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US gets ready for next round of oil boom

Al Bhatti

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February 21, 2015

US gets ready for next round of oil boom
Gulf News takes a look at how last years oil price collapse is hitting the oil boom in the US Midwest state of North Dakota

Following last year’s surprise move by Opec (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) to counter the growing US shale oil industry, crude prices have plunged to below $55 a barrel. Everyone from governments to major corporations are watching to see how this on-going battle plays out.

Gulf News visited the heart of America’s newest boom towns in the remote state of North Dakota. Today, we bring you Part 1 of a 3-part series that investigates the shale oil phenomenon and its impact on global markets.

US oil production skyrocketed in recent years with production ramping up to 9 million barrels a day last year compared to 5 million in 2006. Production has soared because of new technology, hydraulic fracturing, that injects water underground to crack shale rocks in hard to reach places that contain oil. The only problem is that “fracking” is far more expensive than traditional drilling.

Global oil prices have sat above $100 a barrel for the best part of the past five years, partly due to soaring demand from China, which meant many big — and smalltime — producers in the US could invest in costly shale production knowing that the windfall would be huge. But a collapse in oil prices in the second half of last year has put the immediate future of shale production under a cloud.

Prices were already falling before 12-member Opec met in Vienna last November in what was one of the group’s most closely watched meetings.

Faced with an oversupply of oil, global benchmark Brent crude began its decline from $115 a barrel and US crude from $107.26 in June as demand from the world’s second largest economy, China, declined.

An upswing in the domestic production also meant the US would not need some of the global oil glut, despite a bounce back in its economy.

Many of the 12 members of Opec, which produces a third of the world’s oil, had signalled in the lead-up to the November meeting that the group should cut production to prop up supply.

But Saudi Arabia, backed by fellow Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Opec members, the UAE, Qatar and Kuwait, said it would chose market share over production cuts. Opec left group production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day.

Prices plunged again, with US crude finishing the year below $55 a barrel. This has hit the US shale industry, but it is unclear how long oil prices will have to stay low for it to have their desired affect.

Saudi Arabia, the group’s biggest producer, is testing the mettle of United States’ costly shale production, which has seen the world’s biggest economy cut back on oil imports from the kingdom that relies on oil revenues to fill its coffers.

Production in North Dakota, that has cashed in on newfound shale oil revenues, peaked at 1.2 million barrels a day last year, according to the North Dakota Petroleum Council, a group that represents the interests of more than 500 companies working in the state’s oil industry. In 2007, the state produced just 100,000 barrels a day.

Oil field

North Dakota production takes place in the western part of the state where a 31,000 square kilometre oilfield known as the Bakken formation is situated. The state’s current production is enough to cover 75 per cent of US imports of Saudi Arabian oil, according to the North Dakota Petroleum Council.

But North Dakota is feeling the pressure. At the end of January, there were 146 oil rigs operating in the state — around 40 less than in mid-December, according to state data. Production remained steady at 1.2 million barrels a day in January, according oil data firm Platts. However, since mid-December, the rig count has dropped a further 13 per cent.

Since the US shale revolution started around eight years ago, making the country less dependent on Middle Eastern oil, America has refocused its foreign policy on Asia. But crashing oil prices could see production in the US capped, depending how long Saudi Arabia, which was traditionally seen as the swing producer setting prices, is able to live with a weak price. The kingdom does have $750 billion in cash reserves, meaning it could wait it out for some time.

But in North Dakota,, oil producers will keep drilling across the oil rich Bakken formation located in the western part of the state, said Ron Ness, president of the North Dakota Petroleum Council. “The Bakken doesn’t stop. We will still produce 1.2 million barrels a day,” he said, when asked about the pressure from Saudi Arabia.

Instead, producers in North Dakota will rethink their operations to drive down costs.

Competitive

“The real question is what the new normal price threshold is and can you make these shale plays competitive at the new normal,” Ness said.

Global oil prices rebounded in February above $50, meaning that some of North Dakota’s rigs that stopped producing in January could possibly be switched on. The government is keen to see this, given the billions of dollars it has injected into state coffers.

Millions have been invested across the state as chain hotels and fast food restaurants rushed to cash in on the state’s suddenly wealthy petroleum workers.

The entire north side of Bismarck, North Dakota’s capital, is just two years old with kilometres of hotels, restaurants and department stores lining the highway. But low oil prices could be the end of that investment.

Republican Congressman Kevin Cramer recently told Gulf News that “a lot” of his time is now spent with worried colleagues from other oil producing states wondering when prices will rise again.

While Cramer said he is “confident” that prices will rise by year’s end, he is not concerned if it takes longer.

“This is a resource play that is abundant and that isn’t going anywhere,” he said at his office in the federal building in Bismarck.

US gets ready for next round of oil boom | GulfNews.com
 
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February 21, 2015

US gets ready for next round of oil boom
Gulf News takes a look at how last years oil price collapse is hitting the oil boom in the US Midwest state of North Dakota

Following last year’s surprise move by Opec (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) to counter the growing US shale oil industry, crude prices have plunged to below $55 a barrel. Everyone from governments to major corporations are watching to see how this on-going battle plays out.

Gulf News visited the heart of America’s newest boom towns in the remote state of North Dakota. Today, we bring you Part 1 of a 3-part series that investigates the shale oil phenomenon and its impact on global markets.

US oil production skyrocketed in recent years with production ramping up to 9 million barrels a day last year compared to 5 million in 2006. Production has soared because of new technology, hydraulic fracturing, that injects water underground to crack shale rocks in hard to reach places that contain oil. The only problem is that “fracking” is far more expensive than traditional drilling.

Global oil prices have sat above $100 a barrel for the best part of the past five years, partly due to soaring demand from China, which meant many big — and smalltime — producers in the US could invest in costly shale production knowing that the windfall would be huge. But a collapse in oil prices in the second half of last year has put the immediate future of shale production under a cloud.

Prices were already falling before 12-member Opec met in Vienna last November in what was one of the group’s most closely watched meetings.

Faced with an oversupply of oil, global benchmark Brent crude began its decline from $115 a barrel and US crude from $107.26 in June as demand from the world’s second largest economy, China, declined.

An upswing in the domestic production also meant the US would not need some of the global oil glut, despite a bounce back in its economy.

Many of the 12 members of Opec, which produces a third of the world’s oil, had signalled in the lead-up to the November meeting that the group should cut production to prop up supply.

But Saudi Arabia, backed by fellow Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Opec members, the UAE, Qatar and Kuwait, said it would chose market share over production cuts. Opec left group production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day.

Prices plunged again, with US crude finishing the year below $55 a barrel. This has hit the US shale industry, but it is unclear how long oil prices will have to stay low for it to have their desired affect.

Saudi Arabia, the group’s biggest producer, is testing the mettle of United States’ costly shale production, which has seen the world’s biggest economy cut back on oil imports from the kingdom that relies on oil revenues to fill its coffers.

Production in North Dakota, that has cashed in on newfound shale oil revenues, peaked at 1.2 million barrels a day last year, according to the North Dakota Petroleum Council, a group that represents the interests of more than 500 companies working in the state’s oil industry. In 2007, the state produced just 100,000 barrels a day.

Oil field

North Dakota production takes place in the western part of the state where a 31,000 square kilometre oilfield known as the Bakken formation is situated. The state’s current production is enough to cover 75 per cent of US imports of Saudi Arabian oil, according to the North Dakota Petroleum Council.

But North Dakota is feeling the pressure. At the end of January, there were 146 oil rigs operating in the state — around 40 less than in mid-December, according to state data. Production remained steady at 1.2 million barrels a day in January, according oil data firm Platts. However, since mid-December, the rig count has dropped a further 13 per cent.

Since the US shale revolution started around eight years ago, making the country less dependent on Middle Eastern oil, America has refocused its foreign policy on Asia. But crashing oil prices could see production in the US capped, depending how long Saudi Arabia, which was traditionally seen as the swing producer setting prices, is able to live with a weak price. The kingdom does have $750 billion in cash reserves, meaning it could wait it out for some time.

But in North Dakota,, oil producers will keep drilling across the oil rich Bakken formation located in the western part of the state, said Ron Ness, president of the North Dakota Petroleum Council. “The Bakken doesn’t stop. We will still produce 1.2 million barrels a day,” he said, when asked about the pressure from Saudi Arabia.

Instead, producers in North Dakota will rethink their operations to drive down costs.

Competitive

“The real question is what the new normal price threshold is and can you make these shale plays competitive at the new normal,” Ness said.

Global oil prices rebounded in February above $50, meaning that some of North Dakota’s rigs that stopped producing in January could possibly be switched on. The government is keen to see this, given the billions of dollars it has injected into state coffers.

Millions have been invested across the state as chain hotels and fast food restaurants rushed to cash in on the state’s suddenly wealthy petroleum workers.

The entire north side of Bismarck, North Dakota’s capital, is just two years old with kilometres of hotels, restaurants and department stores lining the highway. But low oil prices could be the end of that investment.

Republican Congressman Kevin Cramer recently told Gulf News that “a lot” of his time is now spent with worried colleagues from other oil producing states wondering when prices will rise again.

While Cramer said he is “confident” that prices will rise by year’s end, he is not concerned if it takes longer.

“This is a resource play that is abundant and that isn’t going anywhere,” he said at his office in the federal building in Bismarck.

US gets ready for next round of oil boom | GulfNews.com

The best part would be to make future deals with India and China to have pipe lines of crude oil or refined oil pipelines from KSA to Pakistan and then to India and China.

Also, its not like that KSA is not making profit at all they are making a lot of profit what they need to do is to invest in R&D; especially in Thorium and Fission-Fusion reactors more.................
 
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February 22, 2015

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North Dakota has been at the heart of the US’ shale boom, increasing production from 100,000 BPD to 1.2 million in 2014.

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North Dakota has been at the heart of the US’ shale boom, increasing production from 100,000 BPD to 1.2 million in 2014. The states’ oil industry is backing calls for lifting of the export ban.

US politicians push to challenge Saudi Arabia oil dominance
North Dakota Congressman says lifting the export man is increasingly likely the longer prices stay low

US politicians are pushing to lift the country’s ban on crude oil exports, a move that if successful would challenge Saudi Arabia’s long held dominance over the global oil market.

The US banned crude exports in the 1970s when a number of Arab countries refused to sell oil to the US in protest of its support for Israel in the 1974 Arab-Israeli conflict.

The ban, led by Libya, sent prices soaring and led to fuel rationing across the country remembered by iconic photos of traffic jams of cars queuing to fil up at petrol stations.

Since then the US has banned oil exports to lessen its reliance on foreign oil. But with the US producing record amounts of oil, a number of politicians from newly oil rich North Dakota recently told Gulf News the ban should be lifted.

“Lifting the export ban is a possibility and the longer these low prices go we can get that done,” said Kevin Cramer, North Dakota’s Republican Congressman in an interview referring to last year’s collapse in oil prices.
Significant impact

Lifting the ban would likely have significant impacts on the global economy that has long relied on unstable states in the Middle East, as well as other states like Russia for their energy.

It would mean that international buyers would have access to new sellers of energy that could be purchased at competitive prices and in turn drive down the price of Saudi Arabian oil.

We are not going to be the price taker anymore, we’re going to be the price maker,” said Cramer who also wants to see legislation passed on approving the long delayed Keystone XL pipeline that would stretch across the US from Canada to Mexico and could transport 100,000 barrels a days of North Dakotan oil.
Oil prices had sat above $100 (Dh367.3) a barrel for the best part of the last five years, which helped the high-cost US shale industry drive the country’s record production that peaked at 9 million barrels a day last year compared to 5 million in 2006.

The shale industry relies on high margins because it uses modern, expensive technology to extract oil from rocks deep underground in hard-to-reach places.

Last November, the Organisation of Petroleum of Exporting Countries (Opec), led by its biggest producer Saudi Arabia, decided to leave production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day at a time when prices were already falling due to a global oversupply.

The organisation, which produces around a third of the world’s oil, could have cut production in line with demand and stabilised prices. Instead Opec’s position sent prices crashing towards $50 a barrel within weeks. “The US energy industry and our free market principles are far better for us for stabilising the global market than to try and negotiate with a cartel,” said Cramer.

Patrick Hatlestad, a State Representative from the Republican Party, believes the ban should be considered and used as a bargaining chip with Saudi Arabia to soften their stance and let prices rebound. He said if Saudi Arabia was unwilling to listen; “then we are going to get into the world market and make a difference.”

Record US production has meant it has cut its reliance on foreign oil. The US no longer imports oil from Algeria and Nigeria and with the exception of a few periods of 2009 and 2010, imports of Saudi Arabia oil fell to their lowest point last year.

Calls for lifting the export ban are being echoed in North Dakota’s state legislature.

North Dakota has been at the heart of the US shale boom with the state increasing production from just 100,000 barrels a day to 1.2 million in 2014, according to the North Dakota Petroleum Council, a group that represents the interests of over 500 companies working in the state’s oil industry.

“It just seems the time for that kind of restriction has passed and Congress should look forward,” said Connie Triplett, a State Senator from the Democrat party.

Triplett’s comments were supported by fellow Democrat State Senator Mac Schneider, who said lifting the ban would help North Dakota’s industry. The state’s oil industry is backing calls for the export ban to be lifted, with its top lobby group believing that prices collapsed in response to the emergence of US shale, particularly the industry’s rapid growth in North Dakota.

“That’s what we’re seeing here, a global resetting of the energy markets,” said Ron Ness, president of the North Dakota Petroleum Council, who believes the state has become “a global setter” in energy prices.

Exports would further strengthen the state’s position, he said, as the new swing producer in global oil.

“If we indicate that we are going to export oil even to our friendly nations, I think it has an immediate geopolitical impact that makes a difference that can make America the largest energy producer in the world as the driver of energy policy,” Ness added.

US politicians push to challenge Saudi Arabia oil dominance | GulfNews.com

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February 22, 2015

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Responders throw oil booms into the Kanawha River near Mount Carbon, West Virginia. With the US producing record oil, politicians from oil rich North Dakota say the export ban should be lifted.


Oil prices set for another dive, former White House adviser says

Prices likely to fall sharply in the summer

Global oil prices, enjoying a slight rebound following last year’s plummet, are set to dive again, according to a former Whitehouse energy adviser.

Global benchmark Brent crude closed trading at $60 a barrel on Friday while US crude closed at $50; both had touched $45 last month after losing around half their value in the second half of 2014.

Bob McNally, founder and president at Rapidan Group and a former energy adviser to the George W. Bush administration, told Gulf News by email “oil prices will fall sharply into the summer” due to excess supply on the market.

“The year began with some unexpected fundamental tightness due partially to a sharp drop in Iraqi loadings due to rough weather, the loss of Libyan supply, and winter-driven demand. But these factors should either reverse or be overtaken by mounting storage builds,” he said.

Oil prices began their descent last June because of a global glut driven by weak demand out of the world’s second largest economy, China, and increasing domestic production in the US.

Sustained weak oil prices could have significant repercussions on the global market. Oil producing states from the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), which produces around a third of the world’s oil, rely on oil revenues to stack government coffers and fund investment projects.

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar are all Opec members.

It also can impact US production which relies on expensive technology to extract shale oil from hard to reach rocks deep underground in a process called “fracking.” The low oil prices have shut down rigs in shale producing state North Dakota but production remained steady at 1.2 million barrels a day in January, according to oil data firm plats.

“Crude oil’s rebound was due to short covering by speculators as well as buying by some traders and investors who interpreted recent headlines about large cuts in capital expenditures and drilling rig counts by US shale oil producers,” said McNally.

“Buyers believe that these company announcements signal a sufficient supply response to low prices and are sufficient to put a bottom in crude prices, which are expected to bounce back toward the $70 range in coming quarters. Fundamental analysts, by contrast, believe it is too soon to expect a bottoming in oil prices,” he added.

Oil prices set for another dive, former White House adviser says | GulfNews.com
 
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Far fetched but interesting if the americans remove the ban. It also means that these rich arab countries will also not be under its long held control to this effect.
 
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consumer will not get the benefit of low oil prices as much as they should. In Canada gas was selling at $1.25 a liter when crude was $100, now crude at $55 gas today is selling at $1.03
Oil companies will rip of consumer no matter what the crude prices are.
 
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