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Where has $11 billion gone?

mr42O

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In January 2015, the price of petrol in Pakistan was Rs70.29 per litre. A year later, in January 2016, the price of petrol in Pakistan had gone up to Rs76.26 per litre – an annual increase of 8.5 percent. In January 2015, the OPEC basket price stood at $44.70 a barrel. A year later, in January 2016, the OPEC basket price had gone down to $25 a barrel; a decline of 44 percent.

In 2008, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources told us that the government was subsidising petroleum products to the tune of Rs30 billion a month. The government further said that the World Bank has given the government a deadline of end-2008 to withdraw all subsides on petroleum products. Lo and behold, all subsidies on petroleum products were withdrawn by end-2008 and we were told that from now on Pakistani prices shall be directly linked to the prices in the international market.

For the record, in the past one year the OPEC basket price is down a wholesome 44 percent. For the record, in the past one year the price in Pakistan has gone up 8.5 percent. Where has the 52.5 percent differential gone?

In 2014, Pakistanis consumed some 434,000 barrels a day. In 2014, when the OPEC basket price was $96.29 a barrel, Pakistanis consumed $15 billion worth of oil. In 2016, Pakistanis consumed more or less 434,000 barrels a day. By early 2016, the OPEC basket price had fallen to $25 and, as a consequence, the value of oil consumed by Pakistanis had gone down to $4 billion. For the record, the difference in value between 2014 and 2016 is a whopping $11 billion. Where has $11 billion gone?

How much is $11 billion? Well, $11 billion is the equivalent of Rs6,000 for every man, woman and child in this country. Well, $11 billion is the equivalent of Rs42,000 for every Pakistani family. Imagine if each and every Pakistani family was given a cash grant of Rs42,000. Imagine, with a multiplier effect, the positive impact of such a cash grant could be between $50 billion to $80 billion.

The fact is that there has been a $11 billion bonanza. The question is whether the government should spend it as per its wishes or let the private sector make spending decisions. There’s almost a consensus within economists that “government spending distorts resource allocation”. And that “government spending is a less effective way to deliver services (this is referred to as the ‘inefficiency cost’)”. And that when “individuals use other people’s money” they become reckless. And that “government spending inhibits innovation”.

Economic history and empirical evidence stand in favour of smaller governments. According to Daniel Mitchell, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, “Controlling federal spending is particularly important because of globalization. Today, it is becoming increasingly easy for jobs and capital to migrate from one nation to another. This means that the reward for good policy is greater than ever before, but it also means that the penalty for bad policy is greater than ever before.”

The writer is a columnist based in Islamabad.

Email: farrukh15@hotmail.com Twitter: @saleemfarrukh

- See more at: Where has $11 billion gone? | Opinion | thenews.com.pk
 
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Bhar Pakistan still import imports almost 50% of refined oil and diesel. We dont have enough capacity to refine oil in Pakistan. So in short when half of the oil comes to pakistan it is not 30 or 40 dollars. Refined oil will probably have twice the cost.
 
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They increased taxes on petroleum products coupled with losses in the value of PNR maybe?
 
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so you guys pay about $2.75 a gallon (3.8l)

gas is like $1.67 a gallon last time I checked in my area :wave:


cost of buying refined petroleum is what is killing you and a nickel or two lining the governments pockets
 
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Nope. But from my limited knowledge of Hindi/Urdu I can understand u r telling everyone are doing Golmaal in Pakistani economy :D
Nawaz Bonga and company's upcoming movie is name as Gunday II (Thugs II). The will tell you they are spending billions on the development but they will never show you a proper paper work. Imagine, metro bus in amritar costs 9 bil that can cover up to 30 plus km. Same metro bus costs us 31 bil that covers only 27 km.

Nawaz Bonga and company's upcoming movie is named as Gunday II (Thugs II). The will tell you they are spending billions on the development but they will never show you a proper paper work. Imagine, metro bus in amritar costs 9 bil that can cover up to 30 plus km. Same metro bus costs us 31 bil that covers only 27 km.
Ask Nawaz shareef, what's the meaning of OTHER TAXES. Bet you one thing, he won't answer.
 
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Nawaz Bonga and company's upcoming movie is name as Gunday II (Thugs II). The will tell you they are spending billions on the development but they will never show you a proper paper work. Imagine, metro bus in amritar costs 9 bil that can cover up to 30 plus km. Same metro bus costs us 31 bil that covers only 27 km.
bhai ye sb kisi aur ko btane ki kya zaroorat hai? :hitwall::hitwall::hitwall: have you ever saw any indian or any other guy insulting his own PM/president in front of u mjhe bhi noora pasand ni lekin atleast bahir walon ke samne apne ghar ka haal aese mat khol ke rakho yr plzzz!!!:hitwall:
 
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In January 2015, the price of petrol in Pakistan was Rs70.29 per litre. A year later, in January 2016, the price of petrol in Pakistan had gone up to Rs76.26 per litre – an annual increase of 8.5 percent. In January 2015, the OPEC basket price stood at $44.70 a barrel. A year later, in January 2016, the OPEC basket price had gone down to $25 a barrel; a decline of 44 percent.

I know where it is, I know where it is. SURPRISE :bunny: :victory:....its in the $ 22 billion saved as reserves!!!!

Now to get to the real point. Why don't people freaking open up threads that they have business and political knowledge about? I feel like everyone thinks they have a PhC ( Philosophy in Conspiracy) on everything (instead of a PhD). These commodity contracts don't change the contract prices over night. And usually commodities like Oil and Gas are bought a year or many months in advance based on projected and historical analysis and need for a country!!

This isn't an express shipment through Fedex, like hey, can I have 10 million barrels of oil 2nd day delivery to Pakistan :omghaha: :no: :nono:. These contracts are made many months in advance. So in other words, you'll start to see the real savings and price of oil will drop significantly in the next few months. When prices for future contracts are lowered, then you see some relief on the Gas station immediately as governments and oil refineries reduce their market looking at the future. But the contract is still paid at the cost it was bought at. Till it runs out.

So tell IK, to learn a thing or two about Commodities purchase so next time he might sound smarter. People were laughing at him in a place where I was at, when he was bit*ching about this. Its like a little child who thinks he's an adult and therefor participates in every discussion, whether he knows the topic or not. I am SO glad IK isn't running anything serious, otherwise he'd have screwed it up so bad that stuff would just not be fixed. You can't reason with lack of basic understanding :cry:. You can reason with logic and competitive expertise
 
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Meri
bhai ye sb kisi aur ko btane ki kya zaroorat hai? :hitwall::hitwall::hitwall: have you ever saw any indian or any other guy insulting his own PM/president in front of u mjhe bhi noora pasand ni lekin atleast bahir walon ke samne apne ghar ka haal aese mat khol ke rakho yr plzzz!!!:hitwall:
Meeri jaan! Is jaisay laanti PM ko hit a zaleel karroo utna acha hai. Pakistan aaj Jin halat mein hai bhuttos , zardaris and shareef family key wajah say hai.
P.S Sirf aik sugar mill key wakah say poori qaum ko sharminda karwa chuka hai yeh mardood. Aik international forum batta do jahan iss nay Pakistan ko defend kiya ho?
 
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Meri
Meeri jaan! Is jaisay laanti PM ko hit a zaleel karroo utna acha hai. Pakistan aaj Jin halat mein hai bhuttos , zardaris and shareef family key wajah say hai.
aese zaleel krne se wo bhi indians ke smne unka kch ni bigarta but Pakistan kii image kharab hti hai criticize krna hai thk hai kro but kisi bahir wale ke smne nhi no matter what by doing this we're only presenting a negative image of Pakistan in front of the whole world :disagree: kl ko aesa hii koi indian isi post ko lekr humein troll karega aur dunia ko btaya ga ke kitna corrupt hai hmara country
 
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Meri
Meeri jaan! Is jaisay laanti PM ko hit a zaleel karroo utna acha hai. Pakistan aaj Jin halat mein hai bhuttos , zardaris and shareef family key wajah say hai.

Oh look, you have a US flag, and you like our democratic system. But you wouldn't want your own country to have a system because of your own personal bias and affiliations. How nice of a hypocrisy at its best???? :lol: :angel:

By the way, the above post in Hindi, deserves two words "and generals". Your source of resentment is what you don't want to point fingers too, so the civilians get blamed. Otherwise, in military's rule, Pakistan was a heaven on earth :o:o_O :rofl:. I can see the great work called nothing the Pakistani military did for 60 years :enjoy:
 
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Oh look, you have a US flag, and you like our democratic system. But you wouldn't want your own country to have a system because of your own personal bias and affiliations. How nice of a hypocrisy at its best???? :lol: :angel:

By the way, the above post in Hindi, deserves two words "and generals". Your source of resentment is what you don't want to point fingers too, so the civilians get blamed. Otherwise, in military's rule, Pakistan was a heaven on earth :o:o_O :rofl:. I can see the great work called nothing the Pakistani military did for 60 years :enjoy:
It shows my location bud. I guess, I was grilling Nawaz Shareef where is the military came from? Day dreaming? How many shots you had today?
 
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I know where it is, I know where it is. SURPRISE :bunny: :victory:....its in the $ 22 billion saved as reserves!!!!

Now to get to the real point. Why don't people freaking open up threads that they have business and political knowledge about? I feel like everyone thinks they have a PhC ( Philosophy in Conspiracy) on everything (instead of a PhD). These commodity contracts don't change the contract prices over night. And usually commodities like Oil and Gas are bought a year or many months in advance based on projected and historical analysis and need for a country!!

This isn't an express shipment through Fedex, like hey, can I have 10 million barrels of oil 2nd day delivery to Pakistan :omghaha: :no: :nono:. These contracts are made many months in advance. So in other words, you'll start to see the real savings and price of oil will drop significantly in the next few months. When prices for future contracts are lowered, then you see some relief on the Gas station immediately as governments and oil refineries reduce their market looking at the future. But the contract is still paid at the cost it was bought at. Till it runs out.

So tell IK, to learn a thing or two about Commodities purchase so next time he might sound smarter. People were laughing at him in a place where I was at, when he was bit*ching about this. Its like a little child who thinks he's an adult and therefor participates in every discussion, whether he knows the topic or not. I am SO glad IK isn't running anything serious, otherwise he'd have screwed it up so bad that stuff would just not be fixed. You can't reason with lack of basic understanding :cry:. You can reason with logic and competitive expertise
Are you an alien or a robot, how do you write such long posts? I woudn't write this long even if my girlfriend was leaving me
 
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