Why did pakistani crime rate fall drastically post 2014 ?

[Andhadhun]

I was going through crime statistics of pakistan and saw that Crime or Crime reporting underwent a drastic fall from 2014 to 2015.

Can anyone tell me the possible reasons for that ?

If you study the Graph we find that this fall is not Natural so either the crime is not being reported, or the police is not registering the crime or some drastic improvement has taken place in the Legal system that deals with crime.

Here is the data,

Pakistan Crime Rate & Statistics 1960-2024

Intentional homicides are estimates of unlawful homicides purposely inflicted as a result of domestic disputes, interpersonal violence, violent conflicts over land resources, intergang violence over turf or control, and predatory violence and killing by armed groups. Intentional homicide does...

www.macrotrends.net

 

[Reichsmarschall]

I was going through crime statistics of pakistan and saw that Crime or Crime reporting underwent a drastic fall from 2014 to 2015.

Can anyone tell me the possible reasons for that ?

If you study the Graph we find that this fall is not Natural so either the crime is not being reported, or the police is not registering the crime or some drastic improvement has taken place in the Legal system that deals with crime.

Here is the data,

Pakistan Crime Rate & Statistics 1960-2024

Intentional homicides are estimates of unlawful homicides purposely inflicted as a result of domestic disputes, interpersonal violence, violent conflicts over land resources, intergang violence over turf or control, and predatory violence and killing by armed groups. Intentional homicide does...

www.macrotrends.net

Because in May 2014 HRH Narinder of house Modi , First of his name, Lord of Gujjrat, King of the 29 States and protector of 7 union territories was elected as PM of India. It's his hard work and commitment towards peace which brought down crime rate in Pakistan.

 

[Asfandyar Bhittani]

There is a symbiotic relationship between militancy and criminals. Militant networks (some political parties too) were involved in kidnapping, burglaries etc to raise money for their groups. Karachi operation around that time severely impacted these networks. Karachi went from 6th position on World Crime Index in 2014 to 103rd in 2020.

 

[Daghalodi]

Because in May 2014 HRH Narinder of house Modi , First of his name, Lord of Gujjrat, King of the 29 States and protector of 7 union territories was elected as PM of India. It's his hard work and commitment towards peace which brought down crime rate in Pakistan.

 

[Death Professor]

haha, ch*** indian can't digest any positive news from Pakistan, was probably looking for the stat, to comment in some useless thread. Says it's not "natural". Today, people have more access to smartphones compared to 2014, if a crime happens, its more likely to see limelight than before. The reason is, we curbed the terrorist, criminal support that was coming from our neighbors. MQM was tamed and Indian support was cut, now you rarely see mobile grabbing/snatching incidents.

Now, you rarely see, robbery in broad daylight on gunpoint. Things are going great, every uber/kareem, delivery person has a smartphone. It's all natural, if its too complicated for your go-mutra brain then complain to your government. Maybe they will, find other ways to support the criminal/separatist scum in Pakistan, because currently they seem to be more than neutralized.

 

[Andhadhun]

There is a symbiotic relationship between militancy and criminals. Militant networks (some political parties too) were involved in kidnapping, burglaries etc to raise money for their groups. Karachi operation around that time severely impacted these networks. Karachi went from 6th position on World Crime Index in 2014 to 103rd in 2020.

That sounds like a reasonable explanation. How long did this operation last ?

Also what is the share of Karachi to the total crime reported in pakistan ?

I think the share of karachi to the GDP of pakistan is around 25%. Would its share in crime be around the same ?

 

[waz]

I was going through crime statistics of pakistan and saw that Crime or Crime reporting underwent a drastic fall from 2014 to 2015.

Can anyone tell me the possible reasons for that ?

If you study the Graph we find that this fall is not Natural so either the crime is not being reported, or the police is not registering the crime or some drastic improvement has taken place in the Legal system that deals with crime.

Here is the data,

Pakistan Crime Rate & Statistics 1960-2024

Intentional homicides are estimates of unlawful homicides purposely inflicted as a result of domestic disputes, interpersonal violence, violent conflicts over land resources, intergang violence over turf or control, and predatory violence and killing by armed groups. Intentional homicide does...

www.macrotrends.net

Pakistan has a among the nations with the lowest crime rates in the world, in line with other Asian nations.
Regular crime does not happen aside a few areas that happen to be in one or two major cities.

As a poster has mentioned militancy and trafficking gangs have been hit hard, so the resulting fall in crime was expected.

 

[arjunk]

Operation Zarb e Azb started mid 2014, and its success against terrorists also affected their criminal gang connections.

In Karachi, for example, someone could get kidnapped and no-one would know who took them. Until the next day, when their family would get a call from Waziristan and find out it's TTP asking for ransom.

 

[313ghazi]

I was going through crime statistics of pakistan and saw that Crime or Crime reporting underwent a drastic fall from 2014 to 2015.

Can anyone tell me the possible reasons for that ?

If you study the Graph we find that this fall is not Natural so either the crime is not being reported, or the police is not registering the crime or some drastic improvement has taken place in the Legal system that deals with crime.

Here is the data,

Pakistan Crime Rate & Statistics 1960-2024

Intentional homicides are estimates of unlawful homicides purposely inflicted as a result of domestic disputes, interpersonal violence, violent conflicts over land resources, intergang violence over turf or control, and predatory violence and killing by armed groups. Intentional homicide does...

www.macrotrends.net

As mentioned by other members it coincided with the crack down on teror networks. Terror networks use criminal activity to fund their day to day operations. As the networks got cracked down on, criminal activity fell drastically. Before these operations some cities in Pakistan were as dangerous as any other in the world because of the actions of these terrorists and their criminal associates.

Karachi especially suffered as it's home to a tenth of the population. Uzair Baloch was arrested finally in 2015, crackdown on MQM started in 2013. That party ran Karachi like a mafia gang.

 

[Andhadhun]

Pakistan has a among the nations with the lowest crime rates in the world, in line with other Asian nations.
Regular crime does not happen aside a few areas that happen to be in one or two major cities.

As a poster has mentioned militancy and trafficking gangs have been hit hard, so the resulting fall in crime was expected.

Crimes in Major cities get reported and registered. Those in rural parts rarely gets registered.

I have seen you tube videos of people in pakistan going around with private security carrying machine guns and AK 47 etc. How common is that ?

As a side note, Crime in Bangladesh too seems to have a drastic fall post 2014. That seems like a strange coincidence.

Bangladesh Crime Rate & Statistics 1960-2024

Intentional homicides are estimates of unlawful homicides purposely inflicted as a result of domestic disputes, interpersonal violence, violent conflicts over land resources, intergang violence over turf or control, and predatory violence and killing by armed groups. Intentional homicide does...

www.macrotrends.net

If you look at pakistani and BD crime rate before that, you see some sort of consistency. Post 2014 the change is sudden.

 

[waz]

Crimes in Major cities get reported and registered. Those in rural parts rarely gets registered.

In rural parts you will get shot as there is no hiding place, hence there is no crime. I don't think you understand Pakistan well. Rural areas also have a very strong sense of community.

I have seen you tube videos of people in pakistan going around with private security carrying machine guns and AK 47 etc. How common is that ?

It depends on your status and wealth. Anyone high profile in any country has a security detail.

As a side note, Crime in Bangladesh too seems to have a drastic fall post 2014. That seems like a strange coincidence.

Bangladesh Crime Rate & Statistics 1960-2024

Intentional homicides are estimates of unlawful homicides purposely inflicted as a result of domestic disputes, interpersonal violence, violent conflicts over land resources, intergang violence over turf or control, and predatory violence and killing by armed groups. Intentional homicide does...

www.macrotrends.net

If you look at pakistani and BD crime rate before that, you see some sort of consistency. Post 2014 the change is sudden.

I can't speak for Bangladesh.

 

[newb3e]

after election of Modi g rapes have increased in hindu heaven did we ever ask indians the reason? why all of a sudden moli making hindu noonie jumping out of control!

 

[Andhadhun]

Operation Zarb e Azb started mid 2014, and its success against terrorists also affected their criminal gang connections.

In Karachi, for example, someone could get kidnapped and no-one would know who took them. Until the next day, when their family would get a call from Waziristan and find out it's TTP asking for ransom.

As mentioned by other members it coincided with the crack down on teror networks. Terror networks use criminal activity to fund their day to day operations. As the networks got cracked down on, criminal activity fell drastically. Before these operations some cities in Pakistan were as dangerous as any other in the world because of the actions of these terrorists and their criminal associates.

Karachi especially suffered as it's home to a tenth of the population. Uzair Baloch was arrested finally in 2015, crackdown on MQM started in 2013. That party ran Karachi like a mafia gang.

So by most accounts there seems to be a direct link between Criminality and Terrorism and a crack down on Terror brings the heat on criminals too.

Which means if pakistan takes enough steps to get out of FATF then the crime rate in pakistan is come down further and probably as much dramatically as 2014.

That seems like a low hanging fruit.

In rural parts you will get shot as there is no hiding place, hence there is no crime. I don't think you understand Pakistan well. Rural areas also have a very strong sense of community.

No I understand. In India we have Lynching, in pakistan they get shot. Same difference.

It depends on your status and wealth. Anyone high profile in any country has a security detail.

So do upper middle class have gunmen as security in city like Karachi or Lahore ? At what level of prosperity does one being to feel the need of a gunman ?

 

[arjunk]

I have seen you tube videos of people in pakistan going around with private security carrying machine guns and AK 47 etc. How common is that ?

It depends on where you are. In Punjab you will rarely see such things. I've seen the president and governor's convoys, even those are only a few cars big in Islamabad and Lahore. However, back when terrorism was high, convoys would be far larger.

In Sindh some landlords or their kids might buy a bunch of cars and guards just to show off. Sometimes their kids use the armed guards to harass and intimidate peasants or ordinary people; this happens in Karachi as well. It is not too dangerous in Sindh and at most you would need 1 car at times. Nawaz Shareef took 40+ cars the last time I remember him visiting Karachi.

In Karachi, armed crime and kidnappings were very common until recently, and whoever was rich enough would get bulletproof cars and armed escorts, especially if they were a high profile target. They were occasionally blackwater cars there and in KP. I've also seen what I think is a CIA car because there was a land cruiser with white people in it and a blindfolded guy at the back. It was escorted by a number plateless vigo with 4 armed guards, with badly faked police uniforms. It was also bulletproof.

In Balochistan, if you're just going to Gwadar then you don't need much security. For the rest of Balochistan most people can't really afford cars. However, if you are a VIP or government official, it is advised to take 1-3 armed bulletproof cars and a jammer in case of an IED attack or ambush.

In AJK and Gilgit Baltistan there is no need for security, maybe an armoured car if you are really paranoid. There is a village in Gilgit-Baltistan that had a 0% crime rate even during peak WoT but I forgot its name.

 

[Jobless Jack]

Because in May 2014 HRH Narinder of house Modi , First of his name, Lord of Gujjrat, King of the 29 States and protector of 7 union territories was elected as PM of India. It's his hard work and commitment towards peace which brought down crime rate in Pakistan.

Give him pakistani citizenship already