. The Vietnamese also say they stand to gain from a multiplicity of military deployments in the region up to the level of aircraft carriers. If Russia grows in military strength and presence, including the reopening of the Camh Ranh naval facility to Russias Pacific fleet, the less likely any single state will emerge as hegemonic and threatening to all. In its latest version, Russian naval strategy appears to concur the more aircraft carriers, the merrier.
Dwarves on the shoulders of giants like Australia are viewed in Russian strategy as nothing but stooges for US hegemonic strategy; they are also stooges because they are trapped by the limitations of an economic dependence on China from which there can be no American rescue. Although Oleg Deripaskas Rusal has a stake in northeastern Australian alumina and Vladimir Potanins Norilsk Nickel a stake in western Australian nickel, their commercial significance has been stagnant, their political influence minimal. So Russian strategic interest has shifted to the Pacific islands.
Luttwak acknowledges that if a China/anti-China world does emerge
Moscow would be its strategic pivot, conferring much leverage to its rulers, who would certainly use it to the full. But so bent is Luttwak on furthering the case for economic war against China, he recommends a scheme of buying off the Russians with gifts from Japan. Barbarian handling is apparently an uncivilized throwback when practised by delusional Chinamen, but clever if the Japanese try it to enlist the Russian Federation for the anti-China coalition indeed, it could do more than any other country. Luttwak also recommends that Japan forgive and forget patently dishonest revocation of contracts (Gazproms takeover of the Sakhalin-2 project), the Kurile Island dispute, etc. In Luttwaks scheme of things, the Russians are only waiting for the Japanese to arrive with suitcases of cash.
That there is a well-developed Sino-Russian strategy of collective security and cooperation isnt apparently known to Luttwak, or his Pentagon pals; without mention in the book of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Luttwak aims to convince his soldier and sailor readers they need not look beyond his pages for all they need to know about their enemies, and the means to overcome them.
This state autism as Luttwak sees everywhere but his own head is convenient for Russia, if it remains convincing to the Americans. There is a 3rd Barnum law, by the way. Its that the best disinformation agent is the fool with rank (retired).
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CONTAINING CHINA
BTW WE are also developing tech but by using joint development projects to keep our noses clean as shown above ! Problem is countries don't want to share tech with you guys because you create an unliscenced copy. If you start CBMs with nearby nations then maybe they will?
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